2012 Fantasy Football

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Week 15 Start/Sit

posted by Mike Braude

START

 

QB: Josh Freeman at NO – Josh Freeman hasn’t been the best quarterback this season but he has an impressive streak going. In all but one of his last nine games, Freeman has thrown at least two touchdowns. This week he faces the Saints defense that is ranked 30th against the pass. These two teams previously met in Week 7 and Freeman enjoyed his best game of the season – passing for 420 yards and three touchdowns. Start him with confidence in this plus matchup.

RB: David Wilson at ATL – With his eruption last week, many saw David Wilson’s dynamic talent for the first time. He explodes through the hole and makes tacklers miss in the open field. There are no questions about talent or ability, just playing time. This week Ahmad Bradshaw looks very questionable with a knee sprain, if he sits, David Wilson is a low-end RB1.

C.J. Spiller vs. SEA – By now everyone knows the drill with Spiller. He’s a very explosive talent that is held back by his coach, who prefers Fred Jackson’s ability to run the ball between the tackles and his blitz-pickup on passing plays. With Fred Jackson now on the injured reserve, Spiller jumps back to RB1 status. Don’t be too concerned about his matchup; coach Chan Gailey knows how to open holes for his running backs and Spiller is averaging an absurd 6.6 yards per carry.

BenJarvus Green-Ellis at PHI – Usually I rag on Green-Ellis’ plodding tendencies in this space, but he’s run very well recently. He’s getting a consistent workload and has topped 100 rushing yards in three of his last four games. This week he faces an Eagles defense that has struggled with tackling and effort this season.

Darren McFadden vs. KC – Despite his struggles, Darren McFadden finally appears to be healthy and should be locked in for a solid workload. He faces the Chiefs, who are 27th against the run and are allowing 131.2 rushing yards to opposing teams. Although he hasn’t been the most effective, this is a matchup McFadden should be able to exploit.

WR: Josh Gordon vs. WAS – Josh Gordon has become a very intriguing fantasy player for owners to draft next season. He’s still a young rookie, but has shown big play ability coupled with heavy targets. Those two ingredients tend to lead to WR1 status. Back to this week, Gordon is someone to play based on favorable matchups. This week he faces the Redskins 31st ranked pass defense that is tied for the lead in passing touchdowns allowed with 27. Start Gordon confidently.

Lance Moore vs. TB – Lance Moore is another player that should be relied upon based on his matchup. This week he faces off against the Buccaneers’ league-worst pass defense. Last time they met, Moore finished with a healthy nine catches for 121 yards. It’s always a risk playing Moore because of the Saints’ other weapons but we do know that the Saints will be passing a lot against the 32nd ranked pass defense.

Mike Williams at NO – Despite struggling in his first matchup against the Saints, Mike Williams is an attractive play this week. Considering they’re facing the Saints, the Bucs will be putting up a lot of points. The Saints have allowed 8.2 yards per pass attempt and are ranked 30th against the pass. This is a quality matchup for the Bucs’ 2nd option through the air.

Michael Crabtree at NE – This week is a very good matchup for Michael Crabtree. The Patriots will score a lot of points, stop the 49ers running game, and keep the 49ers’ passing attack active throughout the game. With the Patriots currently 8th against the run and 29th against the pass, Crabtree is in for a productive week.

TE: Vernon Davis at NE – Also benefiting from the matchup with the Patriots, Vernon Davis is worth a start this week. Facing the defense that allows the most points to opposing tight ends, Davis should be heavily involved in the 49ers game plan. It doesn’t hurt that Tom Brady will force the 49ers to pass more than usual.

 

SIT

 

QB: Tony Romo vs. PIT – After passing for six touchdowns in his previous two games, Romo had a tough matchup with a hot Cincinnati defense last week and struggled. This week he faces the league’s best pass defense with his top offensive hindered with a fractured finger. Despite top corner Ike Taylor’s injury, I’d do my best to find other alternatives at quarterback.

RB: Mikel Leshoure at ARZ – After watching the Lions on Sunday Night Football, I came away thinking Joique Bell is a superior talent to Mikel Leshoure. He looks quicker, fights harder for yards, and is much more versatile, especially in the passing game. Considering last week Bell touched the ball 17 times, compared to Leshoure’s 14, there’s a solid chance the Lions agree. Be careful about playing Leshoure against the Cardinals.

Alex Green at CHI – After having his best rushing output of the season, Alex Green is someone owners are considering. Despite the Bears suddenly looking soft without Urlacher in the lineup, I’d advise owners to stay away. Green doesn’t have a big role for the Packers and will likely lose goal-line carries to John Kuhn. He’s a low-end flex option.

Michael Turner vs. NYG – Topping fifty total yards just once in his last five games, Michael Turner’s fantasy value hinges on his goal-line touchdowns. He’s still as likely as ever to score a goal-line touchdown but has very limited upside against the Giants stout defensive line. His upside isn’t much higher than 50 yards and a touchdown.

WR: Kenny Britt vs. NYJ – Coming off a beast game against the Colts in which Britt caught eight passes for 143 yards, Britt faces the Jets. Currently 3rd against the pass, the Jets stick Antonio Cromartie on the opposing team’s top wide receiver. Cromartie has been playing at a very high level and despite Britt’s recent surge; I like him to win this week’s battle.

Stevie Johnson vs. SEA – Despite a productive outing against the Rams last week, Johnson also draws a very difficult matchup. Sure to matchup with Seahawks’ top corner Richard Sherman, owners can’t be expecting a big game. Johnson doesn’t matchup well with Sherman’s tall, pressing style.

Brandon Lloyd vs. SF – Although he had his best game with the Patriots last week, Brandon Lloyd still cannot be trusted weekly. Despite scoring a long touchdown on blown coverage, Lloyd is still behind Hernandez and Welker in the pecking order. He faces the 49ers 2nd ranked pass defense this week and should be trusted as no more than a WR3.

TE: Antonio Gates vs. CAR – Appearing to be behind Malcom Floyd and Danario Alexander for Phillip Rivers’ pass attempts, Gates can’t be trusted anymore. Topping 60 receiving yards just once this season, it appears Gates’ years of being a quality tight end are behind us.

 

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Mike Braude

When he's not searching for ways to defeat his opponents, Mike Braude spends his time finding ways to remove the randomness of fantasy football and reward the most skilled fantasy owners. He has remedied this issue by creating Apex Fantasy Football Money Leagues.
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33 Comments

  • McFadden or Ridley???

    • McFad

  • Need to start two of the four WRs (half pt PPR): Colston, Cobb, Dez, Nicks.

    Help?

    • Tough one, you have to play Cobb, he’s the safest and best option. For the other three, I love them all but I’d go Colston because of his health and matchup. I’m a big Dez guy but it’s the fantasy playoffs and who knows how he’s gonna perform with the finger. Nicks, as much as I love him, just hasn’t been healthy all year.

  • Hi again. Thanks for all the help this year! PPR need three, Matt Forte,Alfred Moriss,Doug Martin or Jamall Charles.

    Also PPR flex need one ….Hartline,Dwyer,Amendola or Bial Powell?

    Thank you

    • No problem bud. Tough one but I’d bench Morris because he doesn’t catch passes. If you really want to play him, bench Forte. For the next question, I’d play Amendola.

  • Two questions for two different leagues.

    Standard Espn league
    I have RG3 and Stafford. I have Stafford in right now. If RG3 does play should I still play Stafford since RG3 might be limited or should I put RG3 in?

    Yahoo 6pts pass td’s
    I have Rodgers and Cam. I hate benching Rodgers but considering Cam has been the better QB lately and his matchup this week is the Chargers while Rodgers has the Bears, it doesn’t seem like such a bad idea. Who should I start?

    • RG3 isn’t going to play, so go with Stafford. For Yahoo, I love Rodgers about as much as anyone but you’re right, Cam’s the hotter QB. Right now, I wouldn’t bet against him.

  • i need to SIT one of these guys, thanks for your help, i love this website and tell all of my friends! cobb, sproles, nicks, david wilson, or demarco murray…. i am leaning to sit nicks, thoughts? thanks again!!!

    • Glad to hear you like the website bud! I’d actually sit Sproles instead, I don’t like him in standard leagues this week because of the Bucs good run D.

  • Succop vs. KC, Hanson vs. AZ, Dawson vs. Was, Bailey vs. Pit, Lindell vs. Sea or Carpenter vs. Jac?
    Thanks!

  • 8 team PPR, got a couple decisions to make. For my WR3 I’ve got DX, steve smith, lance Moore, and miles Austin as options, I’m leaning DX right now. For my Flex I’ve got Ridley, demarco, and Ryan Mathews as options along with whoever I don’t start as my WR3. Really torn on that one. I had demarco penciled in but now there are reports that Mathews will likely push 30 touches tomorrow with ronnie brown out. Who do you like for my WR and flex spots?

    • Wow, 8-team leagues are like all-star team leagues. Why bother?

      • I’m the top scoring team and number 1 seed. Only 8 teams means all teams are good, it’s not as easy as you think. Make one bad decision and you’re done, there’s no room for error.

    • Yeah I’d go with DX. For Flex I would go with Steve Smith, but Miles Austin, DeMarco and Mathews could all be played in that slot. They’re all good plays and very close.

  • Which for my flex (non-PPR): Wells, Stevie Johnson or B. Myers (tough times for my team, we have waiver closure after week 13 and my team got hit hard by injuries)?

    • I understand, stick with Johnson

  • Hey Mike…need to pick 1 WR and 1 Flex out of Wayne, Julio, SJax, and Joique. Also, I’m really leaning towards playing Kaep over Matt Ryan this week — crazy? The floor seems a bit higher with Kaep…at least this week.

    • Go with Wayne and Julio. I’d stick with Matt Ryan too, he’ll turn it around soon

  • Also, if RG3 doesn’t go, who do you “like” – Fitzpatrick (on my roster), Locker or Cousins? Yeah I know…

    • Just pray to the fantasy gods that he does…. I’d actually play Cousins over the other two.

      • Sorry, I meant Mike, not Asher. My bad.

        Benching AJ is tough, but you may be right. I think it’s a decent problem to have though. Just wish I waited for the Wilson word, but thought Bryce would have a better night. Would’ve started D. Wilson and the 3 WRs…

        Thanks!

  • Asher – got burned a bit by Bryce Brown last night (was torn playing him, but didn’t know David Wilson’s status), but we move on.

    I see Wilson is on your START list. I need to start two from this group. Guide me to the Championship game – Andre Johnson, Colston, D. Wilson.

    Thanks!

    • That’s awful man, I think I’d bench Andre. It’s a coinflip but I love Wilson and Colston has a wonderful matchup. Ideally you don’t want to bench any of these.

  • 12 Team PPR: 2nd round of playoffs, laying against RG3, looks like he will probably play. My Wrs are Cruz, Dez, Garcon, DX & James Jones. I have to start 2 & flex 1. Cruz, DX & Garcon?
    10 Team PPR: Do I play Dez this week over any of these WRs: Cruz, Marshall, Wayne, VJax. I’m starting 3 & flexing 1.
    Thanks!

    • I’d play Dez over Garcon, he’s gonna be shadowed by Joe Haden – could go either way though, wouldn’t blame you for playing Garcon over him. The 10 Team PPR looks solid, I’d leave Dez on the bench.

  • Thanx for the Start/Sits! Q: start 1 wr: Fitz, Miles, Shorts, Torrey, Gordon. Which 3 rbs: T Rich, Morris, Murray, Brradshaw, Wilson. And which TE would you roll with: Olsen, Bennett, Rudolph? Thanx!

    • At WR: Gordon.
      At RB: T Rich, Morris, Wilson
      At TE: Bennett

  • have romo at QB this week only QB’s available are Kap(currently on waivers and im last waiver) and Weeden…if i end up with Kap would you start him over Romo?

    • Stick with Romo, I prefer him to Kaep this week.

  • Hey Mike, I like Freeman too, but do I start him over A-rod????? Thanks in advance…

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