Week 14 DraftKings Value Picks
December 4, 2014 | Ian Goldsmith
Do you play NFL DFS? Yes!?! Then be sure to check out The Fake Football Week 14 DFS Cheat Sheet!
Shaun Hill: $5,500 – St. Louis at Washington
Shaun Hill didn’t have to do much last week. Tre Mason and the Rams’ DST took care of that, yet he still managed to score a solid 21.42 FP while passing the ball a mere 22 times. He’ll need to throw it a lot more often this week against a Washington team that defends the run game much better than the Raiders. Tre Mason will not have another 40 FP effort, so look for Hill to connect with Stedman Bailey, et alia.
Brian Hoyer: $5,200 – Cleveland vs. Indianapolis
With the QB job secured, Hoyer will have to go out and prove himself in a very tough matchup against the Colts. You know Andrew Luck will be firing on all cylinders, so Hoyer needs to have another big game to keep up. With Crowell potentially out this week, the Browns are more limited in the run game, so look for Hoyer to throw the ball often. Let’s just hope he doesn’t stare down Josh Gordon 99% of the time. Tournament option with big upside.
Frank Gore: $4,800 – San Francisco at Oakland
Gore has looked every bit his age the past two weeks, running for a combined 64 yards on 25 carries…ouch. Why do I like him here then? It’s simple, really. Oakland does not know how to defend the run. At all. They’ve held opponents under 100 yards rushing in just three games this season. Gore won’t give you 20 points, but 15-20 is a reasonable upside for one of the all-time great RBs.
Jonathan Stewart: $3,800 – Carolina at New Orleans
If DeAngelo Williams is out, then Stewart makes for an excellent value play against a New Orleans team that has been repeatedly gashed by opposing RBs in recent weeks. The top RB for Saints’ opponents have all had at least 165 total yards in the past three weeks. Stewart’s legs aren’t as fresh as they used to be, but he’s healthy now and doesn’t have a lot of competition for touches. Mike Tolbert may vulture the goal line carries, but don’t let that sway you from a cheap back that can catch the ball.
Doug Baldwin: $4,400 – Seattle at Philadelphia
Baldwin isn’t consistent. He rarely has big days at all. That being said, if ever he had a week to go off it’s this one. Philadelphia allows nearly 41 FP per game to opposing WRs. Wilson should have no trouble creating space with his legs and extending plays long enough to find Baldwin several times today. He has 20-25 FP upside if he can score. Tournament option only.
Stedman Bailey: $4,300 – St. Louis at Washington
Bailey has all of a sudden burst onto the scene and has become Hill’s #1 receiving option in St. Louis. Pairing the two of them could pay off in a big way this week against a weak Washington secondary. He has 12 receptions for 189 yards and a TD in the past two weeks combined. Hill will be looking at him again often as St. Louis will need to pass the ball to win.
Jordan Reed: $4,600 – Washington vs. St. Louis
In three games with McCoy passing the ball, Reed has averaged a healthy 7 receptions. McCoy will need his prized TE once more in a difficult matchup against a pesky Rams’ team. His low price is welcome here and won’t hurt your team nearly as badly as, say, a Jimmy Graham 0 target performance would. Use him in cash games and tournament lineups as well.
Travis Kelce: $4,500 – Kansas City at Arizona
Kelce is the worst kind of fantasy player. You know he possesses the ability to go off on any given week, but the presence of Fasano and Andy Reid’s unpredictable play calling make him a risky option. The matchup is certainly there this week as Arizona is once again near the bottom of the league versus the TE position. If KC wants to win this week, he will have to be involved. Don’t use him in cash games, however.
Houston Texans: $3,700
J.J. Watt, meet Jacksonville. If I were Blake Bortles, I’d consider calling in sick.
New Orleans Saints: $3,000
The Saints’ DST has been all over the place this year, but they have a nice chance to do well this week against a Carolina team that is allowing over 3 sacks per game. In Week 9, the Saints sacked Newton 4 times on route to a solid 12 FP effort. They are a risky pick, so use them in tournaments only.