Start/Sit Week 7 October 17, 2014  |  Mike Braude


 

Check out The Fake Football Week 7 DFS Cheat Sheet

 

 

START

 

Quarterback:

 

Tom Brady vs. NYJ

No team has allowed more passing touchdowns or had fewer interceptions than the New York Jets. They’ve allowed at least two passing touchdowns in every game this season. Recovered from a slow start, Tom Brady has passed for six touchdowns and 653 passing yards over his past two games.

 

Running Back:

 

Justin Forsett vs. ATL

Despite being overlooked as a potential starting running back, Justin Forsett has impressed this season. Rushing for 6.4 yards per carry, Forsett has proven himself as a fit for Gary Kubiak’s rushing offense. It’s laughable how bad the Falcons have been against the run. The Falcons are the only team to allow more than seven rushing touchdowns to opposing running backs – they’ve allowed 11. They’ve also allowed the most rushing yards (767) to opposing running backs.

 

Eddie Lacy vs. CAR

While the concerns about Eddie Lacy are valid, this week is a matchup he can take advantage of. The Panthers have allowed the 2nd most points to opposing running backs and are giving up a league-high 5.5 yards per carry.

 

CJ Spiller vs. MIN

If the Bills are ever going to get CJ Spiller going, it will be this week. The Vikings are allowing the 3rd most points to opposing running backs and have allowed an opposing running back to score in each of their five games since Week 1. This is also a plus matchup for Fred Jackson.

 

Wide Receiver:

 

Michael Floyd at OAK

Out of all the teams playing this week, no team has allowed more fantasy points to opposing wide receivers than the Oakland Raiders. With Carson Palmer back at the helm, expect the Cardinals to get Floyd involved this week.

 

Golden Tate vs. NO

Despite a dud last week, Golden Tate is still a WR2 for those who own him. Tate has at least five catches in each game this season and has been a target monster with Calvin Johnson out of the lineup. This week Tate faces a Saints’ secondary that is allowing the 4th most points to opposing wide receivers. In a game that could be a shootout, Tate will be the Lions’ best means of moving the ball in the passing game.

 

Davante Adams vs. CAR

If you follow my writing closely, you may know that I have a man-crush on Davante Adams. He was productive in college, he’s big, fast, and will be on a lot of my fantasy teams next season. By catching six passes for 77 yards, Adams gained Aaron Rodgers’ trust against the Dolphins. Now the Packers are facing a Panthers’ secondary that has allowed 749 receiving yards and eight touchdowns to opposing wide receivers over their last four games.

 

Tight End:

 

Larry Donnell at DAL

Despite just one catch for six yards over his past two games, Larry Donnell can be trusted in Week 7. With the Giants losing Victor Cruz, Donnell will see an increase in targets. It doesn’t hurt that the Cowboys have struggled to guard opposing tight ends.

 

SIT

 

Quarterback:

 

Eli Manning at DAL

Despite his hot streak heading in to Sunday night, Eli Manning was a disappointment against the Eagles. Not only did he finish with a measly three fantasy points, but also lost his best weapon in Victor Cruz. With proven pass catchers, I’d prefer to see Eli perform before re-inserting him in to the starting lineup. It certainly doesn’t help that the Cowboys have been surprisingly strong against opposing quarterbacks this season.

 

Running Back:

 

Jerick McKinnon at BUF

You would be hard pressed to find a bigger McKinnon fan but I can’t recommend him as a start this week. Although he’ll likely see starter’s touches going forward, the Bills have been incredibly stout against opposing running backs. The Bills are one of just two teams to not allow an opposing running back to find the end zone this season. They’re also allowing a measly 2.8 yards per carry – the fewest in the league.

 

Steven Jackson at BAL

At this stage in his career, Steven Jackson is just a guy. A guy that is stopping more talented backs from getting on the field. Jackson is averaging just 3.8 yards per carry and hasn’t topped 55 rushing yards in any game this season. Dependent on a touchdown, Jackson isn’t a good bet against a Ravens defense that hasn’t allowed an opposing running back to score a touchdown in five of their six games.

 

Bishop Sankey at WAS

Averaging just 35.2 rushing yards per game with one touchdown; Sankey hasn’t been dominant on the ground. He’s finally seeing more carries but is held back by a lack of involvement in the pass game. The Redskins have been very stout against the run – allowing just one touchdown to opposing running backs.

 

Wide Receiver:

 

Eric Decker at NE

As much as I like Eric Decker, this is simply a rough matchup for him. Not only is scoring down in Thursday night games, but Decker will be defended by top cornerback Darrelle Revis. Revis held Sammy Watkins to two scoreless catches last week.

 

Brandon LaFell vs. NYJ

Despite playing well in two of his last three games, Brandon LaFell is still not a reliable fantasy wide receiver. He’s likely to split snaps as the ‘X’ wide receiver with Brian Tyms and/or Aaron Dobson. It’s hard to decipher what New England is planning but I don’t believe LaFell’s breakout is for real.

 

Anquan Boldin at DEN

While playing Denver may force the 49ers to pass, the Broncos have been fantastic against opposing top wideouts. Despite playing well against the Rams, Boldin makes for a shaky start against a Broncos’ secondary that is giving up the 3rd fewest points to opposing wide receivers.

 

Tight End:

 

Owen Daniels vs. ATL

One of three teams to not allow a touchdown to an opposing tight end, the Falcons defend the tight end position well. Daniels hasn’t performed consistently in replacing Pitta and is not a reliable option for Week 7.

16 Responses

  1. Carlos says:

    I’m having a tough time making a decision on who to play.

    Wr1 D Thomas
    Wr2 A Johnson
    Te D Allen or T Kelce
    Flex S Watkins, O Beckham Jr., either of the te that doesn’t start, I Crowell

    Any lineup help will do.

    Thanks

  2. Jay (Norwich, CT) says:

    Good morning, Mike. I hope you’re here. Non-PPR Flex: McKinnon, Jeremy Hill or Isaiah Crowell? Thank you and keep up the great work.

  3. Rosco p Coltrane says:

    Mike, I have a bit of a dilemma. I have Jordan Reed ready to start, but now I’m reading Graham, who i also have may play but may be a situational RZ player.

    I know Reeds the play but my partner in my league is an idiot and just looks at the names and wants to go that route with Graham if he plays, which IMO I think if they roll out Graham he’s gonna be a decoy, they won’t risk throwing to him with his shoulder hurt.

    Go Reed, right?

  4. Anthony says:

    I am in a PPR league and was wondering Who to start at rb2 and it’s a pretty bad situation ? I have L. McCoy on a bye and I have L.Miller starting but who else should I start out Spiller or T. Richardson or Crowell at my rb2 ? And also I have Cobb starting at WR but don’t know who to start out of R. Randle , M. Sanu ??

  5. Lonnie says:

    Matt Ryan or Palmer?, Brees or palmer?

  6. Norman says:

    PPR, start Cameron or Donnell, Wilson or Kaep, need to start 2: Sankey, J Hill or Mason, flex 2: Cameron or Donnell (depending on who to start at TE), Roddy, Wayne, Mason.
    Thanks!

    • Mike Braude says:

      Cameron
      Wilson
      J Hill & Sankey
      Roddy & Wayne

    • Rosco p Coltrane says:

      Cameron, ride him until he fails or gets injured. Jags are terrible.

      Wilson, after last week he should be a top 5 QB vs STL, Crabtree might be a bust against Talib this week.

      Wayne, he’s still one of Lucks main guys where as Roddy….is Roddy, not dependable.

  7. Girl Flex.... says:

    Need some flex advice…PPR bonus league(yds/long plays/long TD’s)

    Cooks or Crabtree? Already have Jeffery and Hilton locked in as starters.

    I see you have Donnell as a must start this week would you play him over Cameron? or I guess you can throw Cameron and Donnell into my flex position question too. Appreciate the feedback!

  8. Chad says:

    Do you think Donnell will be limited in the passing game due to the Giants stuggles with pass protection? I currently have Gates in my lineup.

    Also, is Andre Holmes going to continue putting up big numbers and is he worth starting over someone like Randle or Andre Johnson who both see lots of targets but haven’t scored much?

    Thanks.

    • Mike Braude says:

      Stick with Gates.

      I like Andre Johnson the most so definitely play him. While I prefer Randle to Holmes in the long run, Holmes could have the better day this Sunday. They’re about 50/50 so I’d go with your gut

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