2013 Fantasy Football

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Dreaming of Streaming Week 11: Advice from Vegas

posted by C.D. Carter

Welcome to Las Vegas sign on the Las Vegas Strip. 11/13/09It’s far from a high percentage play, but I wouldn’t begrudge any fantasy footballer who rolled with the Kansas City Chiefs’ defense this week.

That’s right: after spending the better part of two weeks pleading with you to sell your beloved Chiefs’ defense — the highest scoring in fantasy — I’m saying it’s far from the worst idea to roll with KC when they take on Peyton’s Perfect Machine Sunday night in Denver.

See Week 11′s optimal defensive streamers

I’ve ranked them eighth, ahead of most Week 11 streaming options. It’s more than just banking on a spectacular defense; it’s what Kansas City does on the defensive side of the ball that makes them a viable option, even against the Broncos.

The Chiefs apply ceaseless pressure on the quarterback, ranking as Pro Football Focus’ third-best pass rush and averaging a league high 4.1 sacks per contest. The Colts’ defense last month created some sort of blueprint for how to at least slow Peyton’s Perfect Machine: pressuring Manning, getting in his face, knocking him down. I think Kansas City can replicate Indy’s blueprint, and do it better than the Colts.

 

Defensive Options for the Fantasy Playoffs

If you’re fretting about who you’re going to deploy in the fantasy playoffs, you’ve done well. It’s a good problem to have. It means you’ve secured — or almost secured — a playoff spot, which should be our singular goal from Week 1.

Here’s a quick look at the best defensive options for Weeks 14-16, according to the fabulous rotoViz Steaming D app. The app is updated every week, so buy a subscription if you want to keep up to date. These are all subject to change.

Week 14 Week 15 Week 16
Chiefs (at WAS) Seahawks (at NYG) Lions (vs. NYG)
Oakland (at NYJ) Chiefs (at OAK) Browns (at NYJ)
Houston (at JAC) Bengals (at PIT) Cowboys (at WAS)
Dolphins (at PIT) Panthers (vs. NYJ) Titans (at JAC)
Chargers (vs. NYG) Bills (at JAC) Broncos (at HOU)

 

Week 11 Over-Unders

 

Game Over-Under
Falcons at Buccaneers 43.5
Jets at Bills 41
Lions at Steelers 47.5
Washington at Eagles 52.5
Chargers at Dolphins 45.5
Browns at Bengals 42
Ravens at Bears 46
Raiders at Texans 42
Cardinals at Jaguars 41.5
Chiefs at Broncos 49.5
Vikings at Seahawks 46
49ers at Saints 47.5
Packers at Giants 42
Patriots at Panthers 46

 

  • Vegas agrees with the consensus that that Bills and Jets should both be considered real-life streaming options this week. That measly 41 over-under is tantalizing, and Gang Green’s suddenly vicious pass rush against a so-so Buffalo offensive line should create a high fantasy floor for the Jets’ defense.
  • Something I failed to mention in this week’s Dreaming of Streaming: The Giants’ defense, after a laughably awful start to 2013, has averaged 13.4 fantasy points over their past three contests. You’ll point out that they played Josh Freeman, Terrelle Pryor, and Matt Barkley during the stretch. That’s a valid point if you think Scott Tolzien — the thrower of two picks last week — is a life-altering upgrade from those signal callers. If you think Tolzien, who has been with the Packers for all of 15 minutes, is going to scorch Big Blue’s secondary, by all means, avoid the Giants this Sunday.
  • The Saints-49ers over-under should give us some pause. It’s expected to be Week 11′s second highest scoring affair despite two defenses that have been suffocating through much of 2013. Neither team turns the ball over with any regularity, making it tough to spot the upside with either defense this week.

 

1 Comment

  • You are the Man!
    Traded KC Def for K.Allen
    Picked up the Giants for 21 points and I’m going to let them ride for week 11
    I’m going to start carrying 2 def, like 9 others in this league, 3 of them steam too (the waiver is thin)
    Do you have any thoughts for week 13?
    Also from you list
    Wk 14 – Raiders, Dolphins, Chargers available
    Wk 15 – none (this wk looks grim :)
    Wk 16 – Lions, Browns, Cowboys
    Thank and keep up the good work!

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