Dynasty Draft Profile: Mike Davis
April 13, 2015 | Chad Scott
|22.2||69||217||30 1/4||9 3/8|
*Pro Day numbers
Much like Karlos Williams, Mike Davis’ 2013 tape looks much better than his 2014.
One of the major knocks on Davis was his conditioning last season – something fellow Gamecocks, Alshon Jeffery and Jadaveon Clowney have been accused of whilst matriculating at the University of South Carolina.
Davis looked the part of a future NFL running back in 2013 rushing for 1183 yards – fourth-most in SC school history (single season) – and also chipped in 34 receptions for 352 yards (10.4 YPR). He was voted pre-season second team All-American by Sports Illustrated and USA Today and first team All-SEC by the league’s coaches.
And then the disappointment began.
Davis, who averaged 5.46 YPC (156-852) against SEC foes in 2013, saw that number dip to 4.67 YPC (162-757) in 2014. Many believe Davis looked out of gas toward the second half of the season and his numbers won’t dispute that.
In his last six games, Davis failed to record a 100-yard game – he had four in the previous seven. Davis also scored only one touchdown on the ground in that span, while having eight scores in the previous seven games.
Looking at his measureables, Davis’ Pro Day 40 time is more indicative of what his tape suggests, but his agility scores remain concerning.
Davis isn’t an elusive back by any means, but creates missed tackles off power runs – so long as that freight train keeps its head of steam. When Davis lets off the gas is when he runs into trouble… and yes, I carry over fantastically lame puns over from the podcast into my writing.
So what we’re left with is deciphering who Mike Davis actually is and can that player succeed at the next level – more importantly – on your dynasty squad…
His strengths come from his 2013 tape and his weaknesses from 2014. Let’s take a look…
In 2013, Davis sees open field and explodes up field with power. A bowling ball in every sense of the expression, Davis bounces of would-be tacklers and keeps churning downfield.
Davis also showed really good outside speed as well in ’13.
A tough inside runner, Davis doesn’t shy away from contact and fights for every inch while maintaining good balance and low center of gravity:
When in pass protection, rarely will you see Davis take on a defender without lunging into them – or cut-blocking. When he does, often I’ve seen him completely miss or like here, leaves himself vulnerable to injury:
Be sure to check out other Dynasty Draft Profiles from The Fake Football:
Davis looked very indecisive and rarely did he show the same burst up field we saw the year prior. Often times, Davis took designed outside runs for good chunks of yardage in 2013, not quite so in 2014:
This was one of the biggest differences I saw from Davis from 2013 to 2014. Although Davis was able to pick-up a nice gain, he doesn’t stay true to his running style once turning the corner. Davis shuffles his feet instead of taking defenders head on.
Despite his 66 receptions from 2013-2014, Davis’ production came more on screens and designed flat-route than they did when split out. Each time Davis split out, he spent five seconds simulating head jukes before stopping and turning around. Those were his routes… I wish I was exaggerating:
In dynasty circles, Davis is currently being selected with an ADP of 20.64 – or the 2.10 pick – good for RB9. With that sticker price, I’m not a buyer, especially when you look at the talent pool that’s left.
Comps to Davis are in the mold of Alfred Morris and a Zac Stacy – which are solid, but don’t necessarily scream high ceilings. With running back being a position you can waiver wire throughout the year, I’d be hard pressed to spend that high of a pick on someone whose ceiling I see as he two mentioned above.
Davis may very well be the RB9 in this class, but I’m sure there will be others in my leagues who like him much more than I do… and for that reason, I won’t be owning many shares of him come 2015.