Dynasty Draft Profile: Michael Thomas (OSU)
March 24, 2016 | Chet
|22.8||75||212||32 1/8||10 1/2|
Michael Thomas, Ohio State University (not Mike Thomas, Southern Miss), ranks inside the school’s all-time top-20 in receptions (113), reception yards (1602) and touchdowns (18) despite the coach’s decision to red shirt him following his true freshman season.
Having your name associated with former Buckeye greats, Santonio Holmes, Joey Galloway, Terry Glenn amongst others, is an accomplishment in itself. He’s also the nephew of former NFL wideout, Keyshawn Johnson. So basically, there’s no shortage of tutelage at his disposal.
Even with a ‘down’ class in this year’s wide receiver crop, Thomas failed to separate himself from the others, statistically. After mirroring his 2014 season, Thomas decided to forego his senior season and enter the NFL draft.
The combine was a bit of a disappointment to Thomas fans, recording ho-hum times in the 40-yard and subpar jumps in the vertical and broad (Thomas was said to have run a 4.43 at his Pro Day, but I have my doubts given his tape).
While is overall raw numbers won’t jump off the page, Thomas is a big target at 6-foot-2, 212lbs and did time well in the agility drills. That’s his bread and butter – quick feet in and out of his breaks, giving his QB a big target with a minimal chance at turning the ball over.
Given the past few classes of wide receivers entering the NFL draft, we dynasty enthusiasts have been spoiled beyond belief. Time will tell, but top-end talent isn’t there with this class, although the overall depth is.
Thomas’ start-stop ability is in the higher echelon of this year’s wide receiver class. He torched top-5 cornerback, Kendall Fuller a few times in this matchup, but Cardale Jones finally hits him in stride here:
Again, Thomas is so good at setting up his defender with the stutter-step, giving JT Barrett an easy completion to move the chains. More often than not, Thomas will win on the inside in man-to-man coverage:
That time you made a D-1 cornerback look drunj while trying to guard you. Big ups to the young man for waving the white flag by wet napkin’ing Thomas in the end zone for defensive pass intereference:
Thomas displays plus strength here while giving his best Gandalf the Grey impression – “You shall not pass!” He was able to collect $200 after passing GO:
Thomas isn’t known for making the tough catches over the middle in traffic or coming down the ball when contested. Because he’s so adept at creating space on the inside, he’ll need to hone in on perfecting this part to his game on Sundays:
For a dude ranked in the 97% for hand size, I’d like to see more technique versus body catching. Thomas is able to get away with it against lesser competition due to his quick breaks and quarterback arm strength, but he’ll need to clean this up as well:
Thomas has a few things in his favor as the draft quickly approaches: the school, the pedigree and his size/agility. He won’t burn the field into flames like ex-teammate, Devin Smith, but he should be a capable #3, possibly #2 wide receiver if his overall game can develop at the next level.
Looking at his comparisons via mockdraftable.com, Thomas is more Mohammed Sanu than Josh Gordon, but seeing the name Jordan Matthews gives me a shred of hope of what his ceiling could be in two-three years.
DynastyLeagueFootball.com has Thomas’ current rookie ADP as the 1.06 selection, narrowly edging out Tyler Boyd.
Ideally, I’m trying (without much success) to deal any rookie picks I’ve accumulated within the 1.03-1.08 range now, and will keep any pick after that until rookie drafts begin. These 2016 rookie picks are becoming a bit undervalued now as many are just dealing for 2017 picks. While you’re sure to be scratching your head once on the clock at 1.10+, look at your big board and plan accordingly – after all, there’s a sucker in every room.
I’m (trying) to politely say Thomas isn’t worth his current sticker price, but I’d be a buyer somewhere in the late first to early second rounds of rookie drafts… I just wouldn’t be that excited about it.
Chances are, I won’t need to make that decision based on current ADP and that’s ok, too. I’d be pleased as punch for someone to take the chance and leave me with a Leonte Carroo or Sterling Shepard to gamble on.