2013 Fantasy Football

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Week 2 Waiver Wire

posted by gregsauce

It’s official. We’re all screwed. David Wilson owners, screwed. Dez Bryant owners, screwed. Zach Sudfeld owners, screwed. Stevan Ridley owners and Shane Vereen owners, somehow both screwed. Owners who played against Peyton Manning, screwed seven times! By Phillips or by flathead, Week 1 of the fantasy football season took some portion of our fantasy hopes and buried them in pilot holes.

But never fear, fake footballers, when Bob Vila’s divine fantasy hammer pounds you into a wall, you might break through and find some daylight on the other side. That’s what working the waiver wire is all about and for those of you demoralized the most in the NFL’s opening weekend, chances are you’ll have first choice of all the options below.

With that said, try to avoid results-oriented thinking going forward. A bad opening week for any player doesn’t necessarily forecast a bad season to come. Similarly, a Week 1 breakout doesn’t guarantee a top-10 finish. For example, don’t be surprised if Eric Decker and Julius Thomas flip-flop stat lines in Week 2. Thomas is certainly worth a pick-up, but it might still be correct to keep him behind the tight end you drafted on your fake depth chart. Overall, don’t let the results of Week 1 make you forget why you drafted the players already on your squad.

Without further ado, here are your waiver wire targets for Week 2, sorted and ranked by position:

QUARTERBACK

Before Monday, no player had more rushing yards than Terrelle Pryor with 112 on 13 carries. LeSean McCoy eventually eclipsed that total against Washington, but Pryor will make frequent appearances at the top of the weekly rushing charts. Furthermore, Pryor wasn’t the passing train wreck many assumed he would be. Grain of salt alert! Pryor made all this noise against a subpar Colts defense. He gets the equally soft Jags in Week 2, but be wary of using him against better defenses.

Matt Schaub also benefited from a mediocre defensive opponent in Week 1, but his solid performance wasn’t out of character. He is perennially underrated as a fantasy passer and the addition of DeAndre Hopkins makes the Houston passing attack more dynamic as long as Andre Johnson and Owen Daniels stay healthy. Look for Schaub to continue his reliable fantasy production in the weeks ahead.

No team in the NFL has improved their fake football chemistry more than the Arizona Cardinals with their signing of Carson Palmer. It’s hard not to appreciate the symbiosis of Palmer breathing life into the Arizona receiving corps while they simultaneously lift their veteran quarterback back to fantasy relevance.

E.J. Manuel only passed for 150 yards, but his two passing touchdowns allowed him to sneak into the top-20 QBs in Week 1. The Bills passing game is a work in progress, but Manuel should be able to do more damage with his legs while his quarterbacking skills develop.

RUNNING BACK

Despite Reggie Bush’s huge game, Joique Bell posted a nice line on Sunday with 92 total yards and 2 TDs. Bell is most valuable in PPR formats for now, but with Bush already nursing minor injuries, it might only be a matter of time before Bell’s stock rises from flex-worthy to high-end RB2.

Knowshon Moreno proved to be John Fox’s RB du jour Thursday night. Maybe “amassed” is vocabulary overkill, but Moreno amassed 12 touches to Montee Ball’s 8 and Ronnie Hillman’s 6. It’s important to note that when the game was contested, Moreno got the work. He’s the best bet for consistent usage out of the Denver backfield, but stay away from this platoon if you can.

After Tom Coughlin banished David Wilson to the proverbial doghouse, Da’Rel Scott came on for the Giants and posted 74 total yards on 5 carries and 5 catches. Before you push your FAAB into the pot for Scott, know that Willis McGahee and Brandon Jacobs will work out for New York this week. It’s unlikely either would be ready to eat into Wilson or Scott’s workload as early as Week 2 if signed, but Scott’s value is primarily short-term.

Speaking of pathetic re-signings, the Steelers brought back Jonathan Dwyer after LaRod Stephens-Howling was lost for the season against the Titans. Dwyer immediately becomes a candidate for the best RB in Pittsburgh, but that’s a little like being the best ice skater in Death Valley. The Steelers’ offensive line is a mess and Le’Veon Bell will return soon enough, limiting Dwyer’s potential impact.

Fantasy managers all thought the Dolphins were messing with us when they said Daniel Thomas would remain involved in their rushing attack. We had daydreams of Lamar Miller, the feature back, racking up countless yards and touchdowns for our fake teams. It turns out the ‘Phins were serious about Thomas and those pleasant daydreams have become terrifying nightmares in which Miller gains 10 yards on 11 touches while Thomas gets 9 touches and vultures the only rushing TD. It pains me to recommend Thomas as a pick-up, but deep leaguers can’t ignore him if Miami maintains this platoon.

Roy Helu didn’t touch the ball much on Monday night against the Eagles, but he looked quick and explosive when given opportunities. He is one of the better backups in the league and has value as a handcuff and as a lottery ticket in case Alfred Morris breaks down.

New England’s backfield has been a roller coaster of fantasy value over the past two days. First, Stevan Ridley gets benched for a pair of fumbles. Shane Vereen then takes over and excels in Ridley’s absence. Somewhere along the line, Vereen breaks his wrist, but finishes the game. This injury requires surgery and suddenly any doubts about Ridley’s role going forward evaporate. With Vereen out for several weeks, Brandon Bolden and LeGarrette Blount are suddenly relevant. I prefer Bolden’s talent, but only Blount saw the field on Sunday, rushing for 15 yards on 7 carries. Leon Washington could also enter the mix, especially on passing downs, which makes him potentially valuable in PPR formats.

When Jamaal Charles left Sunday’s contest against the Jags with a bruised quad, Knile Davis took over and gained 17 yards on 5 touches. Charles has a history of injury, so Davis is worth a speculative add if you have roster space.

DeMarco Murray played pretty well on Sunday night, but he is an incredibly violent runner. It’s difficult to foresee injuries in most cases, but Murray seems destined for the trainer’s table if he maintains his reckless style. With that in mind, Phillip Tanner and the currently injured Lance Dunbar are decent stashes along the same lines as Roy Helu and Knile Davis.

WIDE RECEIVER

In a bit of news that will shock exactly no one, Danny Amendola is hurt. Thanks to 79 yards and 2 TDs on Sunday, Julian Edelman was a decent waiver target before we found out that Amendola would likely miss Thursday’s game. Now he’s likely this week’s most coveted free agent, slightly ahead of Joique Bell.

Denarius Moore caught Terrelle Pryor’s only touchdown pass on Sunday, but Rod Streater led the Raiders in targets and receiving yards. As with Pryor, Streater’s performance should be judged within the context of playing against a lousy defense, but he appears to be Pryor’s preferred receiving option.

Marlon Brown garnered some buzz in the preseason, but Jacoby Jones was the wideout on display for Baltimore early in the season opener. When Jones left the game with a knee sprain, Brown’s prospects were rejuvenated and he responded with 4 catches for 65 yards and a touchdown. Besides Torrey Smith, Joe Flacco doesn’t have much to work with in the passing game, so Brown should hold value while Jones is sidelined and possibly beyond.

Similarly, Roddy White’s ankle injury gives Harry Douglas a significant boost in value for the coming weeks. While White played decoy, Douglas caught 4 passes for 93 yards against New Orleans. High ankle sprains like the one afflicting Roddy are notoriously slow to heal and Douglas is in line to supplement the production originally expected from White in Atlanta’s passing game.

Sick of hearing about the fantasy potential of Ryan Broyles, Nate Burleson caught all six of his targets for 78 yards on Sunday. There’s nothing flashy about Burleson’s game, but he’s a viable fantasy play based solely on Detroit’s volume of pass attempts.

Seattle’s top receiver in Week 1 wasn’t Sidney Rice or Golden Tate. It was Doug Baldwin with 7 catches and 91 yards on 8 targets, all team-highs. This isn’t necessarily a narrative I expect to continue, but Baldwin was a trendy sleeper in 2012 and it wouldn’t shock me if he pulled ahead of Rice on Seattle’s depth chart.

Are we sure that Mike Wallace is even good anymore? Granted, he was blanketed by stud cornerback Joe Haden on Sunday, but it is worrisome that the Steelers were so willing to let Wallace go to Miami in the offseason. Meanwhile, the Dolphins also brought in Brandon Gibson and unlike Wallace, he didn’t disappoint in Week 1. If opposing defenses continue to key on Wallace, Gibson could be in line for more performances like the one we saw on Sunday (7 catches, 77 yards).

Jericho Cotchery beat out Markus Wheaton for the Steelers’ third WR spot and scored a touchdown to go with 34 yards on Sunday. Cotchery’s upside is limited by the presence of Antonio Brown and Emmanuel Sanders, so only deep leaguers need apply.

Eddie Royal found the end zone twice and actually led the Chargers in receptions with 3 on Monday night. We in the fantasy community may have been too quick to bury Phil Rivers, but I still prefer Vincent Brown, Antonio Gates, and Malcom Floyd to Royal. If those guys are owned, go nuts.

Josh Gordon has one more game to serve on his suspension so if you’re desperate for a one-week PPR substitute at wide receiver, Davone Bess could be the guy for you. He had 10 targets on Sunday and should receive a similar workload in Week 2. All bets are off when Gordon returns, though.

TIGHT END

My love of Jordan Cameron has been well documented. I boldly predicted he would finish 2013 as a top-5 tight end. Get him on your rosters.

Julius Thomas exploded onto the fantasy scene in the season opener, but remember that there are many mouths to feed in Denver before you slot Thomas into your lineup ahead of more proven fantasy producers.

Brent Celek scored a touchdown on one of his two Monday night receptions and I’m buying, despite the low volume of catches. The receiving options in Philly are limited beyond DeSean Jackson, so Celek should continue to produce in Chip Kelly’s offense.

While everyone else is bailing off the Zach Sudfeld bandwagon, I’m grabbing the wheel. The injuries to Amendola and Vereen will create opportunity in the New England offense. We shouldn’t assume that Sudfeld’s lack of usage in Week 1 is indicative of Bill Belichick’s future strategies. His game plans often change based on match-ups and Sudfeld could still deliver on the preseason hype in the coming weeks.

gregsauce

Greg Smith writes for TheFakeFootball.com and TheFakeBaseball.com.He can be found on Twitter @gregsauce.

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38 Comments

  • My QB position is not solid. So I am looking to play for match-ups. I have a very good feeling about Pryor against the Jags. I also have a solid belief in Carson Palmer who did well for me last week. Any thoughts on who to play this week?

    • @EQ23: I prefer Pryor this week. He has a nice match-up considering his skill set and Palmer’s match-up is a little worrisome. The Lions have defensive playmakers up front that could tear the shaky Arizona O-line apart and create a lot of problems for Palmer.

  • Struggling with which WR to drop for Edelman in a dynasty auction 3 WR ppr $225 cap. #1 and #2 wrs are Marshall ($38) and Andre ($35).

    #3 wr is up in the air among Greg Jennings ($2), Lance Moore ($6), and Markus Wheetus ($3). Which guy should be dropped for Edelman?

    • I am by no means a dynasty guru. In the couple of keeper leagues I play in, I always aim to “win now” and with that mentality, I’d drop Wheaton for Edelmam. With that said, if you’re enamored with the youth of Wheaton, dropping Moore is a fine alternative. Moore’s consistency will always be a concern in the Saints’ loaded offense.

  • Shorts was dropped last night. Is he worth a pickup in a 1 pt PPR. I would have to drop Givens or Thompkins. My WRs are Megatron, Garçon and Bowe. I could drop Bradshaw. My RBs are TRich, Wilson, Mathews and Tate. Pick him up or keep what I have? Thanks!

    • @Glenn: I would drop Givens or Thompkins for Shorts. Henne is the Jags QB for Week 2 and there’s a chance that Gabbert doesn’t get that job back, which helps Shorts a lot. Considering the bulk of targets Thompkins saw in Week 1, I’d hold onto him based on your PPR setting and drop Givens.

  • 12 team PPR, I was 8th on waivers, wasn’t able to pick up anyone I was interested in. Any thoughts on Streater?
    Thanks!

    • Hey Jermichael, glad to see you back for another season of Fake Football! I like Streater a fair amount. He seems like option 1 or 1A in the Raiders admittedly meager passing game, but he’s still worth owning. I’m not sure who you’d be dropping, but Streater deserves consideration.

  • Dropped Sudfeld for Edelman off waivers.. Own Jordan Cameron though.
    Would you drop Big Ben for Terrelle Pryor?

    Thoughts on Aaron Dobson getting any time this week? Dobson or Sudfeld rest of the way?

    Also own James Jones, Lance Moore and Vincent Brown – ugh.

    The likes of Marlon Brown, Harry Douglas, Doug Baldwin are all available. Any recommendations?

    • @Brian: Roethlisberger vs. Pryor is close. If we’re talking about your QB1, I’d stick with Roethlisberger. If we’re talking about your backup QB, I’d go with the guy who has a better match-up in your starter’s bye week.

      Aaron Dobson is questionable for Thursday’s game, but he should see some work if he plays and Amendola doesn’t. Sudfeld is also questionable and considering his and Kenbrell Thompkins’ lack of production in Week 1, I think I’d rather have Dobson. With that said, I’d rather have (in order) Marlon Brown, Harry Douglas, and Doug Baldwin than either of them.

  • Pick 2: J. bell, Edelman or B. brown? I’m both a shady and bush owner. I currently own Brown and my other RBs are Sproles and Tate. However my WRs are Bowe, Thompkins, Tate, and Gordon. Also have the Gronk. PPR. Thanks Greg.

    • @ryanstewart_duh: I don’t think it’s worth the roster space to handcuff both McCoy and Bush. Based on the health history of Bush, I’d lean towards rostering Bell along with Edelman, but it’s fine if you want to protect your first-round investment with Brown instead of Bell.

  • Good work. Q: Would you drop Bryce Brown or Chris Ivory, both on my bench, for Edelman? Need WR help with Roddy shaky. Thanx!

    • If LeSean McCoy is not on your Roster, I would drop Bryce Brown, for Juliun Edelman, in that situation.

    • @Anthony: I wouldn’t drop Brown because the pace of the Eagles offense is fast enough to make him a borderline flex starter most weeks. McCoy simply can’t play as many snaps as Chip Kelly wants to run and that gives Brown value. I’d consider dropping Ivory if you were deep enough at RB and needed the WR help of Edelman. Definitely depends on your roster and it’s very close, but in a vacuum, I’d rather have Edelman than Ivory at this point.

      • Thanks. 3 wr, 2 rb, 1wr/rb, Got Alfred, T Rich, and Gio in the flex., and only B Brown and Ivory on bench. Roddy, Steve J., MIchael Floyd, Gordon

  • I have Amendola as my WR 2… Mike Williams on Bench any Reason to drop Mike for Edelman?? Same on team 2 …Strong WR’s Green,Fitz, Colston Garcon, Gordon, Hilton.. Drop Hilton for Edleman or J.Bell?? thanx

    • @Banjoe: I wouldn’t drop Mike Williams for Edelman in the first league, but I would consider dropping Hilton for Bell in the second league if I needed RB help. You’re deep enough at WR to let Hilton go. Trading one of you wideouts might be a better option, though.

  • Better add? Edelman or Julius Thomas? I’ve got Cameron as my only TE. The WRs on my bench are shorts, golden Tate and kenbrell thompkins. I have an open bench spot, no need to drop anyone. Thanks!

    • @Dave: Edelman. Cameron would start ahead of Thomas most weeks.

  • Got roddy in a standard 10 team league no flex start 3 WRs, don’t think I’m gonna start him this week and sub in shorts for him….. Should I put a bid in for eldelman and if so what % faab…… Got victor and A brown and Ruben randel on my bench. Gonna drop Kendall hunter

    • @Nathan: Seems like a good plan. 20-40% of your FAAB is reasonable for Edelman.

  • 12 team PPR, start 1 Flex… Should I use my #2 priority for J Bell or Edelman?

    My long term need is RB depth, but it would be nice to start Edelman in the flex this week with Gordon still suspended… Do you think Bell can sustain long term value without a Bush injury, or is he just another lottery ticket (a la Tate, Pierce)?

    QB: Luck
    WR: Bryant, Garcon, Hilton, Gordon
    RB: Sproles, Murray, Tate, Pierce, Helu
    TE: Graham

    Thanks!

    • bell. you’re in dire need of RB help. bell def not a lottery ticket.

    • I’d play for Bell, but you might as well put in a claim for both in case the #1 priority guy takes Bell.

  • Would you continue to roll with Fred Davis, or would you drop him for Julius Thomas? I have the #1 waiver priority, but I’m not scared of using it. 12-team, PPR

    • @Principle Blackman: I’d roll the dice with Thomas. Jordan Reed’s prominent involvement last night for Washington has me concerned about Davis going forward.

  • .5 PPR league, drop E Sanders for J Bell? How much of faab ($100) would you use?

    • @Mike T: Depends on your positional needs, but I like Sanders slightly more for the year. $10-20 of your FAAB is probably what Joique is worth, but I could see paying more if you really need RB help. Remember that FAAB is worth less and less every week because you’re getting the players you buy for fewer games as the season progresses.

  • OMG Thanx Vereen. .Wat to do?? I own Reggie … Do Drop Or Stash Vereen and pick up Joique or Pierre Thomas?? other than that I need a TE (Cameron is my only TE Week 10 bye) but Last on Waivers I doubt I’ll get J Thomas.. ( 10 Team so Not too concerned yet) … ..My ONE Concern is I have David Wilson and Giant and Lions both have week 9 byes?? thanx for ur input

    • @Steve C: Don’t worry about getting a backup tight end. You can address that need closer to Cameron’s Week 10 bye. As for Vereen, I would stash him for now, but see if you can drop someone else for Joique Bell. Perhaps you’re carrying a backup QB that you don’t need?

  • Top 5 TEs: Graham, Gronk, Gonzalez/VDavis/Witten

    • @timmy riggins: Congrats, you agree with the fantasy hive mind. I think at least one of those guys falls out of the top 5 as Cameron ascends.

      • There’s a reason for it. These guys are perennial pro-bowl players with stud QBs. I’d rather own Jared Cook too

  • 12 team non-ppr, i have Rudolph at TE…how much of my $100 FAAB should I throw on Cameron? thanks!

    • @trick dad: $10-15 seems reasonable, depending on what other tight ends are available. P.s. Thanks for loving the kids.

  • I’m considering dropping Lance Moore for Edelman. My other WR’s are Andre Johnson, Dwayne Bowe, and James Jones. Thoughts?

    • @newguy: I’d do it. With all the other options in New Orleans, Moore will lack consistency.

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