2013 Fantasy Football

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Start/Sit Week 6

posted by Mike Braude

START

 

QB: Robert Griffin III at DAL – Although he’s struggled to start off the season hot, RGIII has a great matchup coming off his Week 5 bye. The Cowboys defense has allowed 14 passing touchdowns and three opposing quarterbacks to top 400-yard in just five games. Eli Manning, Peyton Manning, and Phillip Rivers all passed for 400+ yards and 3+ touchdowns against the Cowboys (Sam Bradford and Alex Smith failed). RGIII must be inserted into fantasy lineups. Another start I like this week is Andrew Luck – who faces a Chargers’ secondary that has allowed at least two passing touchdowns in four of five games.

RB: Arian Foster vs. STL – Although he’s only scored one touchdown in his last three games, Arian Foster has a juicy matchup this week. Coming in 29th against the run, the Rams have given up the 3rd most points to opposing running backs. With Matt Schaub struggling, expect the Texans to ride Arian to victory.

Alfred Morris at DAL – Despite a slow start to the season, Alfred Morris has historically dominated the Cowboys. In two games against the Cowboys as a rookie last season, the Butler rushed 57 times for 313 yards (5.49 YPC) and four touchdowns. You’ll want him in your lineup this week.

Knowshon Moreno vs. JAC – By no stretch do I think that Knowshon Moreno is an extremely talented running back (LeSean McCoy agrees) – but I do believe that a big part of fantasy football is situation and opportunity – Moreno has both. Peyton Manning will make sure Moreno continues to carry the ball against favorable formations. As the offense continues to move the ball, these carries turn into touchdowns. Moreno already has four touchdowns in five games this season. While this is an exploitable matchup, the real question is how long Moreno will stay on the field once the scoreboard is lopsided.

DeAngelo Williams at MIN – Despite struggling against the Cardinals, DeAngelo Williams has at least 85 rushing yards in three of four games. With the scarcity of solid running back plays, Williams is worth using against a Vikings defense that has allowed the 4th most fantasy points to opposing running backs.

WR: A.J. Green at BUF – Many are worried about A.J. Green’s fantasy value after failing to top 61 yards in his last four games. I, however, am not worried – A.J. Green has proven himself in this offense and will be fine – I like him as a buy-low to snag before Sunday. This week he faces a Bills’ secondary that has allowed the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. No Bills’ cornerback can guard A.J. Green; I’d be excited to have him in my lineup.

Vincent Jackson vs. PHI – Hopefully the Buccaneers’ bye week provided Mike Glennon with a chance to get on the same page as his receivers because this is too good of a matchup to pass up. The Bucs face an Eagles defense that has allowed the most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. They’ve already conceded 93 receptions for 1,207 yards and 11 touchdowns to opposing receivers this season. If the Buccaneers can’t pass this week, it’s going to be a very long season for Vincent Jackson owners.

Reggie Wayne at SD – Despite being his consistent self, Reggie Wayne hasn’t broken out for a huge game this season. That could change this week. Facing a Chargers’ secondary that has allowed the 4th most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers, Wayne has a juicy matchup. The Chargers have allowed two touchdowns to wide receivers in three of the last four weeks. Expect Wayne to find paydirt on Monday Night Football. T.Y. Hilton is also a solid start this week.

Cecil Shorts at DEN – The current NFL targets leader can expect plenty of garbage time catches this week against the Broncos. With Chad Henne starting this week, things are looking up for the Jaguars pass catchers. There’s a good chance Henne will top 35 pass attempts while playing from behind, which means good things for Shorts and Justin Blackmon.

TE: Greg Olsen at MIN – Although he’s missed early practices this week, Olsen confirmed that he is on track to play on Wednesday. Only the Dolphins have allowed more fantasy points to opposing tight ends than the Vikings, and they’re on bye. Olsen couldn’t have a better matchup on the horizon.

 

SIT

 

QB: Terrelle Pryor at KC – Although Pryor is playing at a very high level; the Chiefs have been extremely difficult for opposing quarterbacks this season. They have yet to allow two passing touchdowns or a 300-yard passer in a game this season. Unlike last week, this week is not a chance to use Pryor as a streamer.

RB: C.J. Spiller vs. CIN – Despite my sweet spot for Spiller, this just isn’t a good week to play him. Not only has he lost E.J. Manuel, but this week the Bills will trot out practice-squadder Thad Lewis, who has one career NFL start. It doesn’t help that he’s facing a stout Bengals defense that has allowed just 3.9 YPC this season with a tender ankle. The Bills are going to struggle to generate consistent first downs.

Fred Jackson vs. CIN – See C.J. Spiller above. The combination of splitting carries, with a quarterback who is unlikely to find success, against a stout defense – isn’t a recipe for fantasy production. I’d prefer to leave both of the Bills running backs on the bench.

Eddie Lacy at BAL – While many will have to start him anyway, the Ravens present a really difficult matchup for Eddie Lacy. The Ravens are allowing the fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs. Thus far they have allowed 352 yards on 95 carries, good for 3.7 YPC. Lacy will likely need a rushing touchdown to buoy his value – the Ravens have allowed just one of those.

WR: Stevie Johnson vs. CIN – Although the Bengals have struggled to stop the pass, I’m not worried about them trying to stop Thad Lewis. With E.J. Manuel out, Stevie Johnson owners will want to wait-and-see how Lewis performs before inserting him into your starting lineup.

Tavon Austin at HOU – So far this season Tavon Austin has the look of a bust. He’s only topped 50 yards or scored a touchdown in one of his five games this season. Throw in the fact that he’s facing a Texans defense that has allowed the fewest fantasy points to opposing wide receivers and I’d leave him and Chris Givens on the bench.

Denarius Moore at KC – Cementing himself as Terrelle Pryor’s No. 1 option gives Moore high-end WR3 value on weeks that he has an exploitable matchup. Considering they’re giving up the 5th fewest points to opposing wide receivers, I wouldn’t call the Chiefs defense exploitable.

TE: Jeff Cumberland vs. PIT – Don’t go chasing Cumberland’s two game touchdown streak. He’s caught two of his eight targets for touchdowns – his production is unsustainable. Currently 7th on his team in targets, Cumberland isn’t an integral part of the Jets offense.

 

Thanks for reading, good luck this week. Hit me up on Twitter @BraudeM or post below for any lineup questions you guys have!

 

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Mike Braude

When he's not searching for ways to defeat his opponents, Mike Braude spends his time finding ways to remove the randomness of fantasy football and reward the most skilled fantasy owners. He has remedied this issue by creating Apex Fantasy Football Money Leagues.
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8 Comments

  • In a PPR league and I need help at flex.

    Antonio Brown, Josh Gordon, or Cecil Shorts?

    Thanks!

  • Sup Mike, rank ROS PPR bonus league

    Fleener, H.Miller, J. Cook?

  • Sup Mike? Who is the better flex Decker or Fitz? 12 man standard. I know Decker has the better match up it just worries me he may not see too many his way.

    • Decker will receive less targets but more efficient targets because the defense has to pay attention to so many other playmakers. I’d play Decker.

  • I’m strongly considering starting McGahee over Fitz this week. Talk me off the ledge…

    • In standard I can understand going with McGahee. In PPR, you have to go with Fitz.

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