Start/Sit Week 12 November 20, 2014  |  Mike Braude


 

 

START

 

Quarterback:

 

Colin Kaepernick vs. WAS

Last week the Redskins confirmed they were a stream-worthy opposing defense by allowing Josh McCown to pass for 288 yards and two touchdowns on just 23 attempts. In ten games this season, the Redskins have allowed 20 passing touchdowns while intercepting just three passes. They are allowing the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. While Kaepernick has struggled lately, he’s still worth a stream against this dreadful secondary.

 

Running Back:

 

LeSean McCoy vs. TEN

Only one team can fix LeSean McCoy’s struggles and that’s the Tennessee Titans. Over their last three games, opposing running backs have averaged 33.3 carries for 185.7 rushing yards (5.58 YPC), and 1.7 touchdowns. Fresh off a drubbing from Le’Veon Bell, the Titans are allowing the most fantasy points to opposing running backs.

Isaiah Crowell at ATL

With Ben Tate gone, the Browns backfield is down to a two-man timeshare. Terrance West is likely to see more time in the pass-game, while Crowell handles more carries. I prefer Crowell as he has outpaced West in yards per carry for the season: 4.6 to 3.6, respectively. Despite their recent effectiveness against the bad rushing offenses of the Buccaneers and Panthers, I still see the Falcons as a highly exploitable matchup. They’ve allowed the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing running backs.

Denard Robinson at IND

After getting decimated by Jonas Gray, it’s apparent that the Colts run defense is exploitable. They’re currently allowing the 4th most fantasy points to opposing running backs. Denard Robinson has taken full advantage of the Jaguars lead back role and he can expect to see a minimum 15 touches against a bad Colts run defense.

 

Wide Receiver:

 

Josh Gordon at ATL

Although he hasn’t played this season, Josh Gordon comes in fresh and ready to “tear this league up.” Gordon is a special talent and must be in lineups any time he is active. The Browns would be silly to put him on a snap count. The Falcons have been a favorable matchup and are allowing the 6th most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers.

Keenan Allen vs. STL

After scoring eight touchdowns last season, Keenan Allen has just one touchdown this season. While he’s settled in as a better PPR option than standard, I do believe he’s due to regress – he’s simply too good of a player, on too good of an offense, to end this season with such a low number of touchdowns. Don’t shy away from starting Allen against a Rams defense that is allowing the 4th most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers.

Justin Hunter at PHI

For those with daunting matchups, Justin Hunter provides a boom-or-bust play. He carries big upside against a poor Eagles secondary that is allowing the 3rd most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. The Eagles have allowed seven touchdowns to wide receivers in their last four games. The problem with Hunter is he also has a very low floor. If you’re feeling risky, he’s an interesting play.

 

Tight End:

 

Larry Donnell vs. DAL

With so few reliable tight ends, Larry Donnell has become a reasonable TE1. He has at least four catches or a touchdown in each of his past four games. This week the Giants face a Cowboys defense that is allowing the 4th most fantasy points to opposing tight ends in what figures to be a game that they are playing from behind.

 

 

SIT

 

 

Quarterback:

 

Matt Ryan vs. CLE

While the Browns have struggled against the run, they’ve defended the pass well. They have allowed multiple passing touchdowns to the opposing quarterback in just four of their ten games this season. On the year, the Browns have allowed 14 passing touchdowns while intercepting 14 passes. They’ve allowing the 4th fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. Matt Ryan is also struggling – after opening the season with three passing touchdowns in three of his first four games; Ryan has tossed multiple touchdowns just once in his last six games.

 

Running Back:

 

Jonas Gray vs. DET

Despite having a performance that will likely go down as the best in his career on Sunday night, Jonas Gray can’t be trusted. His role will depend on game flow and matchups – he’ll be easier to trust in games that the Patriots are favored by a heavy margin. The Lions run defense has been stout all season – they have allowed an opposing backfield to top 100 rushing yards just once this season. This is a matchup to avoid for last week’s star.

Chris Ivory at BUF

The Bills run defense has been superb this season – they are currently allowing the 3rd fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs. Chris Ivory hasn’t topped 51 yards or 14 touches in three weeks. The Jets aren’t scoring enough for touchdowns to buoy his value. Avoid Ivory in a difficult matchup this week.

Fred Jackson vs. NYJ

With Fred Jackson returning the Bills will likely move to a three-man time-share. While I do expect Jackson to have value again this season, I don’t believe it will be this week. The Bills are likely to ease Jackson in while still keeping Bryce Brown and Anthony Dixon involved. He’s not an option against a tough Jets run defense.

 

Wide Receiver:

 

Michael Floyd at SEA

Despite scoring two touchdowns last week, Michael Floyd is not an elite option. Unfortunately he had just two catches and without reliable volume, he’s difficult to trust. This week he draws the toughest matchup possible, playing the Seahawks in Seattle. The Seahawks have allowed the fewest fantasy points to opposing wide receivers.

Andre Johnson vs. CIN

At this stage of their careers, I believe DeAndre Hopkins is a better receiver than Andre Johnson. Johnson has just one touchdown and has topped 100 yards once this season. At this point, he’s only reliable in PPR leagues. The Texans face the Bengals this week, who have allowed the 2nd fewest fantasy points to opposing wide receivers.

Golden Tate at NE

It’s likely that the Patriots will stick the lengthy Brandon Browner on Calvin Johnson and Darrelle Revis on Golden Tate. This gives Tate a difficult matchup as Browner is the more exploitable cornerback. Either way, the Patriots pass defense is a difficult matchup as they have allowed the 3rd fewest fantasy points to opposing wide receivers.

 

Tight End:

 

Jacob Tamme vs. MIA

While Tamme did see a solid amount of targets in Julius Thomas’ absence, he simply isn’t a playmaker. He lacks replacement-level athleticism and only deserves consideration because of Peyton Manning. The matchup is not favorable, as the Dolphins have allowed the 4th fewest points to opposing tight ends. Austin Seferian-Jenkins is a better streamer for Week 12.

 

28 Responses

  1. Freddie says:

    Ppr league. Which three would u start. Sammy Watkins steve smith brandon lafell or andre Johnson

  2. Freddie says:

    Ppr league. Which three would u start. Sammy Watkins steve smith brandon lafell or andre Johnson.

  3. Mike says:

    Who to slot in a 3WR/2RB. I have Denard Robinson who can fill either WR or RB as well as

    WR
    Calvin Johson
    Josh Gordon
    Odel Beckham

    RB
    Rashad Jennings
    Mark Ingram
    CJ Anderson

  4. David Vest says:

    Non ppr! 1)Own Stafford so do I start him week 12 @ NE? FA’s are: Tannehill,Sanchez & McGown. Could start one of those. 2) Best 2 flex options: J.Gordon,Sanu,Crowell or K.Allen? Thanks alot

  5. Andy says:

    What are your thoughts on Foster? Even if he plays, how much will he be involved? Would you start either Crowell or J.Hill over a “healthy” Foster?

  6. Andre says:

    Need to start 4 players at least 1 must be a RB or WR.

    Points per reception league

    Reggie Bush
    C.J. Anderson
    Giovanni Bernard
    Anquon Boldin
    Kendall Wright

  7. Charlie Phillips says:

    I have Sammie Watkins, ODB, and Mike Evans. Who would you recommend sitting this week.. all have great matchups i think. I’m kinda thinkin Mike Evans, so i can flex tray mason also good matchup.

  8. John says:

    I need another opinion on my RB/WR’s:

    10 team, 1pt PPR

    Start 2 or 3:
    B. Marshall
    E. Sanders
    J. Gordon
    M. Evans

    Start 2 or 3:
    D. Murray
    M. Forte
    J. Forsett
    A. Morris

    THANKS!

  9. Andy says:

    Olsen on bye, I have Clay. Wait till Sunday or just pick up Niles Paul and be done with it? Austin SJ available too. (PPR)

  10. Norman says:

    He rejected the trade, you’d start Mason over Mathews?

  11. jerry says:

    ppr delanie walker or charles clay
    ppr need 1 giovani bernard, lamar miller,alfred blue

  12. Norman says:

    12 Team PPR (both leagues), how would you roster these teams this week?
    1st league, we start 1 Qb, 2 WR, 2 RB, 1 TE, 1 Flex. Luck, Dez, M Wallace, D Murray, FJax, Jimmy, Vereen, Wayne, Sims, Edelman, Crowell, Britt
    2nd league, we start 1 QB, 2 WR, 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 Flex. Kaep, R Wilson, Dez, Roddy, Shady, J Hill, Donnell, R Mathews, Mason, Wayne, R Randle, Sankey, Baldwin, Cameron. I just proposed Shady for Gronk, I doubt it will go through, but if it does who would you start at RBs?
    Thanks

    • Mike Braude says:

      1. QB Luck
      WR Dez, Wallace
      RB Murray, Crowell
      TE Jimmy
      Flex Edelman

      2. QB Wilson
      WR Dez, Roddy
      RB Shady, Hill
      TE Donnell
      Flex Wayne, Mason

      I would play Mathews if Shady is traded

  13. Zach says:

    But would you start Keenan in PPR over the Odell Beckham express?

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