PWN Stars: Week Four
September 26, 2014 | Chad Scott
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PWN Stars is a weekly deep sleeper article – used mostly for bye weeks – but useful for degenerate dynasty folks. It’s inevitable there will be a Richardo Lockette, John Kuhn or Philly Brown every single week. Sure, these guys are mostly useless week-to-week, but sometimes, one breakout performance turns into two, three and maybe four. That’s PWNing at its finest. You won’t find guys like Justin Forsett, Isaiah Crowell or Dwayne Allen here. PWN Stars are the blue chip fake footballers who are owned in less than 25% of MyFantasyLeague.com leagues. Guys that you can insert into your daily or seasonal/dynasty teams if you’re looking for a Hail Mary. Now that you know what this is, enter at your own risk.
The bye weeks are upon us and if you’re lucky – like me – you’re playing against Eli Manning and Larry Donnell stacks in a few leagues. *cinches the noose*
It’s a tough week with six teams on bye – especially when those teams (mostly) possess elite talent. Make sure you have all your fake footballers out of your Sunday lineups from the following teams:
Arizona, Cincinnati, Cleveland, Denver, Seattle and St. Louis
This is where PWN Stars comes in handy because I’m always open to public ridicule. Always.
Andre Holmes, WR OAK (12% owned)
Holmes makes for an interesting play this week as teammate, Rod Streater, is shelved with a broken foot and recent reports indicate he could miss the remainder of the season. I was tempted to put Denarius Moore here (19% owned), but he’s been averaging six targets a game and has done very little with them (8/60/0 with three dropped passes).
Holmes is 6-foot-4 and 210 pounds of upside and he gets to play the Miami Dolphins in London this week. There’s a Sherlock joke somewhere to be had here, I’m sure of it…
The Dolphins have been stout against fantasy wide receivers – allowing the third least amount in the league to the position. Looking a bit closer, they’ve played an Aaron Dobson-less Patriot team, the Buffalo Bills and the Kansas City Chiefs – not exactly world beaters at wide receiver. All due respect to Donnie Avery, of course.
Streater led the team in snaps from the slot with 36 while James Jones (surprisingly) has 30. My guess is Jones moves into the slot as needed with Holmes and Moore on the outside. The slot is where Cortland Finnegan has been covering when teams go three-wide and the Raiders have gone three-wide sets approximately 64% of the team’s total snaps.
According to Rotoworld.com, Holmes is expected to garner most of the rotational work with Jones and Moore and I absolutely love him this week.
PWN Prediction: Six receptions, 95 yards and one touchdown
Brandon Oliver, RB SD (10% owned)
We discussed Oliver briefly on The Faked Good Podcast this week. Clearly, the struggle is real for tangible fantasy points from running backs and Oliver has the matchup to make it happen.
The Chargers get a tasty matchup this week in the Jaguars. Jacksonville is giving up the most fantasy points to running backs and we know Ryan Mathews and Danny Woodhead won’t be in play.
The Jags were gashed by Lesean McCoy and Darren Sproles Week One; Alfred Morris in Week Two; and Ahmad Bradshaw and Trent Richardson in Week Three. TRich even managed 4.1 YPC for f*** sakes.
Donald Brown is coming off a career-high 36 touches last week against the Buffalo Bills. 36. Brown wasn’t impressive, averaging just 2.0 YPC (sup, Trent). Head coach and fantasy football-hater, Mike McCoy has made it a point to split the workload with his running backs since taking over in 2013. The minimal work Oliver saw last week after the Woodhead injury was due to lack of reps/not being in the game plan. That changes this week.
Looking at Oliver’s preseason, he carried the ball 35 times for 161 yards (4.6 YPC). He was most impressive in the team’s final preseason game against the Arizona Cardinals where he had 16 carries for 71 yards – 57 of those yards came after contact in route to accumulating nine missed tackles.
PlayerProfiler.com (very cool site) compares Oliver to Justin Forsett. The comp most likely causes you to throw up in your mouth a bit, but for what Oliver’s potential role could be, it’s almost perfect – assuming he is now the little Danny in McCoy’s game plans.
Oliver not only has a chance to perform well for your fantasy squads this week, but he’s a guy that should be stashed in deep roster dynasty leagues (25+). As an added bonus, the Chargers are currently 14.5 favorites this weekend and Brown isn’t an every week, 25+ touch running back.
Let’s hope that comes to fruition as McCoy won’t/can’t risk another starting running back to go down in mop-up duty, but if Dammit Donald does, hello Branden Oliver.
PWN Prediction: 10 carries, 48 yards and one touchdown; three receptions, 30 yards