Week 11 Fantasy Football Last Second Decisions November 15, 2013  |  Kevin Roberts


Week 11 brings us at a crossroads. Now is the time to find out if Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos truly are unstoppable, regardless of the matchup. Or if that mighty Kansas City Chiefs defense can stop even the likes of Manning. Or if Alex Smith is up to the task of keeping up with Manning and co. if his defense doesn’t hold.

That, and oh, so much more. Fantasy Football continues to be rather unpredictable, but I’m done griping over it. In fact, I’ve embraced it. Trent Richardson is dead to me, I’m a believer in Andre Brown and I can’t ignore Riley Cooper anymore.

Put the time in to check out the numbers and then make the call you know you had to make all along – the logical one. For the most part, your fantasy roster should be pretty self explanatory. You have to play your studs and you can’t keep taking shots on under-performing big names. Hopefully that meant you sat T-Rich this past week, and hopefully it means you’ll continue to pass on disappointments like Eli Manning, Steven Jackson and others going forward.

For everything else in week 11, read on for this week’s LSD column and feel free to hit me up on Twitter @NFLSoupKevin. With that, it’s onto week 11:

 

Injury Ward

Peyton Manning, QB, Denver BroncosPeyton Manning

Manning has sore ankles but he’s otherwise fine. You can’t like the matchup against KC this week, but he’s proven to be pretty matchup proof and is at home. Let’s hope this isn’t the week he falls on his face.

Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers

A-Rod is still out with his fractured clavicle. Scott Tolzien will get the start in his place on the road against the Giants. Packers fans gotta love that.

Christian Ponder, QB, Minnesota Vikings

Ponder banged up his shoulder pretty good last week but says he expects to start. He remains a QB2, but don’t expect his best game on the road against a tough Seahawks defense.

Terrelle Pryor, QB, Oakland Raiders

Pryor is not 100% thanks to a bum knee, which makes it fairly likely Matt McGloin will get his first NFL start. Good news for the Houston Texans defense. Bad news for the Raiders.

Adrian Peterson, RB, Minnesota Vikings

Peterson missed some practiced time with a couple of ailments but is fine. He should be a RB1 against a beatable Seattle run defense this week.

Darren McFadden, RB, Oakland Raiders

Run DMC didn’t practice at all this week and will miss week 11. Rely on Rashad Jennings if you need a high-end Flex or borderline RB2 play this week.

Shane Vereen, RB, New England Patriots

Vereen has been practicing and has a chance to play on MNF this week. This isn’t the ideal week to use him with him returning against a stout Panthers defense, but he could be available for a Flex play if needed. Just stay on his status.

Mike James, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

If you hadn’t heard, James broke his ankle and is out for the year. That means Brian Leonard and Bobby Rainey will split carries in Tampa going forward. Exciting, I know. Leonard is worth a look in deep PPR formats, while Rainey is more likely to retain anything close to RB2 value in standard leagues.

Calvin Johnson, WR, Detroit Lions

Nothing to see here. Megatron has been resting up his sore knee a bit, but does not appear to be in any serious danger of missing week 11. He’s been an absolute boss, so use him as you normally would.

Stevie Johnson, WR, Buffalo Bills

Johnson has been ruled out for week 11. Robert Woods is out yet again as well, making T.J. Graham and Marquise Goodwin the top guys to take a look at in Buffalo at WR. You should downgrade E.J. Manuel a bit.

Percy Harvin, WR, Seattle Seahawks

Harvin is listed as probable this week. He could have played last week, so we know he’s close. The matchup is there and he’d surely love to crush the team that traded him away. I just don’t know if I trust him in his first game back.

Harry Douglas, WR, Atlanta Falcons

Douglas is listed as questionable with a sore knee but he’ll probably suit up this week. With Darrelle Revis on Roddy White and Tony Gonzalez out or under 100%, Douglas could see a ton of targets. Just make sure he’s active.

Michael Floyd, WR, Arizona Cardinals

Floyd is slightly under 100% but will play in week 11. He’s facing the Jaguars, so it wouldn’t be the worst week to use him as a WR3.

Tony Gonzalez, TE, Atlanta Falcons

Gonzo has had a couple of really good games the last few weeks, but suddenly is not 100% (toe) and could miss week 11. If he plays, though, he could see a lot of targets with Rowdy Roddy shadowed by Revis.

 

Matchup Alert

Eagles vs. Redskins

Simply put, neither defense is at all formidable. More importantly, Washington’s is pathetic. All Eagles are a go and with the hope that RG3 and co. are finally turning a corner for realzies this time, all ‘Skins should be solid to roll with, as well. If this one isn’t high-scoring, I give up.

Dolphins vs. Chargers

Miami got run on by a collection of backup running backs, so Danny Woodhead and Ryan Mathews should be in for decent days. That, and no matchup scares me too much when it comes to Philip Rivers these days. On the flip-side, San Diego’s defense still gives up production, which offers hope for Ryan Tannehill and the rest of his offensive weapons.

 

Fantasy Versus

Case Keenum, QB, Houston Texans vs. Eli Manning, QB, New York Giants

Go with the guy who has zero interceptions and takes shots down the field or the guy with 16 picks who seems lost as heck? Yeah, roll rsz_casewith Keenum.

Fred Jackson, RB, Buffalo Bills vs. Stevan Ridley, RB, New England Patriots

Scared of the Panthers run D? Yeah, me too. But Ridley is on fire with seven rushing scores over the past four weeks. With the Pats looking to be as healthy as they’ve been all year, you gotta stick with Rids over the likes of Flex value guys like F-Jax.

Percy Harvin, WR, Seattle Seahawks vs. Marques Colston, WR, New Orleans Saints

I don’t trust Harvin in his first game back. Yes, it’s against his former team and their pass defense is awful, but we have no clue how much he’ll play. Colston finally awoke from a coma last week, is at home and faces a 49ers defense that can be passed on at times. I’ll stick with what I know and keep it with Colston this week.

Charles Clay, TE, Miami Dolphins vs. John Carlson, TE, Minnesota Vikings

Carlson blew up last week and was targeted a ton, but with week he’s on the road against the Seahawks. I’d much rather go with Clay, who is facing a weak Chargers pass defense.

 

5 Responses

  1. NoSurrender says:

    I’ve been wrong all year, time to ask for help
    12 team std scoring
    Pick 2 Please
    Garcon, Jeffrey, Gordon, K.Allen

    Thank you

  2. nate says:

    with pryor ruled out, does texans d/st jump cardinals d/st @jags?

  3. dwayne says:

    Percy will go wild.

  4. Norman says:

    Hi Kevin, 12 Team PPR, 8-2, we start 1 QB, 2 WR, 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 Flex, 1 K, 1 D. How do you think I should roster my team this week? My Team: R Wilson, Rivers, AJ Green, Antonio Brown, Torrey, Percy, M Crabtree, R Bush, Spiller, Andre Brown, Ellington, B Tate, Olsen, Walsh, AZ D, NE D.
    Thanks!

  5. Randy says:

    In a 10-team standard league where I must win, I’m struggling with some lineup decisions. First, Brady, Rivers, or Keenum? Second, Keenan Allen, Spiller, or Vereen at flex? (Could also pick up Mendenhall, Stewart, Bucs RBs, or Colston. Lastly, I picked up the Bills given the Chiefs’ matchup but am nervous. In a league where both points and yards allowed count, do you like the Giants, Saints, Dolphins, Chargers or Bills? Thanks!

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