2012 Fantasy Football

Ξ 12 comments

Week 12 Waiver Wire

posted by gregsauce

Gobble gobble, and welcome to the Week 12 Waiver Wire. Before you eat yourself into a vegetative state on Thursday, remember to set your lineups for the early game as well as the late game. There will be no lineup-setting once gravity gets a hold of you and pins you lifelessly to the couch. Also, more importantly, remember to save room for pie. Pie is the greatest, especially when it’s delivered to a couch-confined football fan. Good luck in your Turkey Day match-ups and thanks, as always, for reading us here at The Fake Football.

*Programming Note: My internet is currently on the fritz, so I may not have access to the comments for most of the day. Send your waiver questions to me on Twitter @gregsauce and I will answer as many as I can before the typical Tuesday waiver deadline.

QUARTERBACKS

Colin Kaepernick, SF – Alex Smith’s replacement posted a solid 18 standard scoring points against the formidable Bears defense on Monday night. Instead of taking the default “Alex Smith is our QB” stance, Jim Harbaugh said the Niners would play the “hot hand”. Holy Kaep! Get your bids in for Kaepernick because he’ll have a field day against the Saints if he starts.

Chad Henne, JAC – Similarly, Henne had a nice game against a tough defense in relief duty in Week 11. His 354 passing yards were slightly inflated by overtime, but all 4 of his TDs came in regulation. The Jags get the Titans this week, and Henne should be available if you’re desperate for QB help.

Ryan Lindley, ARI – Lindley could have made Week 11 the week of the replacement QB, but with only 64 passing yards and a fumble lost, he couldn’t even post positive points after John Skelton was benched. Lindley is slated to start this week, but don’t use him unless absolutely necessary.

RUNNING BACKS

Jalen Parmele, JAC – In his first start of the season, Parmele rushed for 80 yards on 24 carries Sunday. It wasn’t an exceedingly impressive performance, but considering his opposition (Houston) and the type of game it was (an aerial showcase worthy of the Blue Angels), it would be unwise to disregard Parmele going forward. Case in point, he faces the Titans in Week 12, who allow an average of 21 fantasy points per game to running backs – fourth-most in the NFL.

Bryce Brown, PHI – LeSean McCoy left late in Sunday’s game with a concussion, ceding rushing duties to Brown. Shady is listed as questionable for Week 12 as of this writing, but don’t expect the Eagles to take any chances with their franchise back in a lost season like this one. Brown will likely start on Monday against Carolina and is a must-add for McCoy owners.

Ronnie Hillman, Lance Ball, & Knowshon Moreno, DEN – Willis McGahee tore his MCL on Sunday and forced Hillman and Ball into extra duty against the Chargers. Hillman finished with double the carries of Ball, but Ball won the YPC battle and had a small advantage in the passing game (3 catches on 3 targets to Hillman’s 2 on 2). Based purely on usage, Hillman has to be the favorite to start while McGahee is out, but my gut says Ball will be more valuable in the coming weeks. Moreno is the dark horse in this race, but he’s only worth an add in the deepest of leagues.

Beanie Wells, ARI – My regular readers are no doubt relieved that Wells is coming off the IR this week, as they’ve been reading about him as a stash-candidate in this space for over a month. Still, LaRod Stephens-Howling blossomed into a valuable little RB while we were waiting on Wells, so don’t assume Beanie will vault into a feature-back role now that he’s healthy. A timeshare with LSH is a much safer bet.

Lance Dunbar, DAL – Felix Jones must have some sort of rewards system going with the Dallas medical staff, because he’s back on the trainers table this week. Meanwhile, DeMarco Murray is still a huge question mark going forward. Dunbar is in line for a large workload if Jones and Murray can’t play this week.

Bilal Powell, NYJ – Powell continues to challenge Shonn Greene for carries. Late in Sunday’s game against the Rams, Powell was the one toting the football in the red zone, scoring once from 5 yards and again from 11 yards. Shonn Greene’s days as a fake football commodity have been numbered since last season and this shift in New York’s RB usage in high leverage situations seems to confirm a changing of the guard.

James Starks, GB – I don’t necessarily advocate adding James Starks, but let this blurb serve as a wake-up call for anyone holding on to Alex Green. The dream is dead, folks.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Danario Alexander (SD) & Brandon LaFell (CAR) – I hope you bought in on DX and LaFell when I recommended them last week, because the price has undoubtedly gone up after Week 11.

Justin Blackmon, JAC – It wouldn’t be a Waiver Wire without my weekly flip-flop on the Jacksonville wide receiver corps. Blackmon exploded for 236 yards and a TD on 7 receptions Sunday with Chad Henne under center. Cecil Shorts was also productive, grabbing 3 passes for 81 yards and score. All Laurent Robinson performed was a disappearing act (no catches on two targets). It’s important not to be too results-oriented when it comes to the Jacksonville wideouts, but Blackmon’s value has certainly gone up after this game, especially if Henne remains the starter.

T.Y. Hilton, IND – Hilton benefited from a Donnie Avery concussion in Sunday’s contest against New England and posted 100 yards with 2 TDs on 6 catches. The Colts square off against the Bills and their 23rd-ranked defense against fantasy wide receivers this week. If Avery is out, Hilton will make a nice value play for daily fantasy players and managers in normal leagues with WR problems.

Pierre Garcon, WAS – Garcon quietly returned to action on Sunday, catching all three of his targets for a meager 5 yards. Washington was never in any real danger of losing that game, so Garcon’s light usage was likely an effort to avoid any setbacks in his foot injury rehab. Assuming his role expands down the stretch, it’s time to buy back in on Garcon if he was dropped in your league.

TIGHT ENDS

Brandon Myers, OAK – Somehow, Myers is still available in 57% of Yahoo Leagues and a whopping 85% of ESPN leagues. What are you waiting for, people? Myers has been a top-5 tight end over the past four weeks.

Dallas Clark, TB – Clark has a touchdown in three of his past five games and has two generous defense-versus-fantasy-tight-ends match-ups on deck (ATL and @DEN). With the Bucs offense firing on all cylinders, Clark should continue to be productive for owners in need of a tight end.

Tony Moeaki, KC – Don’t look now, but the Chiefs are finally starting to use one of my favorite preseason tight end sleepers. Since their Week 7 bye, Moeaki has averaged 4.5 fantasy points per game, including a Week 9 stinker when he did literally nothing (0 points). Excluding that bad week, he’s posted 6 points per game. That’s not particularly great, but Moeaki’s usage is trending upward and he could be a sneaky source of fantasy production for deep-leaguers as the season winds down.

gregsauce

Greg Smith writes for TheFakeFootball.com and TheFakeBaseball.com.He can be found on Twitter @gregsauce.

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12 Comments

  • Dont trust Miller at all this week with Batch playing….Im pretty sure that when Batch has played Miller has never caught more than 2 passes…I already have Rudolph rostered but i dont consider him a great matchup either….out of these available TE’s Olsen, Cook, Lewis, Allen who would you drop miller for and play? or would you roll the dice with rudolph? Full PPR league need the win to maintain my playoff spot!

  • What’s the feeling on Locker this week @ Jax? My QBs are Rivers and Cutler, so I’m gonna make a play for Kaepernick but want to have a Plan B. Slim pickins on the WW.

    • After seeing what Matt Schaub did last week, I’m willing to start any QB against the Jags. I’d rank those three Cutler (if he plays), Locker, then Rivers, but they’re all pretty close.

  • 14 Team PPR: I’ve got Staff, Mega, Martin, Charles & Bennett locked in for this week. I need 2 more WRs: Alexander, Crabtree, Britt, LaFell & Garcon.

    • Crabtree and Alexander.

      • Thanks, 12 Team PPR: Flex: James Jones, Alexander or Rudolph?

      • Jones.

  • PPR league, need a Gronk replacement. who do you like between Finley and Clark?

    • Clark.

  • PPR league, need a Gronk replacement. who do you like between Finley and Clark?

  • Have an RB controversy in the mix. I don’t really like any of my guys this week. But here are my options:
    Morris
    Forte
    Hillman
    B.Brown
    LeShoure
    Beanie
    A. Brown
    It’s a bonus point league – 3 points at 100 yards rushing or 85 yards receiving; 6 points at 150 yards rushing or 135 yards receiving. Also is a 0.5 PPR league. I can only play two out of that group.
    I don’t trust Morris anyore, as it seems RG3 gets all the big time carries. He hasn’t found his way to the endzone since the middle of October. Forte sucks, especially with Cutler out, and he’s against Minny this week. Not sure he can be trusted much either (check his last few weeks, it’s like RB4 or 5 territory). I don’t really trust LeShoure against HOU (who’s probably PISSED), and he’s the early T-Giving game, so I could be in a big hole early if he tanks. Hillman, Brown, and Beanie can’t really be trusted either at this point in the game, although they all have good matchups and could surprise. Then Brown is decent, and if Bradshaw was for sure out, he’d be in the lineup. But I think Bradshaw is playing.

    • I’d play Forte and Morris. Forte’s had two bad games in a row, but they were against the Niners and the Texans — two of the best defenses in the league. Morris hasn’t been spectacular lately, either, but I trust him more than your other options.

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