Week 13 Fantasy Football Last Second Decisions December 1, 2012  |  Kevin Roberts


The 13th week in fantasy football is about to hit us like a storm cloud. It’s the week before most fantasy leagues dive head first into the playoffs, and it’s one of the most crucial points for fantasy owners in a season. Drew Brees more than likely already has a good amount of you in tears, while would-be studs like Jimmy Graham, Matt Ryan and Roddy White came up unbelievably short in a Thursday Night Football game that should have been an epic shootout.

Instead, you’re clamoring for some extra upside with everything on the line. Whether it’s the perfect season, the ideal seeding, or simply closing in on that final playoff spot, this is the type of platform our weekly Fantasy Football Last Second Decisions column was made for.

Let’s not waste any more time introducing why we’re here, and get right to our week 13 concerns:

 

Injury Daze

 

Ben Roethlisberger, QB, Pittsburgh Steelers (Shoulder/Ribs)

Big Ben has been ruled out, so get him out of your lineups. Make sure Charlie Batch isn’t in there, too.

Darren McFadden, RB, Oakland Raiders (Ankle)

Run DMC should play this week. That doesn’t mean he’s a RB2 lock, but it does mean that Marcel Reese’s value has taken a major hit. If you’re dying for McFadden to get back, use him. If you’ll live, leave him on the shelf for another week.

DeMarco Murray, RB, Dallas Cowboys (Foot)

Murray could return this week, but you better stay up on his status until game-time. He’ll be a sketchy play any way you look at it, but if you are desperate you could be in luck this week.

Matt Forte, RB, Chicago Bears (Ankle)

Forte claims he’ll play, so he could be there if you need him. I anticipate Michael Bush getting all the goal-line work, though and Forte could have his work cut out for him against a tough Seattle defense, too.

Jonathan Stewart, RB, Carolina Panthers (Ankle)

Stewart has been super quiet and now he’s at less than 100%. With Cam taking all of his goal-line touches, he has little value.

Percy Harvin, WR, Minnesota Vikings (Ankle)

Harvin has officially been ruled out for week 13, so it’s time to hit the waiver wire or dig into your bench.

Greg Jennings, WR, Green Bay Packers (Groin)

Jennings is slated to face a beatable Vikings pass defense, and really could go either way this week. He’ll play and the matchup could work, but he’s been hard to trust all year. I’m looking elsewhere for upside this week if I can help it.

Miles Austin, WR, Dallas Cowboys (Hip)

Austin has been shaky lately, but I doubt he misses this week’s game against the Eagles. He probably can’t be counted on for elite production, but you could do a heck of a lot worse at the WR3 spot if he suits up.

Antonio Brown, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers (Ankle)

Brown looks ready to return this week. Unfortunately, he has no quarterback and is facing the Ravens. Pass.

Danny Amendola, WR, St. Louis Rams (Heel)

Amendola doesn’t look like the best bet to play this week, while a re-match with the 49ers isn’t ideal, either. He’s doubtful at best, so I’d start looking for a replacement.

Sidney Rice, WR, Seattle Seahawks (Calf)

Rice is questionable to face the Bears, but I expect him to play. That doesn’t mean he’s worth using, though, as Chicago typically plays the pass very well.

Mohamed Sanu, WR, Cincinnati Bengals (Foot)

I know it sucks the wind out of your sails, but Sanu’s sleeper status is null and void. He’s scheduled for foot surgery and is out for the year.

Aaron Hernandez, TE, New England Patriots (Ankle)

Hernandez is shaky with that bum ankle, but looks like a decent bet to play this week. He draws a weak Miami pass D, so he could blow up if he hits the field.

 

Matchup Craze

 

  • C.J. Spiller can’t possibly disappoint two weeks in a row, can he? The dude is too explosive to not take advantage of a solid matchup with a pretty soft Jaguars defense. I don’t think…
  • On paper, Beanie Wells is slated to destroy a bad New York Jets run defense. On paper…
  • Knowshon Moreno is a hot add after a solid week 12 showing and a new starting gig. Unfortunately, he faces a pretty tough Buccaneers run defense. I’m avoiding this matchup.
  • I know the New York Giants just slapped Aaron Rodgers around a week ago, but RG3 played well against them before, and in front of the nation at home on MNF this week, he’ll do it again.
  • St. Louis can be pretty solid on D, but Colin Kaepernick is a special talent and he has to play well to hold onto the 49ers’ starting QB job. I think he’ll ball this week and be a top-10 option.
  • Eli Manning returned to form last week. He’ll do that and then some against a bad Redskins pass defense in week 13.

Versus Curses

 

Colin Kaepernick, QB, San Francisco 49ers vs. Eli Manning, QB, New York Giants

I love both guys this week. In fact, both are in my top-10. But I’ll take the more traditional Manning in week 13. He just got his groove back last week and has a far better matchup than Kaep. They’ll both move mountains, but I prefer Eli if you have this dilemma.

Bryce Brown, RB, Philadelphia Eagles vs. Knowshon Moreno, RB, Denver Broncos

Moreno faces a tough Bucs run defense and Brown faces a bendy Cowboys unit. Brown ripped off 178 rushing yards and two scores last week. Yeah, I’m going with Brown.

Pierre Garcon, WR, Washington Redskins vs. Danario Alexander, WR, San Diego Chargers

I got asked this one on Twitter and I’m sticking with my gut. I know Garcon isn’t 100% (foot), but he’s finally starting to be able to play at a high level despite the injury. The guy is a flat-out terror with the ball, and I think he’ll have a big game on prime-time TV. Alexander should be solid, but I like Garcon’s explosiveness a little more.

Aaron Hernandez, TE, New England Patriots vs. Owen Daniels, TE, Houston Texans

This one is all about health. Both guys have had their owns issues lately, but Daniels has been active the past two weeks (scored last week). Daniels ironically might be the safer game-time call, but I prefer Hernandez. Way more upside there against the Dolphins.

 

For all other questions, drop a line below in the comment section, or hit me up on Twitter @NFLSoupKevin. Thanks for reading and good luck in fantasy football this week!

23 Responses

  1. Mike says:

    Shoot or Beanie Wells with last post

  2. Mike says:

    In my flex…Reese, Moreno, or Ballard

  3. Robert says:

    Hey Kevin. I could use some help with a couple of spots…

    1) Need one at RB and one at FLEX: Ridley, Leshoure, Reece, Wayne, Garcon

    2) Martellus or Marcedes?

    Thanks!

  4. ThomasJ says:

    Tragedy in kc overshadows everything this weekend but the game goes on

    Will this effect the players playing? Do I still start cam? Or go with kaepernick? Still start Charles or go with Moreno? Bryce brown? Cruz? Or Reece?

    • Kevin Roberts says:

      I’m still starting Cam. Sad as it is, a suicide isn’t like a coach with cancer. Chiefs will be sad, not inspired. I would stick with Charles at RB, though. Panthers got carved up for 178 and 2 TD last week

  5. The U says:

    Two decisions:

    Pettigrew or Dallas Clark?

    and

    Cardinals DST, Steelers or Bengals?

    • Kevin Roberts says:

      Pett. Fresh off a solid 8-rec 70+ yd game. No sign of Titus Young helps him a lot, too. If you’re looking for upside, go with AZ D. Anytime you face Mark Sanchez you have a chance. But Steelers would be safe play. They generally limit the Ravens pretty well.

  6. MJ says:

    PPR league start 1 RB out of Bryce Brown, Alfred Morris, and Ryan Matthews?

    Also, which WR: Ryan Broyles or Pierre Garcon?

    • Kevin Roberts says:

      I’m rolling with upside after last week, and that means Bryce Brown. I like both Broyles and Garcon, but I gotta go Garcon here. Dude is a terror with the ball and I have a good feeling about him in front of the nation on MNF this week.

  7. Karyn says:

    I need a wr and a flex, 10 team non ppr: Steve smith, broyles, Michael Crabtree, and Murray. For the playoffs. Thanks

  8. richard says:

    PPR – Moreno, Beanie, or R. Bush
    Flex – Cobb or Decker?

    Thanks

    • Kevin Roberts says:

      Bush hasn’t had more than 2 rec in six weeks and Wells has never been a PPR threat. Gotta go Moreno there (4 rec last week). I’m also taking Decker over Cobb. He’s facing an awful Buccaneers pass defense that just lost Eric Wright to a suspension

  9. Jermichael says:

    10 Team PPR, 7-5, 2nd place: Eli, Luck, Wayne, Dez, Marshall, Cruz, VJax, Bowe, Sanu, R Rice, AP, DMC, Gates, Veron. Dropping Sanu for an RB, would it be worth it to stash MJD for the playoffs? Here are Waiver/FA options: Pierre, MJD, Ballard, D Rich, Tate….
    Thanks!

    • Kevin Roberts says:

      Yes, it’d be worth it. He probably won’t return, but he’s worth the wait if he does. I’d also make a move to get Garcon if possible

      • Jermichael says:

        Start Vernon or Gates? Also, 12 Team PPR, 9-3: Brees, Freeman, Bryant, Cruz, Garcon, DX, James Jones, Martin, Beanie, JStew, LaMichael James (just dropped Sanu for him), Graham, Rudolph. Someone just dropped Brandon Lloyd, would you pick him up & who would you drop, thinking James Jones.
        Thanks!

  10. Rodney Hampton says:

    Gates, Lewis, or Pettigrew for std scoring TE?

  11. Phil says:

    Ok Kevin, Big week, need to win to make playoffs. The question: Would you play TY Hilton over Greg Jennings? Thanks man!

    • Kevin Roberts says:

      You just can’t trust Jennings yet. I want to, but you have to roll with what you know. And what you know is that Hilton has scored four Tds in the past four games, and also owns two 100+ yds days in that span.

  12. zajb says:

    1 pt PPR – start one – Ridley, Moreno, Reece, Murray. Thank you!

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