Rest Of Season Strength Of Schedule
September 28, 2012 | Chet
Ok, so these numbers you’re going to fry your eyes with are from the first three weeks. That officially is not enough data to feel great about their accuracy. But unofficially, I like to check it out anyway.
I’ve taken our Matchup Numbers and used applied them to the schedule, until week 16. The numbers are based on how each defense does against each position. So for quarterbacks we’ll have passing yards allowed, fantasy points allowed, passing TDs allowed, completion percentage allowed, and their DVOA ranking against the pass. We take the ranking, 1 through 33, 32 being the worst, for each category and then average it out for each defense. So right now, Philadelphia has a 3.4, the best defense against QBs based on these numbers, and Tennessee has a 31.2, the worst defense against QBs.
Then we look at similar stats for each position and use our abacus to manipulate and hopefully make our favorite fantasy players look good.
So below you’ll see out numbers with some wacky colors that don’t mean much except to help you differentiate some junk. Each chart has the easiest schedule on the top and worst on the bottom. To see each position, go to the bottom and click on the tab for the corresponding position and you’ll enter a realm of fake football nugety goodness.
Like I said, these numbers are early, but we can at least get a general idea of how the season is going. Peyton Manning seems to benefit, while Matt Stafford doesn’t. Do I trade Stafford straight up for Manning? No, I maybe try to acquire Manning, but Stafford is in such a fantasy friendly offense, that I just don’t see him not putting up good numbers this season.
I would use this chart to help you if you are choosing between two closely ranked players, such as between Marshawn Lynch and Darren McFadden. I like both about equally as far as fantasy is concerned, but McFadden looks to have an easier path ahead of him than Lynch.
And these numbers also give me an excuse to tell you to go get The Muscle Hamster before it’s too late! Scurry, don’t walk to the trade button nearest you!
So anyway, it is what it is. Take a look-see and eat your vegetables.