2013 Fantasy Football Tight End Targets
January 31, 2013 | Davis Mattek
In a continuation of my last two pieces (WR targets & RB targets), I took a deeper look into some advanced metrics to determine some 2013 fantasy football tight end targets. The tight end position in 2012 was essentially 4 guys and then a whole crapload of up and down mediocrity. Finding guys who didn’t have the targets but performed well in up and coming offenses could end up being a key as the NFL moves forward towards pass heavy offenses. If nothing else, these three players could be rotation-quality TE2’s if everything doesn’t go perfectly.
Zach Miller, Seattle Seahawks: Miller left the Oakland Raiders and then did absolutely nothing until a huge playoff performance against the Atlanta Falcons. During the regular season, however, Miller performed admirably with the targets he did get. His drop rate was better than every tight end in the league other than Jacob Tamme and Anthony Fasano, and he led tight ends in catch rate out of the slot. Additionally, no tight end performed better on balls thrown 20 yards down the field, catching all 6 of his catchable deep targets. While I don’t think Miller performs as well as he did when he was a Raider, if Pete Carroll decides to open up the offense and allows Wilson to throw 470 times, Miller could have some solid value.
Dennis Pitta, Baltimore Ravens: Several of my other fantasy football comrades have already written about Pitta’s up and down 2012 and his 2013 prospects. My addition to the conversation is favorable for Pitta, who had 1.69 yards per route ran, higher than Jason Witten, Tony Gonzalez and Aaron Hernandez. The Ravens offense should have a new look in 2013 with a new coordinator and Joe Flacco has certainly show some level of connection with Pitta, targeting him 104 times total this year and completing passes at 68.3% clip. If Pitta develops into a real red zone threat, he could easily be a top 5 fantasy football tight end.
Tony Moeaki, Kansas City Chiefs: You gotta squint your eyes real hard to see a legitimate fantasy player in Tony Moeaki. Initially, if the quarterback situation in Kansas City doesn’t improve, Moeaki should be totally off your radar. If, however, the Chiefs draft Geno Smith or make a trade that seriously improves the quarterback position, Moeaki can play. He caught 69.0% of his targets out of the slot and 67.3% of his targets as whole while having MATT CASSELL and BRADY QUINN throw him the football. Even a league average quarterback could turn this 6’3 physical specimen who runs a 4.69 40 into a tight end worth taking with a speculative late pick or monitoring on the waiver wire.