Week 13 DraftKings Value Picks
November 30, 2014 | Ian Goldsmith
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Colt McCoy: $5,000 – Washington at Indianapolis
Before you laugh, consider this; McCoy leads the league in completion percentage. No, he’s not qualified by any stretch of the imagination to actually lead this stat at the end of the season, but that he is 36/42 is astounding in its own right. He’s Alex Smith lite; he won’t force the bad throw and will find his TEs and RBs for short, safer passes. I call him the Checkdown Prince. It helps that he has DeSean Jackson and Pierre Garcon as weapons. He’ll need to throw all game long; that much is for sure. Is 250 yards and 1-2 TDs that much to ask? I think not. Great tournament option.
Drew Stanton: $5,000 – Arizona at Atlanta
Another minimum salaried QB, Stanton gets a decent matchup to boot. He has underwhelmed for the most part (he doesn’t have to do much with how well his defense has been playing), but he’ll need to step it up if Arizona wants to win in Atlanta. Andre Ellington can’t win this game alone. Atlanta has given up over 280 yards passing in five of their past six games. Make it six of seven. I see a lot of dumpoffs to Ellington followed by play action passes to John Brown. Tournament option.
Tre Mason: $4,600 – St. Louis vs. Oakland
Mason has one of the best matchups of the week at the position. His price has not risen up to where it should be thanks to a mediocre outing against the Chargers last week. He gets an Oakland team that has been shredded all year by opposing RBs (let’s forget about last Thursday, shall we?). Mason is by far my favorite value play on the day and can be used in all lineups.
Matt Asiata: $3,300 – Minnesota vs. Carolina
Yes, we’re back to considering Asiata. I don’t like it either. However, McKinnon has been ruled out and we’re left with Asiata, Joe Banyard or a newly acquired Ben Tate. Honestly, it’s a crapshoot. That being said, Asiata has proven himself to be the clear goal line back in the Vikings’ rotation. He’s a tournament option only – a risky one at that. Still, a TD or two and he could win you a big tournament.
Kenny Stills: $4,800 – New Orleans at Pittsburgh
Stills has been quietly consistent recently and had an awesome 8/98 line last week, the Saints’ first without Brandin Cooks. He has at least 4 receptions in five of his past six games and has scored at least 12.2 FP in four of those. He’s a borderline cash play, but very usable in tournaments.
Mike Wallace: $4,600 – Miami at NY Jets
Wallace’s price has steadily declined over the course of the season and is now at a mere $4,600, the lowest it’s been all season. Despite a couple of down weeks recently, Wallace has still been looked at regularly by Tannehill, receiving at least 7 targets in all but two games this year. He faces a Jets’ squad that struggles defending the pass. While the Jet’s allow less than 240 yards passing per game, they have given up 27 yards passing on the season. Cash and tournament option.
Tim Wright: $3,400 – New England at Green Bay
I live in Portland, Oregon. Without fail, we get a huge snow storm once every four years. Wright’s fantasy performance is similar; starting in Week 5 he’s had three monster games, all four weeks apart. I say he breaks his trend (if you want to call it that). With Green Bay focused on stopping Gronkowski (good luck), Belichick should use more two tight end sets to give Brady more options. When you boil it all down, using Wright on any given week is still a crapshoot. However, if you want to punt the TE option in tournaments, there is no other option that offers the upside that he does.
Niles Paul: $3,200 – Washington at Indianapolis
This all depends on the status of Jordan Reed. If Reed is out, then Paul becomes a very interesting option with McCoy back at the helm for Washington. He is a capable receiver, which we saw with his huge start to the season (he had at least 60 yards receiving in each of the first four games). I don’t even mind punting him in cash games if Paul is out, although the safest play this week is to pay up for Graham or Gronk.
NY Giants: $2,800
They get to face Geno Smith in primetime on Monday Night. They have been as consistent as any DST in the league recently and this matchup is too juicy to not exploit. They’ve scored at least 8 FP in all but three games this season. Use them. Use them. Use them.