QB Strength of Schedule: 2016 July 27, 2016  |  Chet


 

 

Our method is to rank each defense in different categories and then average those rankings into a single number. So for quarterbacks, we base the opposing defenses on completion percentage, passing yards, passing yards per attempt, touchdown passes, interceptions, fantasy points, etc. We then average those based on their rankings and come up with the numbers you’ll see below. The higher the number, the worse defenses performed against quarterbacks, at least in allowing them to score fantasy points.

My usual caveat for looking at the strength of schedule before the season still holds; it is perilous. Personnel moves in the offseason, both in coaches and players, will change what a defense is capable of in 2016. But, teams can only make so many moves, and an extremely poor defense will have trouble becoming a good defense overnight. That leaves us to gain some insight when looking at extremes, especially for the weakest defenses.

For the most part we believe a great quarterback can beat a great defense enough to get by those games in good fantasy shape, but mediocre-to-good quarterbacks can take great matchups and put up great numbers. So these numbers don’t usually keep me away from the top quarterbacks, but they will help me lean toward later-round quarterbacks who have easy schedules.

Below, here you can see the chart for all 32 teams and then just a normal 2016 schedule if you’d like to match up who the actual teams are.
 

 

TEAM1234567891011121314151617Wk 1-16Wk 14-16
ARI12.120.115.014.023.37.66.74.6BYE23.313.611.719.023.430.76.714.015.4620.29
ATL20.116.130.74.63.96.717.38.620.119.1BYE5.06.714.023.34.630.713.3913.95
BAL15.023.925.616.119.024.67.6BYE21.023.913.910.123.412.119.121.010.118.4217.43
BUF21.47.65.012.114.023.323.412.16.7BYE10.125.616.121.023.923.47.616.3922.76
CAR3.923.313.611.720.130.7BYE5.014.06.730.716.16.717.319.011.720.115.3716.00
CHI8.919.113.922.717.725.68.613.6BYE20.124.622.323.322.78.619.013.618.0416.76
CIN7.621.03.923.413.912.123.919.0BYE24.615.021.419.123.921.08.921.417.2417.90
CLE19.121.423.419.012.122.310.17.613.921.421.024.6BYE10.115.017.321.017.2314.14
DAL24.619.018.623.310.18.6BYE19.123.921.021.419.013.624.620.122.719.119.3022.48
DEN4.617.710.120.111.717.38.917.316.130.7BYE6.725.622.312.16.716.115.2013.71
DET17.722.38.618.619.114.019.08.913.6BYE25.613.630.718.624.613.98.617.9019.00
GB25.613.622.7BYE24.613.918.611.717.722.319.019.18.96.718.613.622.717.1012.95
HOU18.66.712.122.313.617.73.922.7BYE25.616.117.38.617.725.610.122.315.9017.81
IND22.73.917.325.618.68.922.36.78.6BYE22.321.07.68.913.616.125.614.9212.86
JAX8.617.321.417.7BYE18.616.122.36.78.922.715.03.913.68.922.317.714.9214.90
KC17.38.97.621.0BYE16.130.717.725.64.620.13.911.716.122.33.917.315.1614.10
LA23.36.720.15.015.022.724.6BYE4.67.623.430.712.111.76.723.35.015.8413.90
MIA6.712.123.910.122.321.015.0BYE7.617.314.023.321.45.07.615.012.114.829.19
MIN22.38.64.624.68.9BYE19.118.622.719.05.022.713.925.617.78.618.616.1117.29
NE5.023.48.915.023.910.121.015.0BYE6.723.37.614.021.43.97.623.413.7810.95
NO16.124.611.717.3BYE4.66.76.723.33.94.614.022.720.15.020.111.713.4315.10
NYG13.930.719.013.68.621.414.0BYE19.110.118.623.921.013.922.719.119.017.9718.57
NYJ10.115.06.76.721.05.021.423.923.414.0BYE12.117.723.323.412.115.015.7319.62
OAK30.711.722.321.417.36.725.620.13.9BYE8.94.615.06.717.317.73.915.3213.90
PHI23.918.621.0BYE22.719.013.613.924.611.76.78.610.119.021.424.613.917.2921.67
PIT19.010.119.16.77.623.412.1BYE21.413.923.917.724.615.010.121.423.916.4115.52
SD6.725.617.730.716.13.911.73.922.323.4BYE8.920.14.616.123.96.715.7014.86
SEA23.414.023.37.6BYE11.75.030.715.012.119.120.14.68.614.05.023.314.299.19
SF14.04.66.713.95.015.020.1BYE30.75.012.123.418.67.611.714.06.713.5011.10
TB11.75.014.03.94.6BYE23.316.111.718.66.76.717.330.713.930.74.614.3225.10
TEN13.622.716.18.923.423.917.725.617.38.617.718.6BYE3.96.725.68.916.6812.05
WAS21.013.924.623.921.419.122.710.1BYE13.68.613.95.019.14.618.624.616.0014.10

 

 

 

TEAM1234567891011121314151617
ARINETB@BUFLA@SFNYJSEA@CARBYESF@MIN@ATLWAS@MIANO@SEA@LA
ATLTB@OAK@NOCAR@DEN@SEASDGB@TB@PHIBYEARIKC@LASF@CARNO
BALBUF@CLE@JAXOAKWAS@NYG@NYJBYEPITCLE@DALCINMIA@NEPHI@PIT@CIN
BUF@BALNYJARI@NE@LASF@MIANE@SEABYE@CINJAX@OAKPITCLEMIA@NYJ
CAR@DENSFMIN@ATLTB@NOBYEARI@LAKCNO@OAK@SEASD@WASATL@TB
CHI@HOUPHI@DALDET@INDJAX@GBMINBYE@TB@NYGTENSF@DETGBWAS@MIN
CIN@NYJ@PITDENMIA@DAL@NECLEWASBYE@NYGBUF@BALPHI@CLEPIT@HOUBAL
CLE@PHIBAL@MIA@WASNE@TEN@CINNYJDAL@BALPITNYGBYECIN@BUFSD@PIT
DALNYG@WASCHI@SFCIN@GBBYEPHI@CLE@PITBALWAS@MIN@NYGTBDET@PHI
DENCARIND@CIN@TBATL@SDHOUSD@OAK@NOBYEKC@JAX@TENNE@KCOAK
DET@INDTEN@GB@CHIPHILAWAS@HOU@MINBYEJAXMIN@NOCHI@NYG@DALGB
GB@JAX@MINDETBYENYGDALCHI@ATLIND@TEN@WAS@PHIHOUSEA@CHIMIN@DET
HOUCHIKC@NETEN@MININD@DENDETBYE@JAX@OAKSD@GB@INDJAXCIN@TEN
INDDET@DENSD@JAXCHI@HOU@TENKC@GBBYETENPIT@NYJHOU@MIN@OAKJAX
JAXGB@SDBALINDBYE@CHIOAK@TEN@KCHOU@DET@BUFDENMIN@HOUTEN@IND
KCSD@HOUNYJ@PITBYE@OAKNO@INDJAX@CARTB@DEN@ATLOAKTENDEN@SD
LA@SFSEA@TB@ARIBUF@DETNYGBYECAR@NYJMIA@NO@NEATL@SEASFARI
MIA@SEA@NECLE@CINTENPITBUFBYENYJ@SD@LASF@BALARI@NYJ@BUFNE
MIN@TENGB@CARNYGHOUBYE@PHI@CHIDET@WASARI@DETDAL@JAXIND@GBCHI
NE@ARIMIAHOUBUF@CLECIN@PIT@BUFBYESEA@SF@NYJLABAL@DENNYJ@MIA
NOOAK@NYGATL@SDBYECAR@KCSEA@SFDEN@CARLADET@TB@ARITB@ATL
NYG@DALNOWAS@MIN@GBBAL@LABYEPHICINCHI@CLE@PITDALDET@PHI@WAS
NYJCIN@BUF@KCSEA@PIT@ARIBAL@CLE@MIALABYENEIND@SFMIA@NEBUF
OAK@NOATL@TEN@BALSDKC@JAX@TBDENBYEHOUCARBUF@KC@SDIND@DEN
PHICLE@CHIPITBYE@DET@WASMIN@DAL@NYGATL@SEAGB@CINWAS@BALNYGDAL
PIT@WASCIN@PHIKCNYJ@MIANEBYE@BALDAL@CLE@INDNYG@BUF@CINBALCLE
SD@KCJAX@INDNO@OAKDEN@ATL@DENTENMIABYE@HOUTB@CAROAK@CLEKC
SEAMIA@LASF@NYJBYEATL@ARI@NOBUF@NEPHI@TBCAR@GBLAARI@SF
SFLA@CAR@SEADALARI@BUFTBBYENO@ARINE@MIA@CHINYJ@ATL@LASEA
TB@ATL@ARILADEN@CARBYE@SFOAKATLCHI@KCSEA@SDNO@DAL@NOCAR
TENMIN@DETOAK@HOU@MIACLEINDJAX@SDGB@IND@CHIBYEDEN@KC@JAXHOU
WASPITDAL@NYGCLE@BALPHI@DET@CINBYEMINGB@DAL@ARI@PHICAR@CHINYG

 

 

One Response

  1. Dale Steele says:

    Eli. Eli. Eli.

Leave a Reply

2016 Fantasy Football

THAT JUST HAPPENED: RUNNING BACKS, PART II

  In Part I, I laced the track with a macro-level look at the running back position. Now it’s time to lock the flow with the micro view. First, a few ground rules: The goal is to contextualize 2016 performance. Briefly. What I highlight below is meant to be interesting, informative, and by ...

READ MORE

That Just Happened: Running Backs, Part I

THAT JUST HAPPENED: RUNNING BACKS, PART I Don’t call it a comeback, they’ve been here for years. Sure, in 2015 running backs made tears rain down like a monsoon, but in 2016 the position reclaimed its fantasy dominance.  Rocking its peers and putting suckas in fear. That’s the narrative, anyway.  No doubt David ...

READ MORE

That Just Happened: Quarterbacks, Part II

  In Part I, I took a look at the quarterback position from a macro level. Now it’s time to dig into the details. To say Aaron Rodgers was the QB1 in 2016, or that Dak Prescott was QB6, isn’t very informative. Rodgers’s ranking might undersell how insanely valuable he was, ...

READ MORE