2012 Fantasy Football

Ξ 19 comments

Week 15 Waiver Wire

posted by gregsauce

My condolences to those of you who were bounced from the fake football playoffs by the Seahawks defense or Cam Newton in Week 14. I crashed and burned the old-fashioned way in my longtime keeper league: by starting a couple running backs who combined for 42 total yards and a fumble. I would say “thanks for nothing”, but “thanks for negative” is more accurate. Enough sob stories, though, let’s move on to this week’s waiver wire wish list.

QUARTERBACKS

Brandon Weeden, CLE – It’s the season for giving, so the NFL schedule is bestowing Weeden with the gift of facing one of the league’s most generous teams in terms of fantasy points allowed to QBs this week. It’s a give-fest, a give-a-palooza, and a give-stravaganza all rolled into one.

Nick Foles, PHI – Foles turned in a strong performance on Sunday, but remember who his opponent was before you cash in your remaining FAAB dollars on the Eagles QB. The Buccaneers make most quarterbacks look better than they are (see Carson Palmer’s 414 yards & 4 TDs in Week 9). Foles likely won’t be as fortunate against the Bengals this week.

Kirk Cousins, WAS – Are Kirk and DeMarcus cousins? No, but also yes. I don’t recommend that you boogie with Kirk this week, but in 2-QB leagues, you occasionally don’t have a choice.

RUNNING BACKS

David Wilson, NYG – Ahmad Bradshaw injured his knee against the Saints on Sunday. Tom Coughlin petitioned the league to amend the injured reserve rules in-game so he could activate Andre Brown, to no avail. With no other options, the Giants’ coach begrudgingly put Wilson into the game. Thirteen carries, 100 yards, and 3 total touchdowns later, Wilson is the clear-cut #1 waiver claim this week.

Bilal Powell, NYJ – Powell continued his recent stretch of strong play on Sunday and matched Shonn Greene’s total of 13 fantasy points. We’re at a point where Powell has equaled or bettered Greene’s fantasy production in three out of the past four weeks. Powell is a solid flex option going forward.

Montell Owens, JAC – Like David Wilson, Owens had a nice Week 14 game in relief of a litany of injured teammates, with 102 total yards and score on 14 caries and one reception. Maurice Jones-Drew and/or Rashad Jennings could return this week, but Owens is worth a speculative add in case they don’t.

Joique Bell, DET – When Mikel LeShoure doesn’t get TDs, Bell is the Lions running back you want to own. The Detroit coaches appear to be noticing this, as Bell’s carries have steadily increased over the past four weeks. Meanwhile, he was already outperforming LeShoure every week in the passing game. With the Lions falling out of playoff contention, they appear to be changing the guard at RB slightly to see what Bell can do down the stretch.

LaMichael James, SF – James was active for the first time all season on Sunday, posting 30 yards on 8 carries and 1 catch for 15 yards. Frank Gore is still the man in San Francisco and Anthony Dixon will get some work (9 yards and a TD on Sunday), but James is in line to pick up the change-of-pace touches that Kendall Hunter was seeing earlier in the season.

DuJuan Harris, GB – If we ignore Week 11 against the Lions, Alex Green has averaged exactly 6 fantasy points per game since Week 5, with a ceiling of 7 points and a basement of 5 points. That’s extremely consistent, but it’s equally unexciting. In his first action of the season on Sunday, Harris carried seven times for 31 yards and a touchdown. DuJuan? Do want.

Robert Turbin, SEA – Turbin had his best game of the season in Sunday’s blowout against the Cardinals. It was primarily a garbage time performance, but this week’s game against the Buffablow Bills could offer similar garbage time opportunities to Turbin.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Kenny Britt, TEN – I was surprised to see Britt was only owned in 50% of Yahoo leagues (73% ESPN ownership, for what it’s worth), but that number will increase significantly after Sundays 8-catch, 143-yard outburst. It was his best game of the season and it came against a weak opponent, but Britt is finally healthy and has reassumed the #1 WR mantle in Tennessee.

Josh Gordon, CLE – Speaking of players taking hold of the wideout conch on their respective teams, Josh Gordon continues to garner the bulk of Brandon Weeden’s targets. Sucks to your assmar, Greg Little.

Alshon Jeffery, CHI – I endorsed Jeffery on Twitter before game time on Sunday morning and he rewarded me with 57 yards and a TD against the Vikings. Brandon Marshall is still Jay Cutler’s first, second, and third reads on pass plays, but Jeffery is emerging as a valuable red zone target for the Bears.

Chris Givens & Brandon Gibson, STL – Gibson had the better fantasy day, with 6 catches for 100 yards and a TD, but Givens had more targets (10 to Gibson’s 9). With Minnesota and Tampa Bay on deck, both of these receivers will continue to have value going forward.

Dwayne Harris & Cole Beasley, DAL – As of this writing, Dez Bryant has been diagnosed with a finger ligament tear, but no decision has been made regarding season-ending surgery. If Bryant can’t play, Harris and Beasley will become the #2 and #3 Cowboy wide receivers, respectively. If Bryant postpones surgery, tapes up his fingers and plays, Harris should still receive extra work as the WR3 to limit Bryant’s on-field exposure.

Rod Streater, OAK – It’s not always sunny in Oakland, but there’s a looks-brains-wildcard situation brewing in the Raiders’ receiver ranks. Until the team figures out this dynamic on the field, the fantasy ramifications will continue to be unpredictable. Analogous to other unpredictable systems, the wildcard, Rod Streater, has emerged as the most reliable option of late for the Raiders.

Kris Durham, DET – Contrary to last week’s hypothesis that Mike Thomas would inherit the #2 WR role from the injured Ryan Broyles, it was Kris Durham doing the damage opposite Calvin Johnson on Sunday. Durham caught 4 passes for 54 yards on 9 targets, while Thomas had zero targets (he did run the ball twice for 25 yards).

TIGHT ENDS

Tony Scheffler, DET – Scheffler, on the other hand, delivered on the speculation that he’d be used more in Broyle’s absence. He grabbed 3 of his 10 targets for 20 yards and a score on Sunday, which landed him inside the top-10 tight ends amid an admittedly lackluster week at the position overall. Scheffler’s Week 15 match-up against the Cardinals isn’t particularly exciting, but he will continue to be a viable option at tight end if given a similar number of targets.

Rob Housler, ARI – Housler also had 10 targets in Week 14. He’s averaging 9 targets over his past three games, and 8 targets over his past six games. Unfortunately, Housler’s yardage and touchdown production over those spans have been pretty mediocre. With a half-decent quarterback under center for the Cardinals, we might have remembered Housler’s season a little differently. Regardless, he’s still worth a look in deep PPR leagues.

gregsauce

Greg Smith writes for TheFakeFootball.com and TheFakeBaseball.com.He can be found on Twitter @gregsauce.

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19 Comments

  • Hey Greg, in case RG3 can’t go this week, should I pick Palmer or Wilson?
    Thanks.

    • I like Wilson more this week.

  • Ok. I usually dont ask total line-up questions, but my team has dwindled thanks to injuries and I really need help. And, Im playing my mom (she is a fantasy beast, but still… I dont want to get booted out of the playoffs by my mother). So any help appreciated. 12 team non-ppr. Need two WRs, two Rbs, and a flex.

    WRS:
    Julio Jones
    Blackmon
    denarius moore
    tb mike williams
    Chris Givens
    DHB
    Avant

    RBS
    Chris Johnson
    knowshon
    ballard
    McFadden
    Shonn Greene

    Also, I have gresham at TE. He can be frustrating. Should I drop him (or someone else) for one of the following:
    Pitta
    schefler
    dressen
    watson
    mccoy
    harbor
    fasano
    cook

    Sorry for the novel. Thanks for the help

    • WR: Julio, Williams
      RB: Moreno, Johnson
      Flex: McFadden

      At TE, I’d stick with Gresham. His basement is a higher than Pitta’s and we don’t know exactly how the Ravens offense will use Pitta in the first game without Cam Cameron.

  • 8 team league. Who do you think is a better option for my flex spot? It’s 1 PPR. My options: demarco Murray, Stevan Ridley, Ryan Mathews, lance Moore, steve smith (car) or pick up David Wilson and plug him in?

    • If Bradshaw is out, it’s Wilson. If not, I’d rank them Moore, Murray, Ridley.

  • 12 Team PPR: 2nd round of playoffs: Brees, Freeman, Cruz, Dez, garcon, DX, James Jones, Martin, Alex Green, Beanie, Graham, Rudolph, Rivers.I have a few issues this week: If Dez starts, do i play him? It will be hard to sit him if he’s starting. Also, if RG3 doesn’t play, do I start Garcon? We also play a flex position. I’m actually playing against RG3 and grabbed Rivers off waivers in case my opponent was going to try & grab the top available qb. He ended up grabbing Cousins.
    10 Team PPR: Eli, Luck, Dez, Cruz, Wayne, Marshall, VJax, AP, Ray Rice, DMC, Ballard, Vernon, Gates, Bennett. I started Bennett over Gates & Vernon last week & worked out very well, worth it to do it again this week? Do I start Marshall if Cutler doesn’t play, also same with Dez. Is Ballard worth a start as flex over any of those WR’s, full pt PPR, thinking I still flex a WR.
    Thanks!

    • 12-team: If Dez starts, I would play him. If RGIII is out, I would start all your other WR ahead of Garcon.

      10-team: Bennett and Davis will be very close in my rankings this week. Bennett has a pretty good match-up against the Falcons, but Davis has a great match-up against the Niners. I would probably pull a Harbaugh and go with the hot hand in Bennett. If Cutler doesn’t start, I’d rank your WR V-Jax, Cruz, Wayne, Marshall, Dez. If Cutler starts, Marshall would move ahead of Wayne and probably slightly ahead of Cruz. I like Ballard a lot this week, but in PPR, you should flex one of those elite wideouts.

  • Pick 3: Martin, Murray, BGE, Bryce, DMC

    • Martin, Brown, Murray.

  • Would you drop Nate Washington for any of the following WRs: A. Hawkins, D. Bess, B. Gibson, A. Jeffery. 12 team nonPPR, my other WRs are Dem. Thomas, Andre Johnson, Dez (finger issue-will he play?), DHB and Washington.

    • I’d drop him for these guys, in order: Jeffery, Hawkins, Gibson.

  • Appreciate it!

  • What up G. Play Houston D(scary), or pick up and play Cincy, or Dettroit? Also, continue to bench Fitz for Shorts, Torrey, or Miles? Thanx.

    • I like the Bengals and Lions defenses more than Houston’s this week. I’ll probably have them CIN, DET, HOU when my ranks come out.

      As for your wide receivers, Miles Austin is my favorite of that bunch. I don’t like Torrey Smith’s match-up against Champ Bailey and Shorts might not be 100% by Sunday.

  • Hey, Greg. Let’s say Pettigrew is out again. How strongly do you feel about Scheffler? Play him over someone like Antonio Gates?

    • I’ll have my ranks up later this week, but yes, I would use Scheffler over Gates if Pettigrew is out again.

  • Which D/ST would you be inclined to play this week? Standard yahoo scoring.

    CHI vs GB
    MIN @ STL
    TEN vs NYJ

    And how would you feel about CLE vs WAS compared to these other options, if RG3 is ruled out?

    Obviously CHI was the slam dunk choice over the first 10 weeks of the season, but lately they’ve been very average (if not below).

    • While I like the match-ups for the Titans and the Browns (if RGIII sits), I’d probably just roll with the Bears. They scored 9 fantasy points against the Packers in Green Bay back in Week 2. This is an important divisional game at home for Chicago, so I don’t expect them to crap the bed, even against a tough opponent like the Packers. For the sake of completeness, I’d rank those options CHI, TEN, CLE (vs. Cousins), MIN, CLE (vs. RGIII).

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