NFL Plays: Vegas Odds (Week 10)
November 12, 2016 | Justin Bales
Games to Attack
Dallas Cowboys vs Pittsburgh Steelers
These are two of the better offenses in the NFL when they are healthy. Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott are the two obvious plays for the Cowboys, as they have both flashed great upside and come with a solid floor, as well. Dez Bryant, Cole Beasley, and Jason Witten all come with great upside, as well, and each of them can be stacked with Prescott this week. The Steelers have a bit of a different offense. They focus around their big three players, which are Ben Roethlisberger, Le’Veon Bell, and Antonio Brown. These three players can all be used this week, and they will make a great triple stack together (if you can find a way to afford them).
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Atlanta Falcons vs Philadelphia Eagles
This Vegas line is truly surprising. It opened with a 49.5 point total, and the teams were even. I’d have imagined that the Falcons would be at least small favorites, but that’s why I don’t make the odds. Atlanta has the best offense in the NFL this season, and Matt Ryan/Julio Jones will likely be a common stack this week. Devonta Freeman, Mohamed Sanu, and Austin Hooper have all been playing well enough to be used in tournaments. Carson Wentz, Darren Sproles, Jordan Matthews, and Zach Ertz can all be used for Philadelphia, but they aren’t more than GPP options this week.
Green Bay Packers vs Tennessee Titans
This game is loaded with fantasy options. The Packers are small favorites in a game that opened at 48 points. Aaron Rodgers will make a great option, and he can be stacked with Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb, Ty Montgomery, or Davante Adams. All of they make great options, but I will be mainly using a Rodgers/Montgomery/Adams stack this week. DeMarco Murray gets a tough matchup, but he has found success against everyone this season, and that likely won’t change this week. Marcus Mariota is also a good option, but it’s difficult to know who to stack him with. Delanie Walker is the obvious option, but Kendall Wright and Rishard Matthews also possess great upside.
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Games to Avoid
Minnesota Vikings vs Washington Redskins
The Vikings always find themselves on this list because they have the best defense in the NFL to go along with one of the worst offenses. The Redskins likely won’t be able to score much because of how good Minnesota’s defense is, but Washington also has a good enough defense to keep the Vikings out of the end zone. The Redskins are 2.5 point favorites in a game set at only 42z points. There is no reason to stack anyone in this game. Rob Kelley, Jamison Crowder, Jordan Reed, and Stefon Diggs can be used in tournaments, but they all come with a ton of risk.
Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars
This Vegas total says a lot more about these two offenses than it does about their defenses. Both Houston and Jacksonville have struggled to score points in competitive games, and this week should be no different. Lamar Miller and Allen Robinson make decent tournament options for their prices, but there are better options on the slate. Blake Bortles generally scores his fantasy points in garbage time, and that is never a strategy to bank on. This is a game to avoid.
Kansas City Chiefs vs Carolina Panthers
These two teams have both been heating up recently. Neither team has too many offensive weapons, which has resulted in this game being set at only 43.5 points. Tyreek Hill has some upside with Jeremy Maclin out, but he’s a receiver that relies heavily on the deep ball, which means he also comes with terrible risk. Cam Newton and Greg Olsen can be used for Carolina, but they are also tournament only options, and this is another game to avoid this week.