Week 13: USA TODAY SPORTS’ FantasyScore November 27, 2014  |  Ian Goldsmith


 

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Welcome Fake Footballers to a new DFS site, USA TODAY SPORTS’ FantasyScore. I enjoy playing at new sites and trying to beat the learning curve and in turn, the rest of my competition! Remember that every site has their own unique pricing and relying on your research for one site isn’t the best way to tackle a different site, so we’re here to help you out!


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THANKSGIVING PLAYS

Elite

DeMarco Murray: $7,900 – Dallas vs. Philadephia

DeMarco is my top RB of the day (Forte is neck-and-neck). This game is going to be nonstop action and in such games I want the best player on the field. That player is Murray. He will be utilized heavily from the start. While Romo should have no problem picking apart the Eagles’ secondary, he will become even more effective if Dallas is able to establish Murray’s game early in the first half. 100 total yards and a TD is a conservative floor. I expect more.

Dez Bryant: $7,500 – Dallas vs. Philadelphia

You are going to quickly notice a trend. The Dallas/Philly game is the game I – and almost everyone else – is focusing on. Bryant simply has no equal on the defense in this matchup. In two games against the Eagles last season, Dez caught 16 passes for 209 yards and a TD. At the very least, make sure you have him in your cash games.

Others: Calvin Johnson: $7,900; Matt Forte: $7,900

 

Mid-Tier

Tony Romo: $7,100 – Dallas vs. Philadelphia

Romo is my #1 QB on Thanksgiving. With at  least 3 TDs in three of his past four games, he has been a consistent and, frankly, dominant fantasy QB recently. He is, for him, relatively healthy and has a lot of weapons to utilize. Oh, and he gets to face the most forgiving fantasy defense to QBs. Sign. Me. Up.

Matthew Stafford: $7,300 – Detroit vs. Chicago

While Romo is my favorite QB, Stafford perhaps has the higher upside. He has no running game to speak of and will be passing nonstop in this divisional game. Chicago, amazingly, gives up the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing QBs. We could very well be looking at one of Stafford’s huge 350-400 yard 2+ TD games today. Just remember, he’s as inconsistent as they come. Tournament only.

Jordan Matthews: $6,000 – Philadelphia at Dallas

On the other side of the field in the game with the huge O/U of 56 is Jordan Matthews, who has instantly become a hot commodity for the Eagles. His usage has jumped since Sanchez too over and he hasn’t been below 10 FP since Week 6. He is a reliable cash game play, but is even more enticing in tournaments as he has the skills and the matchup to go for 100+ yards and a TD.

Others: Jeremy Maclin: $6,900

 

Value

Terrance Williams: $4,000 – Dallas vs. Philadelphia

What do we want? WIDE RECEIVERS! When do we want them? WHEN THEY PLAY PHILLY! On a small slate like this Thursday, you want high upside players, especially in tournaments. Terrance Williams is a touchdown dependent player and is not consistent. The Eagles have a way of fixing that, however, as they give up the 3rd most fantasy points to WRs. Williams has the chance for a very big game.

Brent Celek: $3,000 – Philadelphia vs. Dallas

Dallas is the worst fantasy defense against TEs in the NFL. Nobody ever knows what Chip Kelly will do, but he would be wise to exploit this and use his two stud TEs, Celek and Ertz. Celek, for $1,800 less than Ertz, offers similar upside, albeit less consistency. He has two 5 catch games in his past three weeks and everything shapes up for him to have similar numbers this week. The superior blocker, he will be in the game often and has a great chance at a score.

 

SUNDAY GAMES

 

QUARTERBACK

Elite ($8,000+)

Andrew Luck: $9,000 – Indianapolis v. Washington

Luck had a “disappointing” week last week and still scored 21.55 FP. Insane. Without Bradshaw, Indy will struggle to run the football and Luck will be passing nonstop. He could equal last week’s FP total in the first half alone in this juicy matchup. He’s a fantastic play in all games this week.

Mid-Tier ($6,000 – $7,900)

Eli Manning: $6,200 – NY Giants at Jacksonville

Jacksonville’s pass defense has actually been decent recently, but don’t let them fool you. They are still the Jaguars and Eli and his rookie weapon OBJ will feast. While his numbers may be tempered by a likely huge game from Rashad Jennings, I still expect a floor of 250 and 2 TDs.

Value ($5,900 and below)           

Drew Stanton: $4,600 – Arizona at Atlanta

Stanton is clearly not a household fantasy name. However, he gets a nice matchup here against the Falcons. Andre Ellington is set up for a monster game. Atlanta will try and stop him, which will give Drew more time to operate. He’s a capable QB. For just $4,600, he should easily get you enough in this matchup to his value.

 

RUNNING BACK

Elite ($7,000+)

Eddie Lacy: $7,400 – Green Bay vs. New England

New England’s RB defense looks better than it actually is thanks to its most recent matchups against Detroit and Indianapolis, two teams that aren’t nearly as good as running the football as Eddie Lacy. Before those two games, they had given up at least 35 FP to RBs three games in a row. New England will have to try and focus on stopping Rodgers (good luck), which will leave plenty of room for the resurgent Lacy to exploit.

Mid-Tier ($5,000- $6,900)

Rashad Jennings: $5,700 – NY Giants at Jacksonville

RBs have absolutely gashed the Jaguars this season. Jennings, in addition to being a solid runner, is a fantastic pass catcher out of the backfield, which was exemplified by his 8 receptions last week. At his price, he should reach value easily.

Value ($4,900 and below)

I do not like the value plays at RB this week on FantasyScore. There are a lot of great options in the Mid-Tier price range.

 

WIDE RECEIVER

Elite ($7,000+)

Antonio Brown: $8,200 – Pittsburgh vs. New Orleans

Brown averages 8 catches per game. He has not had a game below 7 catches since week 5 in Jacksonville. He is by far the most consistent WR in the NFL and needs to be a staple in your cash lineups. New Orleans has no match for his skill set.

Mid-Tier ($5,000 – $6,900)

Odell Beckham Jr.: $6,800 – NY Giants at Jacksonville

If there is a way to stop OBJ, then I haven’t seen it. The rookie has been one of the top wideouts in the entire NFL since the Giants came off of their bye week. In his past four weeks, he is averaging 7.75 receptions for 125.75 yards. He and Eli are almost on the same page as Antonio Brown and Ben Roethlisberger. Start him with confidence once again.

Value ($4,900 and below)

Kenny Stills: $4,100 – New Orleans at Pittsburgh

Stills has stepped right into the role of Brandin Cooks for New Orleans. He has at least 4 catches in five of six games since New Orleans got back from their bye week and is coming off a monster game against Baltimore last week. His price is still depressed on FantasyScore at $4100, which is too low for you to ignore. He’s a great punt option in cash games and tournaments.

 

TIGHT END

Elite ($7,000+)

Jimmy Graham: $7,900 – New Orleans at Pittsburgh

Graham has been his consistent, badass self in three of the past four weeks. He gets a matchup against a Pittsburgh defense that ranks in the bottom third against TEs this season. Brees will need to go to Graham often if New Orleans has any chance of beating Pittsburgh and salvaging their season. He is an excellent fill-in for cash games if you want to pay up for TEs.

Mid-Tier ($5,000 – $6,900)

Greg Olsen: $6,400 – Carolina at Minnesota

Olsen has been Newton’s safety blanket all season. Carolina, even at 3-7-1 is only ½ a game out of first in the NFC South. Pathetic? Yes. That being said, they have a chance at the division and Olsen’s continued presence in the offense will be a big part in climbing back to the top. He doesn’t have huge upside, but is a nice fill-in for cash games on this Full PPR site as Newton will look his way often.

Value ($4,900 and below)

Like RB, I’m not a huge fan of the pricing for value TE plays this week on FantasyScore. You could take a chance with Larry Donnell for $4,600 against Jacksonville or Marcedes Lewis for only $3,400 on the other side of the field in that matchup.

 

DST

Cash Play

Buffalo Bills: $3,400

The most expensive DST on the board is also the most consistent. Buffalo has at least 4 sacks in five straight games and will look to make it six this week against Cleveland and Mighty Josh Gordon. They are as safe a cash play as you will find.

Tournament Play

NY Giants: $2,300

There is little to explain here. They play Jacksonville. You ALWAYS start defenses against Jacksonville!

 

KICKER

Predicting kickers is a fool’s game. If you have the cash left over to spend on Stephen Gostowski, go right ahead. He’s about as consistent a kicker as you will ever see. If you, like me, want to get the most out of the rest of your lineup, then here is what I do. Eliminate the most expensive 16 kickers. This drops your pool in half. From here, look for games that will be relatively high scoring. After narrowing that down to two or three kickers, eliminate any remaining kickers who are playing in high-wind conditions. After that, just pick which one fits best into your lineup. Of course, this is just a kicker. Just choose one already!

Here are two kickers that I like this week.

Graham Gano: $2,700

Adam Vinatieri: $2,800

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