Week 3 Starts and Sits September 25, 2015  |  Chet


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Howdy fake footballers, I’m back with another video for my Week 3 Starts and Sits.  Click play below to review last weeks picks and look forward to Week 3 with some help from Vegas betting lines and my shoddy game flow prediction using Football Outsiders’ DVOA metrics for each team.  Or you can scroll right past the video player to get to my quick-hitting lists of Starts and Sits.  Before we get to any of that, here are some important links:

2015 Game Flowbotics (Week 3)

TFF’s Week 3 Staff Rankings

 

 

Starts

QB

  • Cam Newton vs. NO:  The tastiest of match-ups.
  • Philip Rivers @ MIN:  Even with Ladarius Green ailing, Rivers has enough weapons to punish the Vikings soft defense.
  • Alex Smith @ GB:  Out on a bit of a limb here, but the Green Bay defense isn’t all that great.
  • Nick Foles vs. PIT:  I like his receivers too.
  • Jameis Winston @ HOU:  I’ve bet against the QB facing Houston twice and been burned both times.  Let’s go the other way and get burned for once.

RB

  • Melvin Gordon @ MIN:  I like the Chargers in this game and Gordon should produce if they’re winning.
  • Dion Lewis vs. JAC:  Jags have been solid against the run, which could spell trouble for the “Blount game” many are expecting.
  • Devonta Freeman @ DAL:  Copious volume against a Dallas squad too depleted to enforce a negative game script.
  • David Johnson vs. SF:  Love hearing that the team wants to increase his touches going forward.  Match-up against the Niners is ripe.
  • Fred Jackson vs. CHI:  Deep consideration only, but could see mop-up duty in a blowout.  UPDATE:  With Marshawn Lynch questionable for this game, F-Jax is in line for even more work.  Stash Jackson if you can find room on your bench and be ready to start him if Lynch is out.

WR

  • Brandon Marshall vs. PHI:  Fitzpatrick forces him the ball.  It’s glorious.
  • Jeremy Maclin @ GB:  Pairs with my feelings on Alex Smith.
  • Donte Moncrief @ TEN:  Let’s face it — he’s the Indy WR to own.
  • Kendall Wright vs. IND:  He’s zigging and zagging between good and bad match-ups.  This is a good one.
  • James Jones vs. KC:  Injury to Davante Adams cements Jones as the WR2 for Aaron Rodgers
  • Kenny Britt vs. PIT:  See Nick Foles above
  • Doug Baldwin & Jermaine Kearse vs. CHI:  Big game for Russell Wilson is imminent.  His receivers will benefit.

TE

  • Kyle Rudolph vs. SD:  Seems like Teddy’s most trusted receiver.
  • Jared Cook vs. PIT:  See Nick Foles and Kenny Britt above.
  • Eric Ebron vs. DEN:  Broncos have lock down corners, but who will cover Ebron?
  • Brandon Myers @ HOU:  Only for the deepest and most desperate owners, Myers could do work in place of the injured ASJ.

 

Sits

QB

  • Colin Kaepernick @ ARI:  He mopped up in garbage time against the Steelers, but will face a much tougher challenge against the Cards this week.
  • Sam Bradford @ NYJ:  The bloom is off the Bradford.  Brutal match-up.
  • Andy Dalton @ BAL:  Derek Carr torched the Ravens in Oakland, but look for Baltimore to bounce back against their divisional foe this week.  Dalton’s schedule is about to get horrendous.
  • Matthew Stafford vs. DEN:  He’s dinged up and facing an elite defense.  Pass on this passer.
  • Drew Brees @ CAR:  Plenty of other options available to take the risk on a hobbled Brees.

RB

  • Lamar Miller vs. BUF:  Health issues and a tough opponent have me concerned.
  • DeMarco Murray @ NYJ:  Didn’t have anywhere to run against Dallas.  Can it get better against the Jets?  Hamstring problem doesn’t help either.
  • Todd Gurley vs. PIT:  Rams might ease him into action.  Too many mouths to feed.
  • Bishop Sankey vs. IND:  Sporadic usage a constant headache and Indy poses too strong a threat of poor game flow.
  • Joique Bell vs. DEN:  Match-up should favor Abdullah and Riddick more.

WR

  • Brandin Cooks @ CAR:  He was over-hyped in the preseason.
  • Golden Tate vs. DEN:  The Broncos’ corners are very good.
  • Alshon Jeffery @ SEA:  Even if he plays, you can’t trust with Jimmy Clausen under center against Seattle.
  • Roddy White @ DAL:  Pushed aside by Hankerson?  Something fishy is going on with Atlanta.
  • Charles Johnson vs. SD:  We still can’t start him, as much as some of my rosters want it.
  • Markus Wheaton @ STL:  Getting outplayed by Darrius Heyward-Bey.  He stinks.
  • Travis Benjamin vs. OAK:  Lightning won’t strike again.  Manziel better for him than McCown, too.

TE

  • Martellus Bennett @ SEA:  Chicago is doomed.
  • Owen Daniels @ DET:  Too many owners want him to be Julius Thomas.
  • Ben Watson and Josh Hill @ CAR:  Stop trying to make the Saints offense a thing.

 

Thanks for reading/watching and good luck this week.

 

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