Dreaming of Streaming: Week 11
November 12, 2013 | C.D. Carter
I’m not just the president of the Sell Your Chiefs Defense club. I’m also a member.
Last week I asked you to overcome your emotional and psychological attachment to that wonderful fantasy savior, the Kansas City defense, and sell at the highest point. It wouldn’t work in many leagues, of course, with degenerates being what they are: savvy, skeptical, informed.
A laundry list of fantasy footballers, according to my Twitter mentions, cashed in on the Chiefs last week, magically turning their dandy nine-game stretch into solid tight ends, receivers, and running backs. Guys like Dez Bryant, Fred Jackson, and Vincent Jackson were involved in these trades for KC’s defense.
I was able to do the same in precisely one league. I traded away my Chiefs’ defense for Andre Brown and Randall Cobb. I requested Cobb as a throw-in since I can stash him in my lone injured reserve spot and hope he’s useful in Week 15 or 16, hopefully with Aaron Rodgers at the helm.
And so, I am a member of the Sell Your Chiefs Defense club. We’ll pay our club dues with league winnings doled out next month.
Here are my full Week 11 defensive rankings.
Week 11 Dreamy Streamers
Arizona Cardinals at Jacksonville Jaguars: Chad Henne and company still managed to hand eight fantasy points to the Tennessee defense last week. The Titans, despite pulling off the incredible feat of allowing the Jags to put up 29 points, were still a top-12 Week 10 defense.
The Cardinals’ defense has been borderline elite through swaths of 2013, not that that matters against Jacksonville. Arizona’s top-10 pass coverage should wreak havoc on the Jaguars’ lifeless air attack. Even if Henne keeps the turnovers to a minimum, the Cards will prove their worth with something around a handful of sacks.
Arizona is available in about 18 percent of leagues.
Green Bay Packers at New York Giants: Deploying the Oakland Raiders’ defense last week against the Giants was a test for defensive streamers. Do you trust the numbers? Do you believe they tell a mostly accurate story, or a slick little lie? If you trusted nine weeks of data and rolled with Oakland against the sieve-like Giants’ offense, you flourished in Week 9, collecting 17 fantasy points.
I only wish I had put my faith in the numbers — and the ineptitude of the Giants’ defense — in daily leagues.
Big Blue has amazingly, unbelievably, inconceivably given up double-digit fantasy points in all but one of their nine games. Defenses score 15 points a game against Eli and company. That could very well make your 2013 G-men one of the most consistently generous teams to opposing defenses in fantasy history.
I don’t care that Green Bay ranks in the bottom half of every defensive measurement on Pro Football Focus, including pass rush and pass coverage. They’re an obvious top-10 Week 11 play.
New York Giants vs. Green Bay Packers: Third-string quarterback Scott Tolzien threw for 280 yards and two interceptions in three and a half quarters of work against Philadelphia last week. That makes me a little less excited about committing to New York’s defense against the Pack.
Green Bay gave up a modest seven fantasy points against the Eagles, and remain one of the stingiest teams against opposing defenses. The Packers allow 3.2 fantasy points per game to defensive units, amazingly.
Perhaps we can hang our hat on this: Tolzien once tossed seven interceptions in a single high school game. Or maybe that’s just a fun stat that’ll be repeated on air three dozen times during the Packers-Giants tilt.
The Giants’ run defense is sixth best in the NFL, getting a marked bump from Jon Beason over the past month. That makes me think Big Blue will be able to bottle up Eddie Lacy enough to force Tolzien’s hand and make the newbie beat them through the air. That’ll likely be welcomed by anyone starting the Giants’ defense.
The Giants haven’t allowed a touchdown drive of more than 35 yards over their past three games, according to ESPN Stats & Info. They’ve played garbage offenses over that stretch, including the Vikings and the Matt Barkley-led Eagles, but it’s worth noting.
New York Jets at Buffalo Bills: We’re all about the Big Apple this week in Dreaming of Streaming, apparently.
Buffalo’s offense only exists in the mind of head coach Doug Marrone, whose ideal up-tempo system has been hampered by, well, reality. EJ Manuel has been atrocious during most of his past few starts, including last week at Pittsburgh.
Buffalo is the seventh most generous team to opposing defenses, allowing 9.5 fantasy points per game. They’ve allowed 13 points per contest to defenses over their past three games.
Gang Green rolls into Buffalo with the league’s top-rated run defense — a veritable brick wall — and a serviceable pass rush that turned vicious two weeks ago against Drew Brees. The Bills offense will likely be without receivers Stevie Johnson and Robert Wood, making this matchup all the tastier for the Jets.