Two Quarterback Rankings: Week 3 September 23, 2015  |  Chet


 

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The quarterback carousel continues to turn. This week alone, we’ve lost Jay Cutler and Tony Romo, are awaiting news on injuries to Matthew Stafford and Drew Brees, and might possibly see a QB change in Cleveland. Peyton Manning’s performance didn’t do much to quell the fears of fantasy owners, while Carson Palmer has rapidly ascended to borderline elite QB1 status. If you have a surplus at quarterback, I would challenge you to immediately reach out to the Romo, Stafford, and Brees owners in your league about a trade. On the flip side, reach out to the Luck owner in your league and see if their ready to jump ship. These first two to three weeks are critical for manipulating overreactive owners.

This week, Blake Bortles is not a name you should laugh at, but one you should consider putting in your starting lineup if you own him. Last week, he threw for 273 yards and a pair of scores in a game that mattered until the very end. This week, he’s more likely than not about to get blown out by the New England Patriots. With a budding star in Allen Robinson, a healthy Marqise Lee, and Allen Hurns, Bortles showed the promise we saw in the preseason, and has the weapons to put up points when the Jaguars inevitably begin to fall behind. New England’s given up 305 passing yards per game and 3 scores per game to quarterbacks who played from behind. I like Bortles’ chances of approaching those numbers.

 

With that, here are the Week 3 rankings.

 

Elite QB1s:

  1. Aaron Rodgers (vs KC) – Currently sits at the top of the QB throne, while Brees, Luck, and Manning have all fallen behind him.
  2. Tom Brady (vs JAX) – I wouldn’t be shocked to see Belichick commit to more of a run heavy approach. I also wouldn’t be surprised to see Brady continue his torrid pace of shredding opposing defenses.
  3. Andrew Luck (@ TEN) – This is the game where Luck turns it around. Book it.
  4. Russell Wilson (vs CHI) – Seattle should be able to get Lynch going here, but RW can have one of those low yardage, high TD games, similar to Palmer last week.
  5. Ben Roethlisberger (@ STL) – The Rams have actually been trouble for QBs so far, but he’s thrown for at least 350 yards in each game and now defenses have to account for Le’Veon Bell.

Solid QB1s:

  1. Matt Ryan (@ DAL) – The man behind Julio’s meteoric start. Has looked very impressive so far and has averaged a lofty 330 passing ypg.
  2. Cam Newton (vs NO) – Fantasy’s number six quarterback can put a beating on the lowly Saints. Has averaged 13 rushes per game and has simply been getting it done.
  3. Carson Palmer (vs SF) – He’s coming off back to back three score games, and SF just gave up a whopping 369/3 to Ben Roethlisberger.

Low End QB1s:

  1. Eli Manning (vs WAS) – Absolutely killed the Redskins last year, throwing for 550/7/1 against them and gets them on the short week.
  2. Peyton Manning (@ DET) – Finished last week’s game strong and is coming off 10 days rest, but I won’t have him any higher until we see him line up out of the shotgun consistently once again.
  3. Philip Rivers (@ MIN) – Minnesota has only given up two scores through the air so far, and I can see the Chargers trying to get Gordon going after a semi-slow start.
  4. Ryan Tannehill (vs BUF) – Looked much better last week after an underwhelming opener, but regardless of getting torched by Brady, Buffalo’s pass rush will cause problems for Tannehill.

Fringe QB1s:

  1. Tyrod Taylor (@ MIA) – Currently sitting at QB5 through 2, but faces his first difficult matchup on defense.
  2. Marcus Mariota (vs IND) – Predictably came back down to earth last week, and hasn’t really used his legs much (5 attempts), but this is definitely a beatable matchup.
  3. Teddy Bridgewater (vs SD) – After realizing that AP is and will be the key to their success, look for Teddy’s numbers to reflect that of a game manager.
  4. Drew Brees (@ CAR) – The truth is you really can’t rely on him right now unless you have to.

High End QB2s:

  1. Ryan Fitzpatrick (vs PHI) – Downgrade him a bit if Decker is out, but in his second time around with Chan Gailey he looks much improved. Has thrown for 2 scores each game and has really clicked with Marshall and Decker.
  2. Andy Dalton (@ BAL) – He’s looked really good and now has a strong supporting cast, but I’m still skeptical of his performance against real competition.

Solid QB2s:

  1. Jameis Winston (@ HOU) – Houston has been getting torched by QBs, and Evans is a week healthier. A very underrated play this week, even if he faces Watt and Clowney.
  2. Nick Foles (vs PIT) – Like Kap last week, he has a real shot at racking up garbage time stats.
  3. Colin Kaepernick (@ ARI) – H/T to @FantasyDouche for this nice nugget: Kap ran for at least 60 yards in their 2 meetings last season. There’s a nice chance we see a repeat of last week’s performance if the Cardinals jump out early.
  4. Blake Bortles (@ NE) – Love him this week. I expect him to be playing from behind early, and New England has actually given up the 3rd most fantasy points to quarterbacks.
  5. Derek Carr (@ CLE) – Set a career high in passing yards in last week’s shootout against the Ravens. We saw Fitzpatrick and Mariota put up solid performances against Cleveland so far. Why can’t Carr join them?
  6. Alex Smith (@ GB) – After a stellar Week One, Smith crashed back down to earth. He should go back to doing his thing next week.

Low End QB2s:

  1. Joe Flacco (vs CIN)- Bounced back last week against the Raiders, but the Bengals will pose major problems this week. Avoid if possible.
  2. Sam Bradford (@ NYJ) – This may actually be a trap game for the Jets, but concerns are valid. No line, no running game to prop him up, and no rhythm on offense against a defense leading the league in takeaways. It’s probably best to sit him this week if you can.
  3. Matthew Stafford (vs DEN) – Reportedly is extremely banged up and may even miss time. I don’t like him at all against an extremely aggressive defense.
  4. Johnny Manziel (vs OAK) – If he gets the nod, this is his dream matchup, but I think last week shows they want the ball out of his hands as much as possible.

Bottom of the Barrel:

  1. Kirk Cousins (@ NYG) – The Giants have been a very generous defense to quarterbacks, but even on a short week it’s hard to trust him here.
  2. Brandon Weeden (vs ATL) – Has been one of the worst starters in the league whenever he takes the field. Feel free to fade him here.
  3. Ryan Mallett (vs TB) – Even after putting up one of the worst performances ever last week, he scored 19 points. The man has minimal weapons and no running game to aid him.
  4. Jimmy Clausen (@ SEA) – This week’s Pizza Rat. Try as he may we all know how it’s going to end.

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