2013 Fantasy Football

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Dreaming of Streaming Week 9: Advice from Vegas

posted by C.D. Carter

Sometimes Vegas’ over-unders fly directly in the face of my preconceived streaming notions. This is not one of those weeks.

Last week’s best defensive plays came from games with the highest over-unders, as we discussed in this week’s column. That’s all fine and dandy, but one week does not prove a trend. Let’s wait a couple more weeks until we give ourselves the green light to roll with defenses from potentially high-scoring affairs.

This week is spectacular in that there are a multitude of defensive streamers despite the bye week — a rarity, as you likely know. Those in deep leagues will always struggle to secure the week’s best streamers, but fantasy footballers in normal-sized leagues have their pick in Week 9.

I don’t think it’s too much to say streamers will have a tough time going wrong.

Here are my Week 9 rankings.

Game Over-Under
Falcons at Panthers  44
Vikings at Cowboys  47.5
Saints at Jets  45.5
Chargers at Washington  51
Chiefs at Bills  40.5
Titans at Rams  39.5
Buccaneers at Seahawks  40
Steelers at Patriots  44
Eagles at Raiders  45
Colts at Texans  44.5
Bears at Packers  50

 

  • You see a backup quarterback and your instinct to stream a defense kicks in full throttle. Try your damndest to resist said urge this week in the Packers-Bears tilt. Josh McCown, by all accounts, won’t be a slouch in Marc Trestman’s offense while Smokin’ Jay recovers from a groin injury. Green Bay has been brutalized through the air against viable passing attacks, and Trestman’s system of high-percentage throws won’t leave a whole lot of room for turnover-fueled upside. The Bears have given up six or fewer points to enemy defenses five times in 2013. I’ve ranked the Packers as my No. 16 defense this week.
  • The Titans, my ninth best defensive play this week, are next up in the Kellen Clemens Experiment. Clemens, despite being a backup in the same offensive system for so many years, showed nothing Monday night that would suggest defensive streamers should be wary of the post-Bradford Rams. Take a gander at the over-under. It’s not very often we’re going to see a point total less than 40. Even 39.5 seems high to me in a game that could easily be 21-6.
  • Don’t be fooled by the Seahawks-Bucs over-under. I wouldn’t deploy the imploding Tampa defense on a dare. Just say no.
  • The Saints-Jets over-under makes me squirm in my seat. I’m all in, once again, on the Saints’ vastly improved defense, ranking them fourth against a New York offense that has allowed 16 fantasy points per game to opposing defenses over their past three contests. Still, 45.5 seems a bit high, though it could be reflective of Vegas’ expectation for Drew Brees and company to decimate Gang Green. Or maybe not: New Orleans is only a six point favorite.

 

 

Latest posts by C.D. Carter (see all)

2 Comments

  • So NE >> GB by a mile this week? Thanks!

    • Clearly.

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