Week 5 Waiver Wire October 1, 2013  |  gregsauce


Whether your fake football outlook is glass-half-full or glass-half-empty, the season is approximately a quarter over. Optimism and pessimism both have their merits, but the heart of a fantasy champion is full of cold, unbiased neutrality. Will the Week 5 Waiver Wire turn your season around? All I know is my guy says “Maybe.”

 

QUARTERBACKS

Better late than never: Brian Hoyer

Filling in for the injured Christian Ponder, Matt Cassel got Minnesota into the win column on Sunday. The Vikes are headed into their bye this week, but Cassel could retain the starting job over Ponder, assuming the team wants to keep their schneid-switch in the “off” position. Talent-wise there isn’t a huge gap between the two QBs, but Cassel throws the ball with more confidence and abandon than Ponder – something the Vikings must be willing to do while opposing defenses stack the line against Adrian Peterson.

As with Cassel, it took an injury for Ryan Fitzpatrick to become the starter for his team. Unlike Cassel, Fitzpatrick has the job locked up for the moment as Jake Locker is scheduled to miss 4-6 weeks with a hip injury. As with every starting quarterback in the NFL, Fitzpatrick is a must-own in 2-QB formats, but he has limited value otherwise.

 

RUNNING BACKS

Better late than never: Le’Veon Bell, Jacquizz Rodgers, Jason Snelling, Kendall Hunter

I’ve mentioned Danny Woodhead in this space before (Kerouac is still rolling in his grave) and he was making noise again in Week 3 with 86 yards and 2 TDs on 10 touches. There are two truths we can derive from this information: 1) Woodhead is the San Diego RB to own, and 2) the fantasy gods hate Ryan Mathews owners. Still, Woodhead isn’t going to score twice every week, so be frugal with your FAAB spending.

Just when you thought it was safe to take Stevan Ridley out of the garage again, LeGarrette Blount had to go and score a 47-yard touchdown in a huge road win for the Patriots. Brandon Bolden tweaked his knee in the contest, so there are probably enough carries to go around between Ridley and Blount, but this classic Belichick timeshare will frustrate the owners of all players involved.

The waiver options at running back are so uninspiring this week that I don’t even feel bad about recommending Rashad Jennings. Jennings subbed in for a pair of injured Oakland backs on Sunday and posted 116 total yards on 15 carries and 8 receptions. His match-up against Washington was about as good as it gets, but Week 4 opponent San Diego is a pretty good draw as well. Jennings is a worthwhile addition if Darren McFadden and Marcel Reece continue to miss time, but he’ll be ousted when those incumbents return to health.

Andre Ellington continues to look solid in a limited role for the Cardinals. He’s a decent stash if you can afford to wait for a possible demotion of Rashard Mendenhall.

Roy Helu scored double-digit points for the first time this season in relief of Alfred Morris on Sunday. Morris’ rib injury isn’t thought to be serious, though, and he should return to action after Washington’s upcoming bye. Helu remains an important handcuff, but a healthy Morris squelches his value.

In a surprising development, Khiry Robinson handled the bulk of the Saints’ carries on Monday night against the Dolphins. Pierre Thomas stayed relevant in PPR formats with 5 catches for 37 yards, but Robinson’s involvement is something to watch against Chicago and New England when the garbage time might not be as plentiful.

Chris Polk made the most of minimal usage on Sunday, netting 52 yards and a score on 5 touches. He’s still picking up scraps from LeSean McCoy and Bryce Brown, but he’s in line for a lot of work if his depth chart elders miss any time.

 

WIDE RECEIVERS

Better late than never: Alshon Jeffery, Justin Blackmon, Marlon Brown, Kendall Wright

Robert Woods had the best game of his young career against the Ravens, with 80 yards and his second touchdown of the season on 8 targets. It’s going to be a rollercoaster ride with Woods going forward, but don’t be afraid to use him when the match-up dictates as it did on Sunday.

Nate Washington’s 22 points in standard scoring tied for the most among wideouts in Week 4. He eclipsed 100 yards for the second-straight week in addition to scoring two touchdowns. It remains to be seen what kind of rapport Washington has with newly instated Ryan Fitzpatrick, but any potential drop-off shouldn’t be severe.

Terrance Williams filled in for the missing Miles Austin on Sunday and caught 7 passes for 71 yards. Austin has never been a glowing picture of health, so Williams is a nice speculative add for WR-hungry fantasy owners.

It was Kris Durham and not Ryan Broyles who filled the receiving void left by Nate Burleson in the Detroit passing attack this past weekend. Durham actually led the team in receiving yards (58) on three paltry catches, but Brandon Pettigrew was the main beneficiary in targets (catching all 7 for 54 yards). Broyles is likely still playing himself back into shape after last season’s knee injury, so look for him to get more involved in the coming games.

Austin Pettis maintained his woefully boring PPR relevance on Sunday with 5 grabs for 59 yards. He’s still without a score this season, but his 31 targets tie him for second among Rams receivers with Jared Cook.

Matt Cassel took a strong liking to Jerome Simpson on Sunday, targeting the flying forehead 11 times. Simpson reeled in 7 of those passes for 124 yards. We’ve been teased by this guy before, so I’m hesitant to buy, but Cassel could be just the boost Simpson needs to be ownable.

 

TIGHT ENDS

Better late than never: Heath Miller, Coby Fleener, Charles Clay

Garrett Graham, a.k.a. “Not Owen Daniels”, found the end zone on Sunday to go with 69 yards receiving. We saw the Texans use both of their tight ends like this last season with Daniels and Joel Dreessen. On a week-to-week basis, we won’t know which tight end will score, making Graham a decent pick-up for owners playing TE-bingo.

Delanie Walker also scored on Sunday, continuing his season-long streak of gaining at least 40 yards or scoring a touchdown in every game. Desperate fantasy owners could do a lot worse than a guaranteed 4-7 points per week from their tight end.

 

30 Responses

  1. NoSurrender says:

    Roster improvement help???
    12 Team – Standard Scoring, 1QB 2RB 2WR 1TE 1WRT 1K 1DST
    I have…
    QB: T.Romo
    RB: A.Morris,
    RB: F.Gore,
    RB: G.Bernard,
    RB: J.Bell,
    RB: A.Ellington
    WR: P.Garcon,
    WR: M.Colston,
    WR: J.Gordon,
    WR: A.Jeffrey,
    WR: J.Blackmon
    TE: J.Graham
    K: D.Bailey
    DST: (streaming) Kansas City, Dallas

    I’m a wavier wire junky…What do you think?
    Our league has available…

    QB: T.Pryor, J.Cutler, E.Manning
    RB: M.Reece, C.Ogbonnaya, B.Cunningham
    [S.Vereen In wk 9? – (whom I originally drafted) ouch! ]
    WR: J.Simpson, N.Washington, K.Wright
    TE: H.Miller, C.Clay
    DEF: Cleveland, Minnesota

    So many choices and so few roster spots (I didn’t they were good choices)… Thank you

  2. Tommy Q says:

    Roddy white, alshon, nate Washington. Please pick 3?

    • gregsauce says:

      @Tommy Q: You only listed 3, but I’d rank them Alshon Jeffery, Roddy White, then Nate Washington for this week.

  3. Jeff says:

    Should drop Mike Williams for Nate Washington on the waiver wire?

  4. ash says:

    Hey Greg!
    Thanks for the read. Who do you think is a better handcuff player, Ben Tate or Helu? ..Also, who do you prefer Alshon Jeffrey or Jerome Simpson? I would possibly replace one of them with Eddie Royal. What are your thoughts on that?

    • gregsauce says:

      @ash: I prefer Tate as a handcuff because even when Arian Foster plays, Tate still sees some carries. Helu is only valuable if Alfred Morris is out. As for those wide receivers, Jeffery is head and shoulders above both the other options. Simpson and Royal are close, but I slightly prefer Royal.

  5. Shane says:

    I have Cam, Dalton and Big Ben. Drop Dalton and Big Ben or keep one as backup?

    • gregsauce says:

      @Shane: Now that Cam’s off bye, it’s safe to drop one or both, assuming there will be at least a few QBs constantly available in case Cam goes down.

  6. Joe says:

    Is it time to drop Montee Ball?

    • gregsauce says:

      @Joe: Obviously depends on who you’re dropping him for, but he’s certainly droppable if your team-needs require it.

  7. wile e. coyote super genius says:

    Can you help me spot any gems from the following on our waiver wire? If more than one, pls rank sauce):

    C. Ivory
    Michael Floyd
    R. Helu
    C. Michael
    B. Roethlisberger
    M. Manningham
    M. Goodson
    J. Simpson

    • gregsauce says:

      @wile e: Floyd is the best one there. He should be owned in most leagues.

    • gregsauce says:

      @wile e: Yes, I would drop Randle for Floyd. Helu is the other guy on that list with serious upside, but only if Alfred Morris goes down. Hence, Helu is merely a lottery ticket.

  8. Ghost says:

    Hey Greg, couple of trade questions…

    league info: PPR for WR/TE .5 for RB, Bonus league (bonuses at yards and bonuses for long plays) 1QB 2WR 2RB 1TE K DEF 8 Bench

    Roster: Romo, Pryor, Bryant, Colston, Gordon, Thompkins, Spiller, Gore, L.Miller, F-Jax, K. Hunter, Bradshaw, Fleener, H.Miller

    Currently 2-2 but have the 2nd to last amount of points scored due to the players that I seem to bench always exploding for monster games….

    I was just approached by a gronk owner who is looking for a RB to do a straight up trade of Spiller for Gronk…which is tempting but I was looking to do more of a Spiller/F-Jax/WR for a RB1 or WR1 type trade ….my mind says JUMP at the chance to trade my so far utterly disappointing 1st rd pick for a stud like gronk(but is he gonna be the same gronk?) also then im stuck entrusting my RB1 spot to gore(one good game hasnt sold me) and my RB2 spot to Miller which doesnt make me feel comfortable eventhough im retaining spillers handcuff in f-jax if spiller goes down i just dont know..if you were to not jump at the gronk trade who would you target if you were offering up a combo of Spiller/F-Jax/(Thompkins, Gordon, Colston)?

    Appreciate the input and sorry for the long ass question

    • gregsauce says:

      @Ghost: I’m not ready to give up on Spiller’s talent yet. You’re not bad enough off at TE to make me like that deal for your team. You could counter-offer with Gore or Lamar Miller plus Fleener or Heath Miller and see what happens. I’d like that sort of deal a lot more than one in which you ship out an underperforming elite talent like Spiller.

  9. Norman says:

    Because I’m 8th in waivers, I doubt any will go through. Should I start Spiller or McGahee as my rb2? Reggie is my rb1.
    Thanks!

  10. Norman says:

    12 Team PPR: Rivers, WIlson, Torrey, AJ, Antonio, Patterson, Dobson, Spiller, Reggie, McGahee, Bolden, Pierce, Olsen, Eifert, Walsh, NE D. So far my waiver list is: R Jennings drop Eifert, R Woods drop Dobson, Ellington drop Dobson, Blackmon drop Dobson, Helu drop Eifert, Choice drop Eifert, C Clay drop Eifert. Any thoughts/suggestion or recommendations?
    Thanks!

    • gregsauce says:

      @Norman: Seems fine, but I would probably drop Cordarrelle Patterson ahead of Dobson under most circumstances. Patterson is still very raw and his QB situation is a mess.

  11. Art Vandelay says:

    Hey Greg,

    I snagged J. Cameron late in the draft, so have the luxury of owning both Gates and Cameron. I am thinking I should trade one of them to upgrade my starters. Would you rather trade Gates (given his injury history) or Cameron (given that he is not too established, people will start to game plan for him more, and Gates has a longer track record)?

    Thanks!

    • gregsauce says:

      @Art Vandelay: I would prefer to hold Cameron, but you should make the trade that improves your team the most.

  12. the imp says:

    Thanks for the read, Greg.
    Do you like Fleener or Olsen for PPR ROS? I haven’t seen Fleener play and don’t have a sense if he has upside Olsen may lack.

  13. Wilsonian says:

    Here are my RBs:

    Forte, Moreno, Gio, CJ probably not even coming close to 1K, Wilson, Mathews

    We play 2 RBs, 1 W/R flex, and 1 W/R/T flex. 0.5 PPR.

    Been offered his Spiller/FJax for my Moreno/Mathews. Why am I even questioning it?

  14. Izmail says:

    Trade doug martin for knowshon moreno and torrey smith?

    • gregsauce says:

      @Izmail: Only if you really need the WR help with Smith. The Bucs should lean on Martin in a big way going forward with a rookie under center.

Leave a Reply

Featured

Yahoo Cup – Week 3 Recap

A lot of DFS sites have rolled out leagues this year, where you can play in one league with your friends all season long while still getting the enjoyment that comes with picking a new lineup each week. Somewhat unique among those is Yahoo’s season long Yahoo Cup. Every week ...

READ MORE

Week 3 DFS Value Picks: UPDATED

  Chalk Value Plays Miami Dolphins DST vs Cleveland Well, the price-makers oat Yahoo! got out ahead of the game on this one. They have Miami tied for the highest priced DST on the board. I don’t blame them…the matchup is incredible, especially with the unfortunate news that Corey Coleman broke his hand ...

READ MORE

Yahoo Cup – Week 2 Recap

A lot of DFS sites have rolled out leagues this year, where you can play in one league with your friends all season long while still getting the enjoyment that comes with picking a new lineup each week. Somewhat unique among those is Yahoo’s season long Yahoo Cup. Every week ...

READ MORE