Week 5 Fantasy Football Last Second Decisions: Now or Never For David Wilson
October 5, 2013 | Kevin Roberts
This is the week David Wilson doesn’t disappoint. It might be the week the New York Giants finally get a win, too. But more importantly, for depressed fantasy football owners who bought into Wilson’s super sleeper appeal, they just might finally be rewarded.
I won’t be force-feeding Wilson down your throats, and I won’t be bumping him up to an insane spot in my fantasy rankings this week. But I believe he’ll get it done and will get RB2 results in week five. After all, the Giants are too smart to not give this kid the rock like a feature back at some point, and no better matchup will present itself than a shaky Philadelphia Eagles defense.
It might be a pipe dream, but it’s my pipe dream. With that, let’s dive into the rest of the crazy lineup calls you may have to deal with in week five. First, let’s run over the big injuries:
Jake Locker, QB, Tennessee Titans
Locker’s red-hot start to 2013 is put on pause thanks to a bad hip injury. Thankfully he’ll be able to return at some point later in the year, though. For now, that gives Ryan Fitzpatrick some value. Just don’t play him this week against a nasty Chiefs defense.
Darren McFadden, RB, Oakland Raiders
McFadden will miss his first game of the year due to a bad hammy. This could be a multi-week deal, and some think he won’t be back until after Oakland’s bye week. Rashad Jennings stands to hold decent sleeper value this week with Marcel Reese also banged up.
Eddie Lacy, RB, Green Bay Packers
We’ll dive into Lacy a bit more in the role section below. Just know for now that his concussion is a thing of that past and he’ll get the start this week at home versus the Lions.
Ryan Mathews, RB, San Diego Chargers
Mathews was a late addition to the injury report this week with a hamstring issue. He probably suits up, but Danny Woodhead has been more consistent and should continue seeing more time on the field thanks to his versatility and reliability.
Chris Ivory, RB, New York Jets
Ivory was thought to be out several weeks with a tweaked hammy, but actually could return this week. The Jets are on the road against a desperate Falcons team, though, so I’m not buying into his value just yet. Bilal Powell should continue to be a borderline RB2.
Ahmad Bradshaw, RB, Indianapolis Colts
Bradshaw’s neck injury is more than a one week deal and it could even be season-ending. He’ll sit out a couple weeks before deciding on whether or not to have surgery. Even with a bullish matchup with the Seahawks, Trent Richardson has to have top-10 value once again this week.
Stevan Ridley, RB, New England Patriots
Ridley has officially been ruled out with a leg injury, giving LeGarrette Blount a big role against the Bengals this week. Ridley was in a full committee attack anyways, so hopefully you’re not missing him too much.
Brandon Bolden, RB, New England Patriots
Bolden was a prime candidate to beast out with Ridley sitting this week, but he’s also nicked up and may not face the Bengals. The matchup isn’t ideal anyways, so perhaps you should seek another RB sleeper for week five.
Brandon Marshall, WR, Chicago Bears
Marshall missed a couple of practices with a sore foot, but his status was never really in doubt. He’s a full go for week five, so use him as you normally would.
Danny Amendola, WR, New England Patriots
Don’t look now, but Wes Welker’s replacement just might finally play in week five. I personally can’t trust him that much, but if you need WR help it’ll be hard not to play him as a WR3. Just make sure he’s actually playing.
Miles Austin, WR, Dallas Cowboys
Austin sat out last week with a bad hammy and figures to do the same this week as Big D welcomes Peyton Manning and co. to town. That means rookie speedster Terrance Williams once again holds WR3 potential.
Santonio Holmes, WR, New York Jets
Holmes is out with a lengty hamstring injury. No matter, as he only has one game worth mentioning this year, anyways. Jeremy Kerley could have some WR3 value with him out, but we all know better than to confide in Jets WRs. Right?
Stephen Hill, WR, New York Jets
Hill banged his head last week and was even bleeding from the mouth thanks to a serious concussion. He has until Monday to rest up and get ready, but is no lock to suit up. You can find a more reliable option, anyways.
Rob Gronkowski, TE, New England Patriots
Gronk is closer to his 2013 debut, but it doesn’t sound like week five will be the time for him to return. He’s eyeing a week six return, so start planning for that.
Packers Running Backs – Eddie Lacy vs. Jonathan Franklin
James Starks was supposed to go nuts for the second week in a row in week three. Instead, he bumped his knee and Franklin took over and rolled over the Cincinnati Bengals. Until he lost a fumble that lost the game, that is. With Lacy 100% for week five, Franklin is just the #2. I don’t know if it means he has no value, but his upside will be harder to come by than Lacy’s in the immediate future. Meanwhile, a healthy Lacy has RB2 upside against a very beatable Lions run defense at home.
Cowboys vs. Broncos
Peyton Manning has 16 touchdowns to zero picks. The Cowboys gave up 401 passing yards to Philip Rivers. Need I say more? On the other side, whether or not this is a full-blown shootout in Big D or the Broncos go up big early, there will be lots of points here. That means lots of passing. You can make an argument for any big name in this one.
Eagles vs. Giants
The Giants are 0-4 and can’t stop anyone or generate consistent offense. The Eagles crush it against soft defenses and also can’t stop anyone on defense. Let a glorious shootout that no one really cares about ensue. Except for fantasy owners who have Eagles/Giants players, that is.
Raiders vs. Chargers
Terrelle Pryor returns to face a Chargers defense that us 25th against the run and also can’t stop the pass. The Raiders’ D isn’t great, either. Philip Rivers is red-hot and Danny Woodhead is starting a revolution for tiny white running backs. This one could get explosive.
Terrell Pryor, QB, Oakland Raiders vs. Sam Bradford, QB, St. Louis Rams
I love Pryor’s upside against the Chargers, but there’s nothing like a competent quarterback against the Jacksonville Jaguars. This is the team that made us think the Chiefs might be good. The same team that saw Russell Wilson throw four touchdown passes in a run-first offense. The same team that gave up 37 points to the Colts. Yeah, I’ll take Bradford this week.
Chris Johnson, RB, Tennessee Titans vs. Giovani Bernard, RB, Cincinnati Bengals
Many will be tempted to sit CJ2k and go with Gio here. After all, Bernard is getting a much bigger role these days and faces a Patriots run defense sans Vince Wilfork. With that info in mind, I can’t knock starting Gio. However, Johnson is a workhorse and with no Jake Locker, the Titans will once again run him into the ground. The nice thing, too, is that the Chiefs got crushed by the Eagles on the ground in week three, so it’s possible to run on them. I’m sticking with Johnson so I can enjoy that breakout game.
T.Y. Hilton, WR, Indianapolis Colts vs. DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans
Both of these guys are #2 options on run-first teams, and they have tough matchups this week. I think Hilton has more blow-up potential with Reggie Wayne likely drawing Richard Sherman this week, but just the opposite happened for Hopkins and co. last week versus the same Seahawks. Hopkins has at least five catches in every game but last week’s battle with Seattle. I’ll take him, as the Texans are actually passing the ball a ton lately.
Jared Cook, TE, St. Louis Rams vs. Greg Olsen, TE, Carolina Panthers
That Rams/Jaguars matchup pops up again. Olsen is the easy, safe call, but I don’t love his matchup with a tough Cardinals defense on the road. More importantly, Cook hasn’t done anything worth writing home about since his insane week one. Cook is your man. A date with the Jaguars this week looks to be the cure.
For personalized fantasy football advice, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @NFLSoupKevin.