The Hail Mary (NFL DFS): Wild Card Weekend FIRST LOOK January 6, 2016  |  Doug Shain


 

 

The Huddle – Opening Statement

Well, I guess I’m back for the playoffs! This is going to be a REALLY abbreviated version of the Hail Mary with only 4 games on the schedule. I’m going to do the article a little differently this week since there are so few games. I’m going to just rank the players based on how much I like them for a GPP within each position. I’ll give some analysis for each position as always. Best of luck!

To take a look at a list of “musts” when building my GPP lineup, click here. Best of luck this week!

 

The Depth Chart – The Plays of the Week

 

QB

1) Kirk Cousins – WSH

2) Ben Roethlisberger – PIT

3) Aaron Rodgers – GB

4) Russell Wilson – SEA

5) Brian Hoyer – HOU

6) Alex Smith – KC

– I’m a little too giddy about playing Kirk Cousins this weekend. He’s cheap and his upside is outstanding. Green Bay is a big name, but their bark is way worse than their bite this year. I can see Cousins going for 250+ with 3 TD’s. I love a Cousins/Reed stack this weekend. Even though his ownership is going to be sky high, I still like the volume that you’re going to get out of Big Ben. The other guy I’d consider for a GPP is Hoyer (stacked with DeAndre Hopkins). The bigger name QBs are going to be too highly owned considering their matchups aren’t all that great.

 

RB

1) James Starks – GB

2) Spencer Ware – KC

3) Christine Michael – SEA

4) Adrian Peterson – MIN

5) Fitzgerald Toussaint – PIT

6) Alfred Blue – HOU

7) Alfred Morris – WSH

8) Jeremy Hill – CIN

– This is the single worst slate for RB that I’ve ever seen. My preference is to go with the lowest priced guys that you think will get 12+ touches and a have a shot at a TD. To me those guys are Starks, Ware, and Michael. I can see the argument to use Toussaint, but it’s just as likely that Pitt just throws 50 times and has Todman on the field all game instead. Because of how unknown he is, though, I’d still rather throw Toussaint in a GPP over boring plays like Blue, Morris, or Hill. Blue, in particular, is much more of a cash game play for me.

– Adrian Peterson is by far the best player at RB this week, but a matchup against Seattle isn’t going to be worth the high ownership you’re going to have to deal with if you put him in your team. There’s no way I touch AP in a GPP this week.

 

WR

1) Jermaine Kearse – SEA

2) Antonio Brown – PIT

3) A.J. Green – CIN

4) DeAndre Hopkins – HOU

5) Pierre Garcon – WSH

6) Markus Wheaton – PIT

7) James Jones – GB

8) Doug Baldwin – SEA

9) Stefon Diggs – MIN

10) Jeremy Maclin – KC

– The price on Kearse is so low considering his consistency and floor that you almost have to roster him. Doing so will open up a ton of options for you to use a variety of higher price players (like AB, A.J. Green, Jordan Reed, AP, etc). From a pure productivity standpoint, I don’t think you can go too wrong with Antonio Brown, A.J. Green, and DeAndre Hopkins. I’m going to try to get at least two — if not all three — of those WRs in my lineup this weekend. For the price, I’d rather have Kearse than Baldwin. Pierre Garcon is a high floor, unsexy option that won’t cost a ton (in the same vein as Kearse). I’d move Maclin up if I knew he’d be 100% this weekend.

 

TE

1) Jordan Reed – WSH

2) Tyler Eifert – CIN

3) Kyle Rudolph – MIN

4) Richard Rodgers – GB

5) Travis Kelce – KC

– There aren’t a ton of value options at TE this week so in a GPP I’m inclined to roll with the top guy in Jordan Reed. I’d do this particularly in a stack with Kirk Cousins (my favorite GPP stack this week). If you’re not playing Cousins, then Kyle Rudolph could be sneaky against Seattle. The Seahawks’ one defensive weakness is their inability to cover the TE. Because of his low price, Rudolph won’t have to do much to pay off his salary. I also like Richard Rodgers as he’s become a favorite target for ARod with the rest of the WR corps playing poorly this year.

 

DEF

1) Kansas City Chiefs

2) Pittsburgh Steelers

3) Washington

4) Seattle Seahawks

– I don’t really want to get too cute with my defense this week so I’d probably ride with the best one on the board in KC. If you wanted to go a little more contrarian for your GPP, then Washington or the Steelers would be interesting plays. Pittsburgh against a backup QB could really cause havoc, but for my money I’d jump on Washington. Something’s not right with the Packers; I think they’re actually going to lose this week. I could see Washington doing a number on ARod and company.

Make sure to check back on Saturday for my WEEKEND UPDATE.

Check out the Fake Football Cheat Sheets for my sample lineups. I do the DraftKings section, but the process of selecting the lineups is the same on all the sites.

Follow me on Twitter @bankster17 and good luck with your Hail Mary!

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