NFL Plays: Vegas Odds (Week 15)
December 17, 2016 | Justin Bales
Games to Attack
San Francisco 49ers vs Atlanta Falcons
This is a scary matchup for San Francisco. The Falcons have the best offense in the NFL, and the 49ers have the worst defense in the NFL. However, Atlanta has struggled defensively, as well, which opens the door for San Francisco to return the score. This game is set at 50.5 points, but the Falcons are 13.5 favorites, which is the biggest on the slate. Julio Jones has been ruled out, which means Mohamed Sanu and Taylor Gabriel will have upside. Matt Ryan can also be used, but the real value comes with Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman. Colin Kaepernick, Carlos Hyde, Jeremy Kerley, and Quinton Patton can all be used in tournaments as the 49ers will be playing from behind for most of the game.
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Oakland Raiders vs San Diego Chargers
Oakland and San Diego both rank near the top of the NFL in scoring and near the bottom of the NFL in points allowed. They both possess explosive offenses that can score in a hurry. The Raiders are 2.5 point favorites in a game set at 49 points. Derek Carr has been a better fantasy option in warm weather, and he’ll be playing in San Diego this week. He can be used along with Latavius Murray, Amari Cooper, and Michael Crabtree (if he plays) this week. Melvin Gordon has been ruled out this week, which makes Kenneth Farrow an elite salary relief option, though if he falters, Ronnie Hillman could get mixed in. Philip Rivers, Tyrell Williams, Dontrelle Inman, and Antonio Gates can all be used for the Chargers, as well.
Carolina Panthers vs Washington Redskins
Washington and Carolina are two teams that have relied much more on scoring than defense this season. That has caused this game to be set at a total of 51 points, and the Redskins are 6.5 point favorites (up from 4 when lines were set). Cam Newton is the obvious option for Carolina, but it’s tough to comfortably pair him with anyone. Jonathan Stewart, Kelvin Benjamin, Ted Ginn Jr., and Greg Olsen all make for high upside options. Kirk Cousins is an elite quarterback option this week, and he can be stacked with Jamison Crowder, DeSean Jackson, or Pierre Garcon. Rob Kelly and Jordan Reed can also be used, but they are best suited for tournaments this week.
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Games to Avoid
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans
This game speaks much more about these two offenses than defenses. They both rank near last in the NFL in scoring, which has caused this game to be set at only 39.5 total points. Blake Bortles, Lamar Miller, DeAndre Hopkins, Allen Robinson, and Marqise Lee all have enough upside to be used in tournaments, but they are far from elite options this week.
Philadelphia Eagles vs Baltimore Ravens
The Eagles and Ravens both have solid defenses, while their offenses have struggled at times this season. Baltimore are 6 point favorites in a game set at only 40.5 points. Philadelphia doesn’t have any great options on this slate, but Jordan Matthews and Zach Ertz could see enough volume to be used in tournaments this week. Kenneth Dixon, Steve Smith, Mike Wallace, and Dennis Pitta all can be used in tournaments, but they do come with risk as the Ravens could be running out the clock for most of the second half.
Cleveland Browns vs Buffalo Bills
This is a week to avoid the Browns, but the Bills have a few good options. This Vegas line is a little tricky, as the game is set at only 41.5 points, down from 44. However, the Bills are 10 point favorites, implying 25.75 points, which is pretty solid. LeSean McCoy is the obvious play, as he has been elite this season, and the Bills will be running the clock out in the second half. Tyrod Taylor and Sammy Watkins also have sneaky value in tournaments.