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While wasting time partaking in my favorite offseason activities, playing golf and obsessively watching college hoops, I always have football on my brain. I assume this is the case for most of my fellow fake footballers out there, as the planet’s best sport is just too good to ignore even when it is out of season. This past offseason, I took some time to put together a little spreadsheet that I hope you find interesting as we head into the 2014 fantasy football season. The idea had been stuck in the back of my brain for quite some time, and it’s finally cleaned up and ready to go.
With each offseason coaching change in the NFL, offensive philosophies can change drastically. Each time a new offensive coordinator is handed the keys to an NFL offense, new strategies and ideas come flooding in that inevitably impact how our fantasy players will perform moving forward. The spreadsheet below contains the last three years (in most cases) of offensive data for every NFL offensive coordinator. It is jam packed with every inch of data we could scrape up to give us an idea of where each offense is headed in 2014.
The top portion is extremely helpful, and highlights each team’s history in terms of yardage and play calling. The positional sections give us three year averages for each team’s top options at all fantasy relevant positions. The totals are averaged so you can easily identify what type of statistics have been tallied by each team’s WR1, WR2, WR3, etc.. There is a ton to digest, so focusing on the averages is a good place to start.
Accumulating the data (with help from the great folks at ProFootballReference.com and ProFootballFocus.com) was tricky in a few cases, but the general idea comes across clearly for each team. Just a couple notes:
– Some offensive coordinators came from the NCAA ranks. In those cases, the coach’s run/pass play calling percentages are the only stat listed. Overall yardage and points stats become skewed as the college season is shorter and games are different. The play calling preferences help, however.
– Some head coaches are the primary play callers for a handful of teams, so we took the averages for each team based upon who we expect to have the biggest influence on the team’s offense.
– If a season had unusual circumstances, it was left out if needed. For example, the Tim Tebow Denver season does little to project Peyton Manning’s 2014 season, to say the very, very least.
– A few full backs are mixed into the RB3 ranks and a couple lesser used tight ends are listed in the WR5 slots, but those guys are pretty far down the depth chart and their role as a ball carrier/pass catcher is what we’re after…not necessarily the position listed on their football card.
Check out the example below by clicking on it and feel free to download the NFL O-Coordinator History Media File if you would like to dig deeper. Also, please feel free to leave questions or suggestions to improve the file in the comments section. Hopefully this will become another weapon in your fake football tool belt as the season approaches. Enjoy!