Week 11 Waiver Wire November 12, 2012  |  gregsauce


Yesterday morning, I was wearing this T-shirt proudly. Now what? Is there a specific rule about what to do with your sports wardrobe when your team plays to a tie while you’re wearing it? I’m taking a wait-and-see approach for now, in the hopes that the aberrant third number in the NFC West standings turns out to be some sort of tiebreaker blessing at the end of the season and my “lucky” shirt actually was lucky on that fateful Sunday when the 49ers couldn’t muster a field goal in overtime against the lowly Rams.

Fortunately, ties in fake football are even more rare than they are in real football thanks to fractional points (in a related story, you should be using fractional points). Furthermore, in the event of a fantasy tie, there’s always a chance that a late scoring change will swing the match-up and provide closure. I suppose a scoring change could also lead to a tie, but—la-la-la-la-la-la-la-I’m-not-listening-la-la-la—let’s talk about the waiver wire!

QUARTERBACKS

Nick Foles, PHI – Michael Vick was knocked out of Sunday’s contest against the Cowboys with a concussion. Foles took over and played reasonably well, passing for 219 yards and a touchdown while committing two turnovers. Disembodied “sources” are saying that Vick will be “rested” for the balance of the season while Foles starts, but Andy Reid hasn’t even ruled Vick out for Week 11 yet. Based solely on Vick’s injury, I bet Foles starts this week and holds the job as long as he plays relatively well.

Colin Kaepernick, SF – The concussion bug bit Alex Smith as well on Sunday, allowing Kaepernick to enter the game and lead the Niners to the aforementioned thrilling overtime tie. Kaep only threw for 117 yards, but he ran eight times for 66 yards and a score. Kaepernick has more short-term upside than Foles thanks to his running ability, but he’ll lose the starting gig as soon as Smith is healthy and ready to return.

Jason Campbell, CHI – Broken record alert! Jay Cutler was also concussed yesterday. Campbell came on for the Bears and posted 96 passing yards against a stingy Texans defense. Based on an equally tough Week 11 match-up against the 49ers and the fact that Cutler should be back by Week 12, only the most desperate QB-seekers should add Campbell.

RUNNING BACKS

Daniel Thomas, MIA – Reggie Bush was benched against the Titans for fumbling in the first half. Thomas wasn’t especially impressive in relief, but in fake football terms, he has been performing well recently for a back-up running back. The fantasy schedule for Miami isn’t especially enticing after Week 11, but the ‘Phins face Jacksonville and Buffalo in the playoffs (Weeks 15 & 16), so stash Thomas now if you can.

Chris Ivory, NO – Ivory rushed for 72 yards and a TD on 7 carries against the Falcons. As long as Darren Sproles remains sidelined, Ivory is the Saints RB to own.

Danny Woodhead, NE – Woodhead continues to be an asset for PPR owners. Over his past four games, he’s averaging 4.5 receptions and 59.25 total yards per game. When he finds the end zone, like he did twice on Sunday, Woodhead vaults from flex-play to starter in PPR leagues.

Ronnie Hillman, DEN – Hillman was lackluster on Sunday, but he did score a touchdown late in the fourth quarter. He isn’t fantasy relevant on a week-to-week basis yet, but Hillman is an important handcuff for McGahee owners.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Danny Amendola, STL – Danny Amendola picked up right where he left off before his injury, catching 11 passes for 102 yards against a tough San Francisco defense. It’s not typical for a WR1 to be available this late in the season, so run-don’t-walk to the waiver wire and see if a short-sighted owner in your league might have dropped Amendola while the wideout was hurt.

Cecil Shorts & Laurent Robinson, JAC – Here lies Justin Blackmon’s fantasy value. The first wide receiver selected in the 2012 NFL draft, Blackmon irrevocably damaged countless keeper teams this season. His fantasy value is survived by those of Cecil Shorts and Laurent Robinson, as Shorts and Robinson each had more than double the targets of Blackmon in Week 10.

Danario Alexander, SD – In a move I’ve been anticipating since the preseason, the Chargers removed Robert Meachem from the starting lineup. The beneficiary of this move was Alexander, who responded to his promotion with a very un-Meachem-like 5 catches for 134 yards and a TD.

Donald Jones, BUF – I recommended Jones last week, but his Week 10 performance actually makes for three nice games in a row. He’s averaging 5.3 catches, 62.0 yards, and 0.7 TDs per game in that span. Meanwhile, his upcoming schedule is basically an all-you-can-eat fantasy buffet: vs. MIA, @IND, vs. JAC, vs. STL. I like Amendola, Shorts, Robinson, and Alexander slightly more, but Jones is a nice consolation if you lack a high waiver claim.

Calvin Johnson & Titus Young, DET – Wait, Johnson is owned in 100% of leagues? Well, despite Megatron’s impressive return to form (12 catches/207 yards/1 TD), Young was also productive on Sunday (4/35/1). After a shaky start to the season, young Titus has proven to be a solid second banana for the Lions. Go ahead and add him if you are in need of potassium or another wide receiver.

Brandon LaFell, CAR – LaFell only had 29 yards receiving on Sunday, but his 8 targets led all Panthers except Greg Olsen (10). Wise owners will look past LaFell’s poor two-game stretch and see the potential for value.

TIGHT ENDS

Kyle Rudolph (MIN) & Dennis Pitta (BAL) – Rudolph and Pitta each bounced back from a recent run of fantasy irrelevance and posted 12 fantasy points in Week 10. One or both may have been dropped during that disappointing stretch and could be available if you need a tight end.

51 Responses

  1. kml says:

    Need quick advice! Have to choose from Daniel Thomas or Chris Ivory. Not sure what to expect now that sproles might be back. What do you think?

    • gregsauce says:

      Sorry I didn’t get to this before the Thursday game, but you can always check the weekly Staff Rankings or Ranksauce for questions like this.

  2. Victor says:

    Amendola or desean Jackson??

  3. Tom says:

    Standard PPR

    ROS: Sidney Rice or D Alexander
    ROS: Andre Brown or Daniel Thomas

    This week:
    Greg Olsen or Brandon Myers?
    Cincy D @ KC or STL D vs NYJ

  4. PhilB says:

    Also, in another league, my flex spot:
    Hartline, Brandon Myers, Amendola, Bowe.

    Standard.

  5. PhilB says:

    Nice write up, as usual.
    Pick a WR and a flex:
    Reggie Wayne, Decker, Amendola, Donald Brown, Demarco Murray, Mendenhall.
    Currently rolling with Decker and Wayne as my WR and flex. Good call?

  6. Ghost says:

    should i drop Kendall Hunter for DX? my rb’s are jc superstar, almo, j-stew and hillis as a handcuff and have fitz, smiff, amendola and britt as my wr’s.

  7. Johnny Kielbasa says:

    Was offered Palmer, Eli, Julio Jones, and Ray Rice for Rodgers, McGahee, Spiller…Rest of my team: RBs: Gore, Stephens-Howling, MJD WRs: Harvin, Hartline, N. Washington, Kerley, Shorts TE: Graham…would you pull trigger. I hate to give up Rodgers.

    • gregsauce says:

      I wouldn’t. You could use the WR help with Jones, but swapping Rodgers for two inferior QBs is not what you want to be doing. Getting Ray Rice would be nice too, but Spiller has a shot to be every bit as good as Rice the rest of the way.

  8. Jermichael says:

    10 Team PPR: Thoughts on Brandon Marshal ROS, with Cutler out this week & already having a handful of concussion throughout his career, is Marshall worth a trade? Our trade deadline is the 23rd, here is my team: Luck, Eli, Marshall, Wayne, Cruz, Dez, Amendola, Rice, AP, DMC, Thomas, Beanie, Gates, Vernon, Hou.

    • gregsauce says:

      Every player is worth a trade if you return good value. Your team looks pretty good as it’s constructed, though. I would hold Marshall for at least this week and see how he does with Campbell.

  9. Help – I’m barely hanging on at 4-6 and I’m playing for my fantasy life. A couple questions:
    1) I was thinking of dropping H.Miller for Carson Palmer to possibly play over Romo this week. Am I out thinking myself?
    2) I was thinking of dropping Britt to pick up a WR (although, I don’t think any can help me this week). Should I try and drop Britt for any of these guys? D.Alexander, Shorts, L.Robinson, DHB, Avery, or S. Rice?
    My team – 10 team, PPR
    QB: Romo
    RB: McCoy, TRich, LeShoure, Murray, R.Jennings
    WR: Bowe, D.Moore, L.Moore, Harvin, Britt
    TE: Graham / Miller

  10. Jermichael says:

    10 Team PPR: Need a RB2 fill in because of DMC. Here are my options: Joique Bell, Jacquizz, Woodhead, Daniel Thomas, Ingram, Hunter, Ivory. Please rank.
    Thanks!

  11. stumanji says:

    My QBs are Rivers and Cutler. I’m stacked everywhere else with a pretty deep bench (Martin, T-Rich, Murray, Felix, Cruz, Wayne, Cobb, Bowe, Graham, etc) but trying to upgrade at QB. Please rank these QBs ROS (mine plus guys I think i could trade for): Rivers, Cutler, Stafford, Newton, Palmer, Luck.

    Skill-wise I like Stafford (could offer a package of Murray/Felix for him), but I think I could get Palmer for much cheaper (say, Rashad Jennings). Oakland has been airing it out and has a pretty easy schedule ROS. What say you?

    • gregsauce says:

      ROS: Stafford, Luck, Newton, Palmer, Rivers, Cutler.
      As far as potential trades go, I don’t think Palmer is that much of an upgrade over Rivers, but you’re potentially trading nothing (i.e., Jennings) to get him, so that’s a decent deal. Still, I’d go for the gusto and try to land the best player possible — Stafford, Luck, or Newton — without crippling yourself at some other position.

  12. klin says:

    Rank these WR’s ROS and this week and would you recommend any of them over Steve Smith or James Jones this week :

    DHB
    Michael Crabtree
    Danny Ammendola
    Golden Tate

    10 team non ppr league

    thanks

  13. Icaro says:

    Greg, is it time to start concern about Wallace ros with BigBen out ?!

    Was thinking about offer him to Dez/Austin/Decker/Andre J. owners…

    What do u think about it ?!

    Tks again!

    • gregsauce says:

      I’m a little nervous about Wallace. I wouldn’t trade him straight-up for Andre Johnson, but the rest of those targets seem reasonable.

  14. sonofabeachy says:

    14 team league, and I need a BYE week QB. 1 pt per 20 yds, 6 pts per TD, no “X” yardage bonuses.

    Currently have Bradford rostered vs NYJ, but could drop him for Skelton @ ATL, Tannehill @ BUF, or possibly Kaepernick vs CHI if Smith is out.

    What do you think? Don’t know if I should trust Bradford, even with Amendola back.

  15. zeb says:

    Pick 3: Danario Alexander, Titus Young, Donald Jones, Lance Moore, Maclin

  16. y4rivera says:

    In a keeper league we can keep up to 4 players. Keepers are kept at last years price plus a $5 inflation. During the draft top guys usually go in the 40-50 range.
    Potential Keepers with best value
    Cam $11
    Cruz $11
    Julio $14
    Percy $18
    Martin $20
    Forte $33
    McCoy $36
    An owner out of contention made an offer of Rice ($50) and Rodgers ($58) for Cam ($11) and Martin ($20). I know value wise I shouldn’t do it because I wouldn’t keep Rodgers or Rice at those prices. My concern is we are only allowed 4 keepers and I have several potential keepers. Since I won’t be able to keep everyone should I consider a move like this or stick with what I got?
    My Team
    QB Cam
    RB McCoy
    RB Martin
    WR Julio
    WR Cruz
    WR Percy
    TE Myers
    flx Forte
    flx DMC
    bn Dalton, Antonio (pit), Mendenhall, DHB, Hartline, Reece

    • gregsauce says:

      The problem with that trade is that your keepers simply get much worse, not to mention that you’re selling low on Cam Newton. You go from keeping Martin and some combo of Newton/Cruz/J.Jones/Harvin (I’d let Harvin go) to keeping Cruz, Jones, Harvin, and an expensive player like Forte, McCoy, or Rice. Don’t mortgage your teams future when you already have a legit shot to win this year.

  17. Steve C . says:

    Took a beating this week w/injuries. Lost Ben, and Myers (My backup to Hernandez) So I gotta find a replacement from Thin ww. QB choice of Foles, Cutler, bradford or Wilson and TE ..ANY word if Ahern Plays? If not my ONLY choices this week are Chandler or Celek. thanks

    • gregsauce says:

      Well Wilson is on bye and Cutler might not play, so it comes down to Foles or Bradford. Foles has a nice matchup this week against Washington, but I’d go for Bradford because his job is more secure and Danny Amendola is back. As for your TE choices, I’d use Chandler. Celek appears to have fallen out of favor in the Philly offense.

  18. Lucas says:

    I have Gore,Spiller and Ivory, which 2?

  19. karyn says:

    Hi. I am in dire need of rb, I have Chris Johnson on bye and McFadden injured. My other rbs are Shonn Greene and Daniel Thomas. I was thinking about trading Percy Harvin for Cj Spiller. Would you do this? I’m hesistant because I’m in 2cd (almost in first) and would be trading the guy in 1st. My other Wr’s are julio jones, denarius moore, mike williams, and danny ammendola. Its a 12 team non-ppr league. Thank you much!

  20. Tom says:

    waiver wire pick up: D Alexander or Titus Young?

    pick for flex: Reece or Charles or D Thomas?

    pick two for WR: AJ, Dez, James Jones, D Alexander/Titus Young

  21. Andrew says:

    Two juicy options this week: Andrew Luck vs NE or Carson Palmer vs NO. Also, my league does NOT get any negative points for INT’s. Which one? Thanks!

  22. iMP says:

    Hey Greg, I have gotten very worried about VDavis in PPR and the Bears shouldn’t make life better for him this week. I can drop him (or LMoore, my 5th WR in a 3WR league) for Pettigrew. Would you drop either VD or LMoore for Pettigrew? Thanks.

  23. Icaro says:

    Trade Foster for Megatron + T. Richardson ?! And Foster for B. Marshall + CJ?K ?!

    I talked w two guys, and maybe both deals could be done…. Plz, give me your advice on both deals and waht one do u preffer…

    0.5 PPR, No Flex.

    League starts 2 RBs and 3 WRs

    Have Ridley/Mendy/B. Wells – Nelson/Nicks/Wallace/M. Willians/Shorts

    Tks!

    • gregsauce says:

      I prefer the first deal and it seems fine in a vacuum (I assume you’d drop Mendy or Wells to make room for the extra player). Still, your team needs RB help more than WR help, so I’m not sure if the upgrade from Nelson/Nicks/Wallace to Megatron is worth the downgrade from Foster to Richardson. Meanwhile, it will be difficult to make some other trade that turns your WR depth into a better RB than Foster or Ridley. So you’re in a bit of a catch-22 where you can’t trade for a real impact player like Megatron without giving up your own best player in Foster. I would stand pat.

  24. Mungfisher says:

    So like the only viable RBs a available on the wire are Beanie Wells and Mendenhal. Which of those do you like and how much

    • gregsauce says:

      I like Beanie more than Mendy. We don’t know how long it will be before Mendenhall is 100%, but I expect Wells to rearing to go when he’s eligible to return from the IR in Week 12.

  25. Roger says:

    For WK11 Marcel Reece or LeShoure?

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