Start/Sit Week 10 November 6, 2014  |  Mike Braude


START

 

Quarterback:

 

Cam Newton at PHI

Out the teams playing this week, the Eagles have allowed the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. Despite not throwing for a touchdown in two straight games, Cam has at least seven carries in each of his last four games. Passing shouldn’t be an issue against an Eagles secondary that has allowed at least two passing touchdowns in seven of their eight games this season.

 

Running Back:

 

Bobby Rainey vs. ATL

No team has been more favorable for opposing running backs to face than the Falcons. Despite having a bye last week, the Falcons have still allowed three more rushing touchdowns than any other team. They have allowed an opposing running back to score a touchdown in six of their eight games this season. Rainey is likely to receive the early down work while the Bucs ease in Charles Sims.

 

LeSean McCoy vs. CAR

With Nick Foles out, look for the Eagles to get LeSean McCoy going. The Panthers are allowing a league-high 4.8 yards per carry and are allowing the 3rd most fantasy points to opposing running backs. Shady is an elite daily play this week.

 

Terrance West at CIN

Since losing All-Pro center Alex Mack, the Browns have struggled to gain consistent yardage on the ground. This has led to starter Ben Tate losing his job. It appears that Terrance West is now the favorite for carries. The Bengals have allowed a rushing touchdown to an opposing running back in six straight games. If you’re pressed by bye weeks, West is a plug-and-play RB2.

 

Wide Receiver:

 

Roddy White at TB

No team has allowed more points to opposing wide receivers than the Buccaneers. Coming off a bye week, expect the Falcons to be sharp against arguably the league’s worst secondary. Julio Jones is also an elite option this week.

 

Kelvin Benjamin at PHI

Despite underwhelming against the Saints on Thursday night, Kelvin Benjamin receives another plus matchup. The Eagles are allowing the 4th most points to opposing wide receivers. The Eagles’ pace also increases opportunities for their opponents by taking little time off the clock.

 

Justin Hunter at BAL

The Titans continue to target Justin Hunter heavily – it’s just a question of when the breakout game will come. The Ravens’ secondary without CB Jimmy Smith is an ample opportunity for Hunter to perform. Out of teams playing this week, the Ravens have allowed the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers.

 

Tight End:

 

Heath Miller at NYJ

While I’m not a big fan of “Dad Runner” Heath Miller, his matchup is very good this week. The Jets have allowed two touchdowns to opposing tight ends in five of their nine games this season. If Miller can’t take advantage of this matchup, he’s no longer worthy of our trust.

 

SIT

 

Quarterback:

 

Alex Smith at BUF

While Alex Smith is usually dependable, the Bills are allowing the 3rd fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks out of teams playing this week. The Bills have allowed multiple passing touchdowns in just three of eight games this season. They have a TD:INT ratio of 12:12. It’s simply not a good week to stream Smith.

 

Running Back:

 

Bishop Sankey at BAL

I do like Sankey’s chances of having an impact this season, but this weekend is not the time. With little involvement in the passing game, Sankey will need to rush well to perform against the Ravens. The Ravens have allowed the fewest points to opposing running backs and are allowing just 3.5 yards per carry.

 

Tre Mason at AZ

Another team that defends running backs very well is the Cardinals, who have allowed the 2nd fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs. The Cardinals have allowed just four rushing touchdowns and haven’t allowed any opposing backfield to top 100 rushing yards.

 

Anthony Dixon vs. KC

Despite receiving a heavy snap count with Fred Jackson out of the lineup, Dixon is a tough play this week. The Chiefs are the only team that still hasn’t allowed an opposing running back to score a touchdown. With Fred Jackson possibly returning and Bryce Brown eating in to his touches, I’d prefer to sit Dixon this week.

 

Wide Receiver:

 

Mike Wallace at DET

No team is allowing fewer points to opposing wide receivers than the Detroit Lions. They have allowed the fewest yards (1,123) and touchdowns (3) to opposing wideouts. Considering Wallace’s fantasy value has been buoyed by touchdowns, this isn’t the best week to bet on him.

 

Rueben Randle at SEA

This applies to Odell Beckham Jr. as well. Over their last four games, the Seahawks have defended opposing wide receivers very well. Over that span, opposing wideouts are averaging 7.25 catches for 105.3 yards. With just three touchdowns allowed to opposing wide receivers, this is not a good week to bet on Rueben Randle or Odell Beckham Jr.

 

Andrew Hawkins at CIN

Currently banged up Andrew Hawkins intends to play on Thursday night but he is not a good bet for production. He didn’t produce last week against the Bucs league-worst secondary and now draws a tough matchup with the Bengals’ secondary. The Bengals are allowing the 3rd fewest fantasy points to opposing wide receivers.

 

Tight End:

 

Greg Olsen at PHI

No team has defended the tight end position better than the Philadelphia Eagles. They have allowed the 3rd fewest receptions (31), 2nd fewest yards (310), and the fewest touchdowns (1) to opposing tight ends. It’s simply not a good week to bet on Olsen – bench him if you have the ability.

14 Responses

  1. David Vest says:

    non ppr and need a desperation flex week 10: J.Hunter,Da.Adams,Taliaferro? Leaning J.Hunter and thanks.

  2. Aaron says:

    The Eagles DBS seems to always be a fortuitous matchup vs opposing WRS, but their all scattered, and they seem to do relatively well vs opposing offenses’ #1 WRS. (I get Fitz fetched an 80-yarder two weeks ago, but save the Texans’ Hopkins (is he their #1?) where’s the evidence that the data isn’t in a scattered fashion?)

    • Aaron says:

      *they’re scattered.” (Edit)

    • Mike Braude says:

      Along with those mentioned performances, Allen Hurns went for 4/110/2 against the Eagles in Week 1. In Week 3, Garcon went for 11/138/1 and DeSean went for 5/117/1. Brian Quick went for 5/87/2. They aren’t all #1s but Quick and Garcon were and there’s certainly evidence that they struggle to defend opposing WRs.

  3. mike says:

    Do you think T. Kelce is a better play then Greg Olsen this week?

  4. Charlie Phillips says:

    Davante Adams is supposed to be a good sleeper start this week, do you think i should start him over ODB who has a bad matchup against the Seahawks?.. or just stay with the fantasy expert charts on this one?

    • Mike Braude says:

      Part of me likes the idea of going with Davante. I think it’s a reasonable decision. Obviously experts overall prefer ODB but I’d probably go with Davante. Go with your gut

  5. JC says:

    I’m hurting at tight end in my 12 team non ppr league. What do you of one of the Green Bay tight ends as a deep flyer this weekend. Sunday night, coming off a bye with a quarterback with a bad hammy. I’m think of picking up the rookie Rodgers. There is the lions, seahawks and buffalo tight end also out there. What do you think?

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