2012 Fantasy Football

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Week 13 Waiver Wire

posted by gregsauce

The fake football season is winding down and you probably have a good idea about which of your fake squads is still in contention for the playoffs. Before you start digging the graves for your sub-.500 teams, remember that there’s a special place in hell for managers who don’t stick it out and field an active lineup every week. Beyond that, I recommend using this time to strategically block your most villainous opponents from adding the players their teams need the most. You may not make the playoffs, but you can always try to take your fantasy nemeses down with you. With that in mind, here are this week’s top waiver wire pick-ups:

QUARTERBACKS

Chad Henne, JAC – The Jaguars’ QB-by-default turned in a solid outing on Sunday with 261 yards and a pair of TD passes. The bulk of Henne’s fantasy impact is tied to the resurrection of Justin Blackmon, but if you’re in dire need of a QB this week, Henne is a viable plug-in.

RUNNING BACKS

Knowshon Moreno, DEN – The announcement that Moreno would start over Ronnie Hillman and Lance Ball broke pretty close to game time on Sunday morning, so you may still have a shot at the Broncos’ new/old feature back.

Beanie Wells, ARI – Beanie found the end zone twice on Sunday and is hence poised to finish the week as a top-10 running back. With LaRod Stephens-Howling sorely hurting, Wells should continue to receive the majority of carries in Arizona.

Michael Bush, CHI – If you had Week 12 in your league’s Matt-Forte-gets-injured pool and it pays out in FAAB dollars, make sure to spend some of those newfound funds on Bush this week. Everyone else will be dipping into their savings.

Jalen Parmele & Rashad Jennings, JAC – Parmele appeared to be on his way to a nice game before leaving with a groin injury against the Titans. Jennings came on in relief and carried 13 times for 43 yards and a touchdown (compared to Parmele’s 8 carries for 45 yards). Jennings is the safer pick-up because he’s healthy, but you should be willing to grab Parmele and stash him in case his injury isn’t serious.

Jacquizz Rodgers, ATL – On a similar number of carries, ‘Quizz dominated Michael “The Crock Pot” Turner in YPC on Sunday, 4.9 to 1.3. Rodgers also scored his first rushing touchdown of the season in the second quarter. It only took 12 weeks, but the Falcons’ coaches have finally figured out that if they want to score on a running play from 5 yards out, they should hand it to the guy who averages closer to 5 yards per carry. Turner scored later in the game (from 3 yards out), but the Atlanta backfield is morphing into a timeshare before our eyes.

Daniel Thomas, MIA – Speaking of timeshares, Thomas stayed relevant with 13 fantasy points against Seattle. Reggie Bush edged out Thomas with 14 points of his own. If anything happens to Bush over the next two weeks against the Patriots or 49ers, Thomas would be lined up for a nice run in the fantasy playoffs against the Jags and Bills. Stash him now, if possible.

David Wilson, NYG – Andre Brown broke his leg in Sunday night’s game against the Packers and has since been placed on IR. What’s more likely: that someone superstitiously told Brown to “break a leg” before the game, or that David Wilson wished Brown “good luck” before the game as a spiteful, superstition-fueled jinx? Either way, Wilson stands to inherit Brown’s role as Robin to Ahmad Bradshaw’s Batman for the rest of the regular season.

Bilal Powell, NYJ – Powell outperformed starter Shonn Greene for the second week in a row on Sunday. It’s difficult to rank all these platoon running back options. Put simply, Powell is the low man on the totem pole because his team’s offense is the one I trust the least. Still, it wouldn’t surprise me if Powell out-produced the likes of Jacquizz Rodgers, Daniel Thomas, and David Wilson going forward.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Pierre Garcon, WAS – After being left for dead by many fantasy owners, Garcon sprung back to life on Sunday, posting 93 yards and a TD on five catches. This waiver period is likely your last chance to grab Garcon before he gets back to universal ownership.

Ryan Broyles, DET – With Titus Young benched, Broyles had 6 receptions on 12 targets for 126 yards on Thanksgiving. I consider Broyles a top-30 wideout for the rest of the season, which makes him a must-add in most formats. If you’re still holding on to Young, it’s time to cut bait.

T.Y. Hilton & Donnie Avery, IND – If one of these two would just go away, we’d have a consistent WR2 on our hands. Hilton scored all the fantasy points, thanks to a receiving TD and a return TD, but Avery garnered the bulk of Andrew Luck’s targets (8 to Hilton’s 3). I’d rather have Hilton overall, but Avery will remain relevant if his usage stays steady.

Mohamed Sanu, CIN – With Andrew Hawkins sidelined, Sanu scored two touchdowns against the lowly Raiders on Sunday. He’s scored four times over the Bengals’ last three games, demonstrating that anyone starting opposite of A.J. Green will have fantasy value.

Dwayne Harris, Kevin Ogletree, & Cole Beasley, DAL – Miles Austin injured his hip against Washington on Thursday and was replaced by Harris and Beasley. Ogletree was unavailable due to a concussion he suffered in Week 11, but should be back for Week 13. Austin may also be able to return without missing time, so stay away from this WR corps unless you’re desperate.

Chris Givens, STL – Danny Amendola wasn’t 100% on Sunday and Givens picked up the slack for the Rams with 115 yards and touchdown. Amendola should be healthier for this week’s game against the Niners, so don’t count on Givens to finish as a top-10 wideout two weeks in a row.

Rueben Randle, NYG – Randle showed signs of life against the Packers on Sunday night. With Dominic Hixon on the sidelines in street clothes, Randle caught two passes for 26 yards and a TD. Those of you in deep leagues should take a shot on Randle if you can afford it. Hakeem Nicks has never been the picture of health and Randle should have value as the Giants’ WR3, regardless.

Aldrick Robinson, WAS – More like “All-or-nothing” Robinson, right? For the second week in a row, Aldrick caught a long TD pass and called it a day. The 68-yard bomb on Thanksgiving came on his only target of the day, a play worth 12 fantasy points. I wouldn’t count on regular production from Robinson, but he’s a fine lottery ticket for deep leaguers.

TIGHT ENDS

Dennis Pitta, BAL – It was a crumby week for tight ends, in general, but Pitta didn’t get the memo. His 10 fantasy points and 9 targets both tied for the 4th-most at his position on Sunday. Pitta’s lack of usage in the middle of the season relegated him to fantasy irrelevance, but it seems like the Ravens are making a concerted effort to fit him back into the game plan.

Marcedes Lewis, JAC – Like Cecil Shorts and Justin Blackmon, Lewis has benefitted from the switch from Blaine Gabbert to Chad Henne. After posting a season-high 16 fantasy points in Week 11, Lewis’ 56 receiving yards in Week 12 were also a season high.

Rob Housler, ARI – It’s official, Ryan Lindley has found his security blanket. Housler’s 11 targets were the third-most among tight ends on Sunday. Managers in deep PPR leagues may want to put a small bid in on Housler in case this trend continues.

gregsauce

Greg Smith writes for TheFakeFootball.com and TheFakeBaseball.com.He can be found on Twitter @gregsauce.

Latest posts by gregsauce (see all)

35 Comments

  • Sorry, just realized you pretty much already answered that last question! 10 team ppr: What do I do about Hou D, roll with them or drop them for someone like SD or Cin & play matchups into the playoffs?

    • It sort of depends on your team. I tend to play matchups, but sometimes you just need a safe 5-10 points from your defense. Regardless, I like Houston a lot this week. They scored 23 points against TEN in Week 4.

  • I get what you are saying, and that’s why I am asking. I have two really close friends in the league that are playing for that same 6th spot. I really don’t want to play any of them right off the bat. If i win, then it’s 100% that I will so regardless of the money I would rather be at 4th or 5th to avoid that and possibly get a better matchup with the team that lost Gronk and McCoy the past couple weeks.

  • I think collusion would entail some sort of unfair advantage for the other members in the league. They are at no disadvantage with me not winning the game. I play the 1st place team that has already clinched a first round bye. I would simply be giving myself a chance to play someone different to start the playoffs.

  • Is it dishonorable to purposely lose my last game to avoid playing my girlfriend in the first round of the playoffs? If I win or lose it will not affect any team’s playoff chances, just possibly the seeding of 3rd, 4th, and 5th.

    • YOU PLAY TO WIN THE GAME

    • Yeah, I gotta go with Herm/Ghost. I think you’re just setting yourself up for a karmic slap across the face if you don’t play to win every week.

      On the other hand, what does your girlfriend think? Does she endorse this tank job or would she be pissed that you dodged her chance to stomp you in the playoffs?

      • My thought process being that you don’t want to end up in the doghouse.

      • its doghouse, prize pool. The league pays out for 1st, 2nd, and 3rd. We live together, so if she wins money then I win money haha.

      • I wish I didn’t read that because now you’re talking about collusion. Tanking in league with someone so that you can both grab some share of the pot is bad form and I won’t condone it.

  • Good stuff, as usual.

    Start 3 of these 4 RBs:
    Michael Turner
    Darren Sproles
    Reggie Bush
    Beanie Wells

    Thanks.

    • Turner, Wells, & Sproles.

  • Hi,

    I have somebody offering me Marcel Reece for Ryan Broyles. Who would you rather have for the ROS? Thank you!

    • It sounds like McFadden is close to returning, so I’d rather have Broyles ROS. With that said, I’d rather have Reece this week.

  • Hi Greg,
    How would you rank these potential claims to start this week at flex (top 3):
    – Quizz
    – Heyward-bey
    – Knowshown
    – Broyles
    – TY Hilton

    Thanks!

    • Moreno, Broyles, Heyward-Bey, Hilton, ‘Quizz

      • Thanks Greg.

  • ” It’s difficult to rank all these platoon running back options.” Sure is… :(

    But if you only had 1 bench spot open in a deep league (0.5 PPR), which 1 of these crappy RBs do you think has the best chance of becoming FLEX worthy during the playoffs: Wilson, Powell, or Pierre Thomas? I find myself leaning Wilson on the off chance that Bradshaw hurts his foot as he often seems to do…

    • I’d rank those guys in the order you have them listed, but Wilson and Powell are fairly close, while Pierre Thomas is a somewhat distant third place.

  • @Pedro: I like Wilson more in a vacuum, but I’d rather have Locker this week, based on match-ups.

  • 12 Team PPR: Do I start JStew, Beanie or Moreno (if I get him off waivers) as RB2, Drop Rudolph for Pitta? Flex Alexander, James Jones, Garcon…? Here is my team: Brees, Bryant, Cruz, Alexander, James Jones, Garcon, DHB, Martn, JStew, Beanie, Graham, Rudolph, Freeman. Waivers: (trying for) Moreno for DHB, Sanu for DHB, Pitta for Rudolph. I’m 9-3 tied for 1st, clinched a playoff spot & a bye.
    Thanks!

    • For now, I’d rank those RBs Moreno, Wells, Stewart. Keep Rudolph over Pitta. At flex, I’d use Garcon. Congrats on making the playoffs!

      • I gave locker.. Considering dropping him for r. Wilson. Should I?

      • Thanks! 14 team league, slight chance to get to the 6th spot if I put up more than 150 pts this week. Someone dropped Steve Smith, trying to get him off waivers. Would you start Smith over Garcon or Alexander. Right now my 3 starting WRs are Mega, Garcon & Alexander. There isn’t a flex position in this league. Also would you start M Bush over Charles as RB2 this week? My rb1 is Martin.

      • @Jermichael: I wouldn’t start Smith over Garcon, but Garcon vs. DX is closer, but I’d stick with DX. The Bengals tend to do very well against fantasy receivers. Also, Charles over Bush.

      • Thanks! 14 Team PPR: I just got Steve Smith off waivers, I start 3 WRs & no flex. Here are my options: Mega, S Smith, Crabtree, Garcon, Alexander. I’m still thinking that DX & Garcon have more potential to score over Smith. Any ideas?
        Thanks!

  • I know I’m getting ahead of myself here, but what would you do in this upcoming Week 13? I’m in a battle for 3rd with two weeks before playoff time. It’s a 0.5 PPR with 3 point bonuses at 100 yards rushing or 85 yards receiving; 6 point bonuses at 150 yards rushing or 135 yards receiving.

    QB: Ryan vs. NO
    WR: Dez vs. PHI
    WR: Welker @ MIA
    WR: Cobb vs. MIN
    RB: Morris vs. NYG
    RB: M.Bush vs. SEA
    TE: Jimmy “Where the hell did I go yesterday?” Graham @ ATL
    W/R: Nicks @ WAS
    W/R/T: LeShoure vs. IND
    K: Gostkowski @ MIA
    DEF: Baltimore vs. PIT
    BN: Blackmon @ BUF
    BN: Garcon vs. NYG
    BN: Witten vs. PHI
    BN: Bryce Brown @ DAL
    BN: Beanie @ NYJ
    BN: Forte vs. SEA

    • Awww geez, you’re here too????

      And you still can’t make a single decision on your own?

      In fact, now you don’t even give options, you just ask, “what would you do with my team this week”. You should really just start posting your log in info to your teams on here and razzball.

      • Dude, what the hell is your problem? You obviously come to these same sites to get advice and read columns. I set up my own lineup and simply ask questions about my moves to get other opinions. Apparently you’re such a f**king genius that you’ve never looked for advice from anyone for anything. Or to confirm what you had already thought. I guess when people to come for me to advice for anything I should tell them to go to hell. Because that’s what you would do. I have no clue what you have against me. I’m not the only one who comes to any of these places for advice, but for some reason in your feeble little mind you have singled me out. Why? I don’t know.

    • If LeSean McCoy is inactive again and Bryce Brown starts, you should probably start him over Michael Bush. You could also consider Garcon and Blackmon over Welker and maybe even Cobb.

      • I was thinking the same thing about Brown now that it’s looking more and more like Shady is sitting again. I’m not sure I could sit Welker, especially in a 0.5 PPR league. And we do count return yards, 35 yards per point, so Cobb has extended value. But I’d be lying if I said I completely trusted him.

        Would you bench LeShoure to play either Blackmon or Witten or Beanie? I’m not sure how much I trust LeShoure. He finds paydirt frequently, but his rushing numbers are anemic.

        My thought process was actually to bench Cobb, LeShoure, and Bush and play Blackmon, Brown and Witten/Beanie in their place. I have a feeling no matter what I do I’ll end up leaving a bunch of points on my bench.

      • I must have glossed over the 0.5-PPR part of your post. You have too many quality WR, which is a good problem to have, I guess. I wouldn’t bench LeShoure for any of those other options, though. I would look away from Beanie this week, his match-up is pretty much the worst.

      • Yeah, too bad I wasn’t able to swap one of them for another RB. Thanks for the advice. I think I’m sticking with LeShoure, since he should be getting the most consistent touches. Hopefully he finds the end zone.

  • How about D? You see Clev as a worthy pick up? Benching Seattle with their big CBs being sat for 4 weeks

    • I highly recommend C.D. Carter’s “Dreaming of Streaming” pieces on streaming defenses. They are usually posted on Tuedays. Here’s a link to last week’s edition: http://thefakefootball.com/dreaming-of-streaming-week-12-edition/

      Personally, I like the Browns this week against the Raiders, but I’d still rather use the Seahawks against the Bears. Other Week 13 options I like are the Cardinals and Jets against each other, the Panthers at CAR, the Bengals at SD, and the Cowboys vs. PHI. You can find my defense rankings later in the week in the Week 13 Ranksauce.

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